Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Event-Driven

<p>Late last evening, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vedanta-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:514:1" rel="noopener">Vedanta Ltd (VEDL IN)</a> in an <a href="https://www.bseindia.com/xml-data/corpfiling/AttachLive/172a3c4a-d43e-455e-ab32-24995981d75b.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announcement</a> to the Stock Exchanges said that its promoter <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vedanta-resources-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22202:1" rel="noopener">Vedanta Resources (VED LN)</a> had informed them that the Delisting Offer was deemed to have failed.</p><p>With just over 1.34bn shares needing to be tendered in the Reverse Book Building (RBB) process for the Promoters to reach a 90% shareholding, there were almost 1.378bn shares tendered. However, the number of confirmed shares was only 1.255bn which meant that the 90% threshold was not reached.</p><p>With the delisting having failed, shares that were tendered in the RBB process need to be returned within 10 working days. The stock will come under pressure on Monday with a final selloff once the locked up shares are released. With the futures in ban period, it is extremely difficult for investors to hedge their position.</p><p>The ADR <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sesa-sterlite-ltd-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10972:1" rel="noopener">Vedanta Ltd (VEDL US)</a> had closed 7.74% lower on Friday, implying a local price of INR 109/share versus a close of INR 121.85/share on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vedanta-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:514:1" rel="noopener">Vedanta Ltd (VEDL IN)</a> on Friday.</p><p>In his Insight, we look at the numbers from the RBB process and try to figure out why the Delisting failed and what it could mean for the stock and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vedanta-resources-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22202:1" rel="noopener">Vedanta Resources (VED LN)</a> going forward.</p>

Late last evening, Vedanta Ltd (VEDL IN) in an announcement to the Stock Exchanges said that its promoter Vedanta Resources (VED LN) had informed them that the Delisting Offer was deemed to have failed.With just over 1.34bn shares needing to be tendered in the Reverse Book Building (RBB) process for the Promoters to reach a 90% shareholding, there were almost 1.378bn shares tendered. However, the number of confirmed shares was only 1.255bn which meant that the 90% threshold was not reached.With the delisting having failed, shares that were tendered in the RBB process need to be returned within 10 working days. The stock will come under pressure on Monday with a final selloff once the locked up shares are released. With the futures in ban period, it is extremely difficult for investors to hedge their position.The ADR Vedanta Ltd (VEDL US) had closed 7.74% lower on Friday, implying a local price of INR 109/share versus a close of INR 121.85/share on Vedanta Ltd (VEDL IN) on Friday.In his Insight, we look at the numbers from the RBB process and try to figure out why the Delisting failed and what it could mean for the stock and Vedanta Resources (VED LN) going forward.

