Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>India Supply Chain Rising -- Hon Hai is helping Apple launch with India-made iPhone 15's on Day 1. These days, Apple likely wants to diversify away from China even faster.</li>
<li>ARM IPO prices at high end of range, is backed by TSMC, Apple, Nvidia, Samsung, Intel.</li>
<li>We downgrade Mediatek: After rally, beware of Huawei/SMIC chip capabilities causing market to realize Mediatek could lose market share.</li>
</ul>


India Supply Chain Rising -- Hon Hai is helping Apple launch with India-made iPhone 15's on Day 1. These days, Apple likely wants to diversify away from China even faster.
ARM IPO prices at high end of range, is backed by TSMC, Apple, Nvidia, Samsung, Intel.
We downgrade Mediatek: After rally, beware of Huawei/SMIC chip capabilities causing market to realize Mediatek could lose market share.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Apple Accelerating to India; ARM IPO; Huawei Mediatek Market Risk; Intel AI PCs

<ul>
<li>Hon Hai beat expecations by nearly 30% but reduced 2023E sales guidance. However, the company's AI server business is expected to take market share and its EV business is developing.</li>
<li>Asustek management provided some clarity on when AI PCs might turn from dream into reality -- 3Q24E is when the company believes they will contribute significantly to sales volume.</li>
<li>Himax reported some improvement in demand from China beleaguered automotive industry and said it expects its dominant global market position for automotive display drivers to continue.</li>
</ul>


Hon Hai beat expecations by nearly 30% but reduced 2023E sales guidance. However, the company's AI server business is expected to take market share and its EV business is developing.
Asustek management provided some clarity on when AI PCs might turn from dream into reality -- 3Q24E is when the company believes they will contribute significantly to sales volume.
Himax reported some improvement in demand from China beleaguered automotive industry and said it expects its dominant global market position for automotive display drivers to continue.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Hon Hai AI Servers Taking Share, Asus Specifies When AI PCs Will Drive Market

Hon Hai Precision Industry / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Hon Hai's 2Q23 results beat earnings street expectations by nearly 30%, thanks to AI server demand and gross margin rising.</li>
<li>Tightening China tech restrictions highlight Hon Hai's advantageous position for EV development.</li>
<li>Structural Long. Any weakness over worries about Apple/consumer products demand is an opportunity to accumulate. Investors shouldn't let cyclical expectations fluctuations blur their focus on Hon Hai's structural story.</li>
</ul>


Hon Hai's 2Q23 results beat earnings street expectations by nearly 30%, thanks to AI server demand and gross margin rising.
Tightening China tech restrictions highlight Hon Hai's advantageous position for EV development.
Structural Long. Any weakness over worries about Apple/consumer products demand is an opportunity to accumulate. Investors shouldn't let cyclical expectations fluctuations blur their focus on Hon Hai's structural story.


Hon Hai AI Server Business Expected to Take Market Share 2H23E, Structural Long

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>U.S. has announced new bans on PE and VC investment into key Chinese tech industries.</li>
<li>Elan Microelectronics, ChipMOS reported good results, two longs to consider as we still see upside.</li>
<li>Apple earnings short-term trades update -- We're closing out both trades, one at a loss and one roughly flat.</li>
</ul>


U.S. has announced new bans on PE and VC investment into key Chinese tech industries.
Elan Microelectronics, ChipMOS reported good results, two longs to consider as we still see upside.
Apple earnings short-term trades update -- We're closing out both trades, one at a loss and one roughly flat.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: U.S. Announces New Bans on Investment into Chinese High Tech Industries

<ul>
<li>Apple will report its earnings on August 3rd, 14:00 PDT. We highlight two potential trades into the Apple earnings event.</li>
<li>Quanta Computer has massively outperformed Apple due to investors latching on to its AI-server growth story. One can consider to Long Apple / Short Quanta into the Apple earnings event.</li>
<li>Hon Hai, Flexium, and Zhen Ding have all lagged Apple's shares yet generate significant revenue from Apple. One can Long a basket of the three into Apple's earnings.</li>
</ul>


Apple will report its earnings on August 3rd, 14:00 PDT. We highlight two potential trades into the Apple earnings event.
Quanta Computer has massively outperformed Apple due to investors latching on to its AI-server growth story. One can consider to Long Apple / Short Quanta into the Apple earnings event.
Hon Hai, Flexium, and Zhen Ding have all lagged Apple's shares yet generate significant revenue from Apple. One can Long a basket of the three into Apple's earnings.


Taiwan Apple Ecosystem Monitor: Two Potential Event Trades into Apple Earnings

Taiwan

Hon Hai Precision Industry Co., Ltd. provides electronic manufacturing services for computers, communications, and consumer electronic products.  The Company's business operations include desktop and notebook PC assembly, connector production, cable assembly, PCB assembly, handset manufacturing, networking equipment, and other consumer electronic devices manufacturing.

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Hon Hai Precision Industry (2317 TT)

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Apple Accelerating to India; ARM IPO; Huawei Mediatek Market Risk; Intel AI PCs

ARM IPO prices at high end of range, is backed by TSMC, Apple, Nvidia, Samsung, Intel. Apple is likely accelerating plans to shift its supply chain...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: U.S. Announces New Bans on Investment into Chinese High Tech Industries

Also, Elan Microelectronics and ChipMOS reported strong results. The two companies represent two Longs to consider, we still see upside.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Apple Ecosystem Monitor: Two Potential Event Trades into Apple Earnings

Apple will report its earnings on August 3rd. We highlight one Long / Short and one Long-Only Basket trade into the event.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Apple Accelerating to India; ARM IPO; Huawei Mediatek Market Risk; Intel AI PCs

ARM IPO prices at high end of range, is backed by TSMC, Apple, Nvidia, Samsung, Intel. Apple is likely accelerating plans to shift its supply chain...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Hon Hai AI Servers Taking Share, Asus Specifies When AI PCs Will Drive Market

Also -- According to media reports, Apple has bought all of TSMC's leading-edge 3nm capacity and may have exclusivity for this 3nm production...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Hon Hai AI Server Business Expected to Take Market Share 2H23E, Structural Long

Any weakness over worries about Apple/consumer products is an opportunity to accumulate. Investors shouldn't let cyclical expectations fluctuations...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: U.S. Announces New Bans on Investment into Chinese High Tech Industries

Also, Elan Microelectronics and ChipMOS reported strong results. The two companies represent two Longs to consider, we still see upside.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Apple Ecosystem Monitor: Two Potential Event Trades into Apple Earnings

Apple will report its earnings on August 3rd. We highlight one Long / Short and one Long-Only Basket trade into the event.

Vincent Fernando, CFA