Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Sun Pharmaceutical Industries / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our long-term bullish outlook (since early-November 2023) remains intact. With that said, we believe a 1-3-month pullback has likely begun.</li>
<li>Supports to watch are at $110 on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) and $41-42 on MSCI EM (EEM-US), and whether these levels hold or not will determine the severity of the pullback.</li>
<li>The S&amp;P 500 is violating its 20-day MA, Europe's EURO STOXX 50 is breaking below 4884, and Japan's TOPIX appears to be staging a false breakout at the 2800-2815 level</li>
</ul>


Our long-term bullish outlook (since early-November 2023) remains intact. With that said, we believe a 1-3-month pullback has likely begun.
Supports to watch are at $110 on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) and $41-42 on MSCI EM (EEM-US), and whether these levels hold or not will determine the severity of the pullback.
The S&amp;P 500 is violating its 20-day MA, Europe's EURO STOXX 50 is breaking below 4884, and Japan's TOPIX appears to be staging a false breakout at the 2800-2815 level


Pullback Underway; Getting Defensive; Long-Term RS Bottoms for Defensives Is a Reason for Caution

Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

Equity Bottom-Up

Tracker Fund of Hong Kong  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>A capitulation-type event for the Hong Kong market is ongoing.</li>
<li>High-Dividend stocks will provide a safer return regardless of broader market moves.</li>
<li>A false breakdown below Oct 2022 support will provide a signal for higher-beta exposure.</li>
</ul>


A capitulation-type event for the Hong Kong market is ongoing.
High-Dividend stocks will provide a safer return regardless of broader market moves.
A false breakdown below Oct 2022 support will provide a signal for higher-beta exposure.


Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Risk-Reward now skewed towards reward in the Hong Kong market.</li>
<li>Barbell strategy with both high-beta and lower volatility dividend stocks.</li>
<li>Some initial ideas included to add or start a portfolio  incorporating HK stocks.</li>
</ul>


Risk-Reward now skewed towards reward in the Hong Kong market.
Barbell strategy with both high-beta and lower volatility dividend stocks.
Some initial ideas included to add or start a portfolio  incorporating HK stocks.


2024 High Conviction Idea: The Case for a Rotation Out of Japan into Hong Kong - Part 3

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

CK Infrastructure Holdings / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Because of significant business overlap, <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ck-infrastructure-holdings-l" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:163:1" rel="noopener">CK Infrastructure Holdings (1038 HK)</a></strong> looks very similar to <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/power-assets-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:788:1" rel="noopener">Power Assets Holdings (6 HK)</a></strong>. And CKI is coming up cheap on my monitor versus PAH. </li>
<li>Preceding my comments on CKI/PAH are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.</li>
<li>These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.</li>
</ul>


Because of significant business overlap, CK Infrastructure Holdings (1038 HK) looks very similar to Power Assets Holdings (6 HK). And CKI is coming up cheap on my monitor versus PAH. 
Preceding my comments on CKI/PAH are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.
These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.


Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Mar 3rd.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Tencent, Meituan, Hsbc, Bidu, Hkelectric, Goldwind, Zijin Mining.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Mar 3rd.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in Tencent, Meituan, Hsbc, Bidu, Hkelectric, Goldwind, Zijin Mining.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Tencent, Meituan, Hsbc, Bidu, Hkelectric, Goldwind, Zijin Mining

Hong Kong

HK Electric Investments and HK Electric Investments Limited is a fixed single investment trust in Hong Kong with a focus on the power industry. The Trust is a vertically integrated power utility and its operations comprise the generation, transmission, distribution, and supply of electricity to Hong Kong Island and Lamma Island.

Price Gauge
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HK Electric Investments (2638 HK)

Pullback Underway; Getting Defensive; Long-Term RS Bottoms for Defensives Is a Reason for Caution

Pullback Underway $ACWI $SPX; Getting Defensive; Long-Term RS Bottoms for Defensive Sectors is a Reason for Caution. Buys in Health Care,...

Vermilion Research

Opportunities in the Hong Kong Market

Hong Kong market experiencing a capitulation event; high-dividend stocks offer stability, while any false breakdown is a signal to take higher...

Rikki Malik

2024 High Conviction Idea: The Case for a Rotation Out of Japan into Hong Kong - Part 3

The Hong Kong market offers a favorable risk-reward ratio, suggesting a barbell strategy with high-beta and low volatility dividend stocks could...

Rikki Malik

StubWorld: CK Infra Vs. Power Assets

Because of significant business overlap, PAH looks very similar to CKI. Investors may prefer to own CKI or PAH, but not both. I'd prefer to tilt...

David Blennerhassett

HK Short Interest Weekly: Tencent, Meituan, Hsbc, Bidu, Hkelectric, Goldwind, Zijin Mining

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Mar 3rd and highlight short interest changes in Tencent, Meituan, Hsbc,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Pullback Underway; Getting Defensive; Long-Term RS Bottoms for Defensives Is a Reason for Caution

Pullback Underway $ACWI $SPX; Getting Defensive; Long-Term RS Bottoms for Defensive Sectors is a Reason for Caution. Buys in Health Care,...

Vermilion Research

Opportunities in the Hong Kong Market

​Hong Kong market experiencing a capitulation event; high-dividend stocks offer stability, while any false breakdown is a signal to take higher...

Rikki Malik

2024 High Conviction Idea: The Case for a Rotation Out of Japan into Hong Kong - Part 3

​The Hong Kong market offers a favorable risk-reward ratio, suggesting a barbell strategy with high-beta and low volatility dividend stocks could...

Rikki Malik

StubWorld: CK Infra Vs. Power Assets

Because of significant business overlap, PAH looks very similar to CKI. Investors may prefer to own CKI or PAH, but not both. I'd prefer to tilt...

David Blennerhassett

HK Short Interest Weekly: Tencent, Meituan, Hsbc, Bidu, Hkelectric, Goldwind, Zijin Mining

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Mar 3rd and highlight short interest changes in Tencent, Meituan, Hsbc,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong market experiencing a capitulation event; high-dividend stocks offer stability, while any false breakdown is a signal to take higher...

The Hong Kong market offers a favorable risk-reward ratio, suggesting a barbell strategy with high-beta and low volatility dividend stocks could...