Vedanta (VEDL IN): A Failed Delisting Will Now Pressure The Stock

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<p>As of the close today, 20% of the remaining 49.9-ish % of shares out in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vedanta-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:514:1" rel="noopener">Vedanta Ltd (VEDL IN)</a> have been tendered, and a look at the structure of the shareholder base and the prices tendered early on may offer (with some degree of accuracy) an idea of how much more WILL be tendered, how much more MAY be tendered, and how that gets us to 90%. </p><p>Looking at the structure of the Bid Details is also informative. </p><p>Together, this provides information on the best price to place your Bids if you have yet to place them. Watching this through the day may provide some information on what result is likely by day end and therefore whether or not it is worth a trade in the shares realtime. </p><p>There is a lot of information lying around if you know where to pick it up.</p><p>More below the fold. </p><hr><div><p><em>Insights previously published in the timeline of the Vedanta Delisting Offer are listed below.</em></p></div><div><table class="table table-striped"><tbody>
<tr><td colspan="3" style="width: 724.8px;"><h3>Relevant Insights To Date</h3></td></tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 72px;"><strong>Date</strong></td>
<td style="width: 134.4px;"><strong>Theme or Ticker</strong></td>
<td style="width: 476.8px;"><strong>Insight Title</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 72px;">2019</td>
<td style="width: 134.4px;">Indian M&amp;A Guide</td>
<td style="width: 476.8px;">
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/quiddity-india-m-a-guide-2019" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:30885" rel="noopener">Quiddity India M&amp;A Guide 2019</a> </td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 72px;">24 May 2020</td>
<td style="width: 134.4px;">Delisting Offers</td>
<td style="width: 476.8px;">
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/indian-delisting-exit-offers-know-your-process-and-the-games-played" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:39683" rel="noopener">Indian Delisting/Exit Offers - Know Your Process and The Games Played</a> </td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 72px;">19 Jun 2020</td>
<td style="width: 134.4px;">Failed Exit Offers</td>
<td style="width: 476.8px;">
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/failed-exit-offers-in-india-lessons-for-vedl-adani-and-hexw" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:40492" rel="noopener">Failed Exit Offers in India: Lessons for VEDL, ADANI, and HEXW?</a> </td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 72px;">27 May 2020</td>
<td style="width: 134.4px;">
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vedanta-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:514:1" rel="noopener">Vedanta Ltd</a> </td>
<td style="width: 476.8px;">
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/vedanta-delisting-offer-how-it-goes-from-here" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:39761" rel="noopener">Vedanta Delisting Offer - How It Goes From Here</a> </td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 72px;">22 Jun 2020</td>
<td style="width: 134.4px;">
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vedanta-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:514:1" rel="noopener">Vedanta Ltd</a> </td>
<td style="width: 476.8px;">
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/vedanta-delisting-offer-opportunities-and-timing" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:40528" rel="noopener">Vedanta Delisting Offer: Opportunities and Timing</a> </td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 72px;">25 Jun 2020</td>
<td style="width: 134.4px;">
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vedanta-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:514:1" rel="noopener">Vedanta Ltd</a> </td>
<td style="width: 476.8px;">
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/vedanta-buyout-loan-huge-hindustan-zinc-div-but-may-change-vedanta-rbb-timing" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:40653" rel="noopener">Vedanta Buyout Loan = HUGE Hindustan Zinc Div But May Change Vedanta RBB Timing</a> </td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 72px;">14 Jul 2020</td>
<td style="width: 134.4px;">
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vedanta-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:514:1" rel="noopener">Vedanta Ltd</a> </td>
<td style="width: 476.8px;">
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/putting-sightlines-on-the-vedanta-discovered-price" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:41236" rel="noopener">Putting Sightlines on the Vedanta Discovered Price</a> </td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 72px;">18 Aug 2020</td>
<td style="width: 134.4px;">
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vedanta-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:514:1" rel="noopener">Vedanta Ltd</a> </td>
<td style="width: 476.8px;">
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/putting-sightlines-on-the-vedanta-delisting-offer-timing" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:42260" rel="noopener">Putting Sightlines on the Vedanta Delisting Offer TIMING</a> </td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 72px;">7 Sep 2020</td>
<td style="width: 134.4px;">
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vedanta-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:514:1" rel="noopener">Vedanta Ltd</a> </td>
<td style="width: 476.8px;">
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/vedanta-reaching-the-end-game" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:42969" rel="noopener">Vedanta: Reaching The End Game</a> </td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 72px;">17 Sep 2020</td>
<td style="width: 134.4px;">
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vedanta-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:514:1" rel="noopener">Vedanta Ltd</a> </td>
<td style="width: 476.8px;">
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/vedanta-more-fuel-for-the-fire" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:43316" rel="noopener">Vedanta : More Fuel For The Fire</a> </td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 72px;">21 Sep 2020</td>
<td style="width: 134.4px;">
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vedanta-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:514:1" rel="noopener">Vedanta Ltd</a> </td>
<td style="width: 476.8px;">
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/vedanta-vedl-cash-raised-money-flow-and-how-it-affects-delisting-offer-discovered-price" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:43429" rel="noopener">Vedanta (VEDL): Cash Raised, Money Flow, and How It Affects Discovered Price</a> </td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 72px;">29 Sep 2020</td>
<td style="width: 134.4px;">
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vedanta-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:514:1" rel="noopener">Vedanta Ltd</a> </td>
<td style="width: 476.8px;">
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/vedanta-reverse-book-build-auction-it-s-on-and-the-schedule-from-here-is-tight" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:43694" rel="noopener">Vedanta Reverse Book Build Auction - It’s On And the Schedule From Here Is Tight</a> </td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 72px;">4 Oct 2020</td>
<td style="width: 134.4px;">
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vedanta-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:514:1" rel="noopener">Vedanta Ltd</a> </td>
<td style="width: 476.8px;">
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/vedanta-limited-reports-results-key-info-on-deal-funding-embedded" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:43839" rel="noopener">Vedanta Limited Reports Results: KEY Info on Deal Funding Embedded</a> </td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 72px;">8 Oct 2020</td>
<td style="width: 134.4px;">
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vedanta-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:514:1" rel="noopener">Vedanta Ltd</a> </td>
<td style="width: 476.8px;">
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/vedanta-selldown-probably-futures" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:43956" rel="noopener">Vedanta SellDown - Probably Futures</a> </td>
</tr>
</tbody></table></div>

