Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Japan's semiconductor technology export restrictions took effect on Sunday and are unlikely to ease for China any time soon.</li>
<li>Apple is reportedly telling suppliers that its flagship iPhone volumes will be similar to last year.</li>
<li>Hon Hai acquires 50% stake in German auto chassis maker, marking a significant expansion in its EV manufacturing efforts.</li>
</ul>


Japan's semiconductor technology export restrictions took effect on Sunday and are unlikely to ease for China any time soon.
Apple is reportedly telling suppliers that its flagship iPhone volumes will be similar to last year.
Hon Hai acquires 50% stake in German auto chassis maker, marking a significant expansion in its EV manufacturing efforts.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Japan Semi Restrictions Take Effect; Apple IPhone Volumes; Hon Hai Acquisition

<ul>
<li>TSMC winning with Nvidia's business, beating Samsung due to TSMC's advanced packaging technology; this highlights the rising importance and complexity of chip packaging.</li>
<li>China export restrictions for rare earths used in semiconductors highlight opportunity for U.S. and Australian rare earths producers. We identify two potential plays.</li>
<li>Nanya Technology Earnings: DRAM market has bottomed, sees industry improvement ahead. We see a trading Long opportunity.</li>
</ul>


TSMC winning with Nvidia's business, beating Samsung due to TSMC's advanced packaging technology; this highlights the rising importance and complexity of chip packaging.
China export restrictions for rare earths used in semiconductors highlight opportunity for U.S. and Australian rare earths producers. We identify two potential plays.
Nanya Technology Earnings: DRAM market has bottomed, sees industry improvement ahead. We see a trading Long opportunity.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC Packaging Tech Ahead of Samsung; China Rare Earths Restrictions Plays; DRAM

<ul>
<li>Netherlands expands range of semiconductor tech restricted for export; Tightening the vice further on China's semiconductor industry.</li>
<li>AI In The Family: Nvidia founder Jensen Huang a distant cousin of AMD CEO Lisa Su.</li>
<li>TSMC supplier hit by cyberattack, Hon Hai expanding EV in Vietnam, plus our recent research notes on Hon Hai, Nanya Tech, Himax, Yageo, and Delta.</li>
</ul>


Netherlands expands range of semiconductor tech restricted for export; Tightening the vice further on China's semiconductor industry.
AI In The Family: Nvidia founder Jensen Huang a distant cousin of AMD CEO Lisa Su.
TSMC supplier hit by cyberattack, Hon Hai expanding EV in Vietnam, plus our recent research notes on Hon Hai, Nanya Tech, Himax, Yageo, and Delta.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: New ASML Restrictions Tighten Vice Further on China; AI & The Nvidia/AMD Family

<ul>
<li>Yageo has been relatively range-bound since early 2023E, missing completely the 'AI Rally' that caused many other Taiwan names to rise. Hence one can buy it without chasing hype.</li>
<li>We spoke with management. The company has historically enjoyed durable margins and we believe could enjoy a cycle turn-around as its products are linked to high-tech power needs.</li>
<li>While not directly linked to AI demand, its products have strong long-term demand dynamics and are necessary for AI servers, high-end computing, autos, defense, and communications. Structural Long, NT$690 target.</li>
</ul>


Yageo has been relatively range-bound since early 2023E, missing completely the 'AI Rally' that caused many other Taiwan names to rise. Hence one can buy it without chasing hype.
We spoke with management. The company has historically enjoyed durable margins and we believe could enjoy a cycle turn-around as its products are linked to high-tech power needs.
While not directly linked to AI demand, its products have strong long-term demand dynamics and are necessary for AI servers, high-end computing, autos, defense, and communications. Structural Long, NT$690 target.


Yageo: Left Behind By the 'AI Rally', But Robust Business Still Tied to Strong Power/EV Drivers

Hon Hai Precision Industry / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Hon Hai shares have rallied to new 52-week highs; We update our model and sanity check the company's 2025E gross margin target.</li>
<li>Hon Hai can realize its target higher gross margin as its revenue mix changes between its legacy contract manufacturing and components/ higher value products revenue.</li>
<li>We maintain our 12-month price target of NT$155 per share, 35% above current levels and higher than the entire Street.</li>
</ul>


Hon Hai shares have rallied to new 52-week highs; We update our model and sanity check the company's 2025E gross margin target.
Hon Hai can realize its target higher gross margin as its revenue mix changes between its legacy contract manufacturing and components/ higher value products revenue.
We maintain our 12-month price target of NT$155 per share, 35% above current levels and higher than the entire Street.


Hon Hai: Hits New 52-Week Highs; Sanity Checking Management Guidance Shows Still More Upside

Taiwan

Hon Hai Precision Industry Co., Ltd. provides electronic manufacturing services for computers, communications, and consumer electronic products.  The Company's business operations include desktop and notebook PC assembly, connector production, cable assembly, PCB assembly, handset manufacturing, networking equipment, and other consumer electronic devices manufacturing.

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Hon Hai Precision Industry (2317 TT)

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Japan Semi Restrictions Take Effect; Apple IPhone Volumes; Hon Hai Acquisition

Japan's semiconductor technology export restrictions took effect on Sunday and are unlikely to ease for China any time soon.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC Packaging Tech Ahead of Samsung; China Rare Earths Restrictions Plays; DRAM

China export restrictions for rare earths used in semiconductors highlight opportunity for U.S. and Australian rare earths producers.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: New ASML Restrictions Tighten Vice Further on China; AI & The Nvidia/AMD Family

Also -- TSMC supplier hit by cyberattack, Hon Hai expanding EV in Vietnam, plus our recent research notes on Hon Hai, Nanya Tech, Himax, Yageo, and...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Yageo: Left Behind By the 'AI Rally', But Robust Business Still Tied to Strong Power/EV Drivers

We spoke with management. Opportunity to acquire a stock with strong fundamentals... Without having to chase a hyped-up share price.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Hon Hai: Hits New 52-Week Highs; Sanity Checking Management Guidance Shows Still More Upside

We maintain our 12-month price target of NT$155 per share, 35% above current levels and higher than the entire Street. We show how higher margin...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

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