As of the close today, 20% of the remaining 49.9-ish % of shares out in Vedanta Ltd (VEDL IN) have been tendered, and a look at the structure of the shareholder base and the prices tendered early on may offer (with some degree of accuracy) an idea of how much more WILL be tendered, how much more MAY be tendered, and how that gets us to 90%. Looking at the structure of the Bid Details is also informative. Together, this provides information on the best price to place your Bids if you have yet to place them. Watching this through the day may provide some information on what result is likely by day end and therefore whether or not it is worth a trade in the shares realtime. There is a lot of information lying around if you know where to pick it up.More below the fold. Insights previously published in the timeline of the Vedanta Delisting Offer are listed below.
Relevant Insights To Date

Date
Theme or Ticker
Insight Title


2019
Indian M&amp;A Guide

Quiddity India M&amp;A Guide 2019 


24 May 2020
Delisting Offers

Indian Delisting/Exit Offers - Know Your Process and The Games Played 


19 Jun 2020
Failed Exit Offers

Failed Exit Offers in India: Lessons for VEDL, ADANI, and HEXW? 


27 May 2020

Vedanta Ltd 

Vedanta Delisting Offer - How It Goes From Here 


22 Jun 2020

Vedanta Ltd 

Vedanta Delisting Offer: Opportunities and Timing 


25 Jun 2020

Vedanta Ltd 

Vedanta Buyout Loan = HUGE Hindustan Zinc Div But May Change Vedanta RBB Timing 


14 Jul 2020

Vedanta Ltd 

Putting Sightlines on the Vedanta Discovered Price 


18 Aug 2020

Vedanta Ltd 

Putting Sightlines on the Vedanta Delisting Offer TIMING 


7 Sep 2020

Vedanta Ltd 

Vedanta: Reaching The End Game 


17 Sep 2020

Vedanta Ltd 

Vedanta : More Fuel For The Fire 


21 Sep 2020

Vedanta Ltd 

Vedanta (VEDL): Cash Raised, Money Flow, and How It Affects Discovered Price 


29 Sep 2020

Vedanta Ltd 

Vedanta Reverse Book Build Auction - It’s On And the Schedule From Here Is Tight 


4 Oct 2020

Vedanta Ltd 

Vedanta Limited Reports Results: KEY Info on Deal Funding Embedded 


8 Oct 2020

Vedanta Ltd 

Vedanta SellDown - Probably Futures 



Vedanta - Someone Is Playing Silly Buggers But Even On The Last Day Investor Strategy Matters

<p>Today's move lower in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vedanta-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:514:1" rel="noopener">Vedanta Ltd (VEDL IN)</a> on Day 3 of the five-day Reverse Book Build auction to determine a Discovered Price in the Delisting Offer process caught many by surprise. It certainly surprised me. </p>
<p>There are a number of factors which might be blamed for the move on outsized volume, and some are discussed below. One culprit is one or more futures sellers liquidating large size in what should have been a quiet day. There were lots of comments that there may have been shenanigans involved. </p>
<p>The question "where should this fall if the deal breaks?" was on everyone's minds.<br><br>The answer is... difficult.</p>
<p>VEDL has underperformed a basket of its peers by 18% year-to-date as of the 7 October close. And by more than that since the end of February 2020. VEDL is cheap to peers despite debt, so the other question is...</p>
<p><em><strong>What kind of governance discount is really required? </strong></em></p>
<p>Much more below the fold.</p>
<hr>
<div>
<p><em>Insights previously published in the timeline of the Vedanta Delisting Offer are listed below.</em></p>
</div>
<div>
<table class="table table-striped">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td colspan="3" style="width: 724.8px;">
<h3>Relevant Insights To Date</h3>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 72px;"><strong>Date</strong></td>
<td style="width: 134.4px;"><strong>Theme or Ticker</strong></td>
<td style="width: 476.8px;"><strong>Insight Title</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 72px;">2019</td>
<td style="width: 134.4px;">Indian M&amp;A Guide</td>
<td style="width: 476.8px;">
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/quiddity-india-m-a-guide-2019" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:30885" rel="noopener">Quiddity India M&amp;A Guide 2019</a> </td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 72px;">24 May 2020</td>
<td style="width: 134.4px;">Delisting Offers</td>
<td style="width: 476.8px;">
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/indian-delisting-exit-offers-know-your-process-and-the-games-played" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:39683" rel="noopener">Indian Delisting/Exit Offers - Know Your Process and The Games Played</a> </td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 72px;">19 Jun 2020</td>
<td style="width: 134.4px;">Failed Exit Offers</td>
<td style="width: 476.8px;">
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/failed-exit-offers-in-india-lessons-for-vedl-adani-and-hexw" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:40492" rel="noopener">Failed Exit Offers in India: Lessons for VEDL, ADANI, and HEXW?</a> </td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 72px;">27 May 2020</td>
<td style="width: 134.4px;">
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vedanta-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:514:1" rel="noopener">Vedanta Ltd</a> </td>
<td style="width: 476.8px;">
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/vedanta-delisting-offer-how-it-goes-from-here" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:39761" rel="noopener">Vedanta Delisting Offer - How It Goes From Here</a> </td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 72px;">22 Jun 2020</td>
<td style="width: 134.4px;">
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vedanta-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:514:1" rel="noopener">Vedanta Ltd</a> </td>
<td style="width: 476.8px;">
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/vedanta-delisting-offer-opportunities-and-timing" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:40528" rel="noopener">Vedanta Delisting Offer: Opportunities and Timing</a> </td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 72px;">25 Jun 2020</td>
<td style="width: 134.4px;">
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vedanta-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:514:1" rel="noopener">Vedanta Ltd</a> </td>
<td style="width: 476.8px;">
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/vedanta-buyout-loan-huge-hindustan-zinc-div-but-may-change-vedanta-rbb-timing" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:40653" rel="noopener">Vedanta Buyout Loan = HUGE Hindustan Zinc Div But May Change Vedanta RBB Timing</a> </td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 72px;">14 Jul 2020</td>
<td style="width: 134.4px;">
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vedanta-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:514:1" rel="noopener">Vedanta Ltd</a> </td>
<td style="width: 476.8px;">
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/putting-sightlines-on-the-vedanta-discovered-price" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:41236" rel="noopener">Putting Sightlines on the Vedanta Discovered Price</a> </td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 72px;">18 Aug 2020</td>
<td style="width: 134.4px;">
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vedanta-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:514:1" rel="noopener">Vedanta Ltd</a> </td>
<td style="width: 476.8px;">
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/putting-sightlines-on-the-vedanta-delisting-offer-timing" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:42260" rel="noopener">Putting Sightlines on the Vedanta Delisting Offer TIMING</a> </td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 72px;">7 Sep 2020</td>
<td style="width: 134.4px;">
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vedanta-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:514:1" rel="noopener">Vedanta Ltd</a> </td>
<td style="width: 476.8px;">
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/vedanta-reaching-the-end-game" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:42969" rel="noopener">Vedanta: Reaching The End Game</a> </td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 72px;">17 Sep 2020</td>
<td style="width: 134.4px;">
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vedanta-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:514:1" rel="noopener">Vedanta Ltd</a> </td>
<td style="width: 476.8px;">
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/vedanta-more-fuel-for-the-fire" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:43316" rel="noopener">Vedanta : More Fuel For The Fire</a> </td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 72px;">21 Sep 2020</td>
<td style="width: 134.4px;">
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vedanta-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:514:1" rel="noopener">Vedanta Ltd</a> </td>
<td style="width: 476.8px;">
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/vedanta-vedl-cash-raised-money-flow-and-how-it-affects-delisting-offer-discovered-price" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:43429" rel="noopener">Vedanta (VEDL): Cash Raised, Money Flow, and How It Affects Discovered Price</a> </td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 72px;">29 Sep 2020</td>
<td style="width: 134.4px;">
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vedanta-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:514:1" rel="noopener">Vedanta Ltd</a> </td>
<td style="width: 476.8px;">
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/vedanta-reverse-book-build-auction-it-s-on-and-the-schedule-from-here-is-tight" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:43694" rel="noopener">Vedanta Reverse Book Build Auction - It’s On And the Schedule From Here Is Tight</a> </td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 72px;">4 Oct 2020</td>
<td style="width: 134.4px;">
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vedanta-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:514:1" rel="noopener">Vedanta Ltd</a> </td>
<td style="width: 476.8px;">
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/vedanta-limited-reports-results-key-info-on-deal-funding-embedded" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:43839" rel="noopener">Vedanta Limited Reports Results: KEY Info on Deal Funding Embedded</a> </td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>

Today's move lower in Vedanta Ltd (VEDL IN) on Day 3 of the five-day Reverse Book Build auction to determine a Discovered Price in the Delisting Offer process caught many by surprise. It certainly surprised me. 
There are a number of factors which might be blamed for the move on outsized volume, and some are discussed below. One culprit is one or more futures sellers liquidating large size in what should have been a quiet day. There were lots of comments that there may have been shenanigans involved. 
The question "where should this fall if the deal breaks?" was on everyone's minds.  The answer is... difficult.
VEDL has underperformed a basket of its peers by 18% year-to-date as of the 7 October close. And by more than that since the end of February 2020. VEDL is cheap to peers despite debt, so the other question is...
What kind of governance discount is really required? 
Much more below the fold.


Insights previously published in the timeline of the Vedanta Delisting Offer are listed below.






Relevant Insights To Date



Date
Theme or Ticker
Insight Title


2019
Indian M&amp;A Guide

Quiddity India M&amp;A Guide 2019 


24 May 2020
Delisting Offers

Indian Delisting/Exit Offers - Know Your Process and The Games Played 


19 Jun 2020
Failed Exit Offers

Failed Exit Offers in India: Lessons for VEDL, ADANI, and HEXW? 


27 May 2020

Vedanta Ltd 

Vedanta Delisting Offer - How It Goes From Here 


22 Jun 2020

Vedanta Ltd 

Vedanta Delisting Offer: Opportunities and Timing 


25 Jun 2020

Vedanta Ltd 

Vedanta Buyout Loan = HUGE Hindustan Zinc Div But May Change Vedanta RBB Timing 


14 Jul 2020

Vedanta Ltd 

Putting Sightlines on the Vedanta Discovered Price 


18 Aug 2020

Vedanta Ltd 

Putting Sightlines on the Vedanta Delisting Offer TIMING 


7 Sep 2020

Vedanta Ltd 

Vedanta: Reaching The End Game 


17 Sep 2020

Vedanta Ltd 

Vedanta : More Fuel For The Fire 


21 Sep 2020

Vedanta Ltd 

Vedanta (VEDL): Cash Raised, Money Flow, and How It Affects Discovered Price 


29 Sep 2020

Vedanta Ltd 

Vedanta Reverse Book Build Auction - It’s On And the Schedule From Here Is Tight 


4 Oct 2020

Vedanta Ltd 

Vedanta Limited Reports Results: KEY Info on Deal Funding Embedded 





Lakshmi Iyer, CFA

Credit

<p>The reverse book building in connection with the privatization of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vedanta-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:514:1" rel="noopener">Vedanta Ltd (VEDL IN)</a> commenced yesterday. In this Insight, we present our views on implications for bondholders. We feel there is significant upside in the bonds even if the deal happens at a higher price. We also provide our views on what levels of additional debt will be a deal breaker, given the overall <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vedanta-resources-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22202:1" rel="noopener">Vedanta Resources (VED LN)</a> balance sheet.</p><div class="content-highlight"><p><em>Fundamental credit research focused on Asian high yield, including coverage of areas which are generally overlooked such as Indian finance companies and non-USD denominated credit (SGD).  Sector agnostic. Research process consists of rigorous bottom-up company analysis combined with spotting market dislocations to provide trade ideas.</em></p></div>

The reverse book building in connection with the privatization of Vedanta Ltd (VEDL IN) commenced yesterday. In this Insight, we present our views on implications for bondholders. We feel there is significant upside in the bonds even if the deal happens at a higher price. We also provide our views on what levels of additional debt will be a deal breaker, given the overall Vedanta Resources (VED LN) balance sheet.Fundamental credit research focused on Asian high yield, including coverage of areas which are generally overlooked such as Indian finance companies and non-USD denominated credit (SGD).  Sector agnostic. Research process consists of rigorous bottom-up company analysis combined with spotting market dislocations to provide trade ideas.

Vedanta - Ongoing Privatization - Implications for Bondholders

<p>On the 30th of September, the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vedanta-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:514:1" rel="noopener">Vedanta Ltd (VEDL IN)</a> AGM took place to approve the audited financial results of the fiscal year ended 31 March and to re-appoint a certain number of directors. Voting results are linked <a href="https://www.bseindia.com/stock-share-price/vedanta-limited/vedl/500295/voting-results/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">here</a>. </p>
<p>On 1 October, <strong>Vedanta Limited</strong> reported that the promoters Vedanta Resources Limited and its indirect subsidiaries namely, Vedanta Holdings Mauritius Limited and Vedanta Holdings Mauritius II Limited, had, with the assistance of its agent KFin Technologies Private Limited, completed the dispatch of <a href="https://www.bseindia.com/xml-data/corpfiling/AttachHis/0a3309f5-7c2a-4b9e-9d5c-90c16c541dba.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Letter of Offer</a> to all public shareholders.</p>
<p>2 October saw the <a href="https://www.bseindia.com/xml-data/corpfiling/AttachLive/75e5b6d2-92f5-40f7-85bf-12a8e0cca785.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announcements</a> of the Letter of Offer along with a minor corrigendum in the newspapers.</p>
<p>On 3 October, <strong>Vedanta Limited</strong> reported its Q1 financials on Saturday 3 October, some 9-10 weeks later than normal (since the 2010-2011 year, the latest Q1 financials had ever been released was 31 July), with no good reason for the delay noted. Results came in many forms: <a href="https://www.vedantalimited.com/InvestorReports/Standalone%20Results%20June%202020.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Standalone financials</a>, <a href="https://www.vedantalimited.com/InvestorReports/Consol%20Results%20June%202020.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Consolidated Financials</a>, and a <a href="https://www.vedantalimited.com/InvestorReports/VEDL%20Results%20Presentation%20Q1%20FY2021.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Presentation</a>, but unlike prior years, there is no transcript.</p>
<div class="content-highlight">
<p>There are some really interesting pieces of information in this set of financial reports, especially in the auditor's letter. </p>
<p><strong>It appears to tell you more about the possibilities of the Delisting Offer. </strong></p>
</div>
<p>I note that the Reverse Book Build Auction commences tomorrow 5 October and goes through 9 October. </p>
<p>Details below the fold. </p>
<section>
<div id="ember23824">
<hr>
<div>
<p><em>Insights previously published in the timeline of the Vedanta Delisting Offer are listed below.</em></p>
</div>
<div>
<table class="table table-striped">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td colspan="3" style="width: 724.8px;">
<h3>Relevant Insights To Date</h3>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 72px;"><strong>Date</strong></td>
<td style="width: 134.4px;"><strong>Theme or Ticker</strong></td>
<td style="width: 476.8px;"><strong>Insight Title</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 72px;">2019</td>
<td style="width: 134.4px;">Indian M&amp;A Guide</td>
<td style="width: 476.8px;">
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/quiddity-india-m-a-guide-2019" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:30885" rel="noopener">Quiddity India M&amp;A Guide 2019</a> </td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 72px;">24 May 2020</td>
<td style="width: 134.4px;">Delisting Offers</td>
<td style="width: 476.8px;">
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/indian-delisting-exit-offers-know-your-process-and-the-games-played" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:39683" rel="noopener">Indian Delisting/Exit Offers - Know Your Process and The Games Played</a> </td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 72px;">19 Jun 2020</td>
<td style="width: 134.4px;">Failed Exit Offers</td>
<td style="width: 476.8px;">
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/failed-exit-offers-in-india-lessons-for-vedl-adani-and-hexw" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:40492" rel="noopener">Failed Exit Offers in India: Lessons for VEDL, ADANI, and HEXW?</a> </td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 72px;">27 May 2020</td>
<td style="width: 134.4px;">
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vedanta-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:514:1" rel="noopener">Vedanta Ltd</a> </td>
<td style="width: 476.8px;">
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/vedanta-delisting-offer-how-it-goes-from-here" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:39761" rel="noopener">Vedanta Delisting Offer - How It Goes From Here</a> </td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 72px;">22 Jun 2020</td>
<td style="width: 134.4px;">
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vedanta-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:514:1" rel="noopener">Vedanta Ltd</a> </td>
<td style="width: 476.8px;">
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/vedanta-delisting-offer-opportunities-and-timing" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:40528" rel="noopener">Vedanta Delisting Offer: Opportunities and Timing</a> </td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 72px;">25 Jun 2020</td>
<td style="width: 134.4px;">
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vedanta-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:514:1" rel="noopener">Vedanta Ltd</a> </td>
<td style="width: 476.8px;">
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/vedanta-buyout-loan-huge-hindustan-zinc-div-but-may-change-vedanta-rbb-timing" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:40653" rel="noopener">Vedanta Buyout Loan = HUGE Hindustan Zinc Div But May Change Vedanta RBB Timing</a> </td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 72px;">14 Jul 2020</td>
<td style="width: 134.4px;">
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vedanta-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:514:1" rel="noopener">Vedanta Ltd</a> </td>
<td style="width: 476.8px;">
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/putting-sightlines-on-the-vedanta-discovered-price" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:41236" rel="noopener">Putting Sightlines on the Vedanta Discovered Price</a> </td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 72px;">18 Aug 2020</td>
<td style="width: 134.4px;">
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vedanta-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:514:1" rel="noopener">Vedanta Ltd</a> </td>
<td style="width: 476.8px;">
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/putting-sightlines-on-the-vedanta-delisting-offer-timing" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:42260" rel="noopener">Putting Sightlines on the Vedanta Delisting Offer TIMING</a> </td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 72px;">7 Sep 2020</td>
<td style="width: 134.4px;">
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vedanta-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:514:1" rel="noopener">Vedanta Ltd</a> </td>
<td style="width: 476.8px;">
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/vedanta-reaching-the-end-game" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:42969" rel="noopener">Vedanta: Reaching The End Game</a> </td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 72px;">17 Sep 2020</td>
<td style="width: 134.4px;">
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vedanta-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:514:1" rel="noopener">Vedanta Ltd</a> </td>
<td style="width: 476.8px;">
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/vedanta-more-fuel-for-the-fire" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:43316" rel="noopener">Vedanta : More Fuel For The Fire</a> </td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 72px;">21 Sep 2020</td>
<td style="width: 134.4px;">
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vedanta-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:514:1" rel="noopener">Vedanta Ltd</a> </td>
<td style="width: 476.8px;">
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/vedanta-vedl-cash-raised-money-flow-and-how-it-affects-delisting-offer-discovered-price" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:43429" rel="noopener">Vedanta (VEDL): Cash Raised, Money Flow, and How It Affects Discovered Price</a> </td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 72px;">29 Sep 2020</td>
<td style="width: 134.4px;">
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vedanta-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:514:1" rel="noopener">Vedanta Ltd</a> </td>
<td style="width: 476.8px;">
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/vedanta-reverse-book-build-auction-it-s-on-and-the-schedule-from-here-is-tight" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:43694" rel="noopener">Vedanta Reverse Book Build Auction - It’s On And the Schedule From Here Is Tight</a> </td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
</section>

On the 30th of September, the Vedanta Ltd (VEDL IN) AGM took place to approve the audited financial results of the fiscal year ended 31 March and to re-appoint a certain number of directors. Voting results are linked here. 
On 1 October, Vedanta Limited reported that the promoters Vedanta Resources Limited and its indirect subsidiaries namely, Vedanta Holdings Mauritius Limited and Vedanta Holdings Mauritius II Limited, had, with the assistance of its agent KFin Technologies Private Limited, completed the dispatch of Letter of Offer to all public shareholders.
2 October saw the announcements of the Letter of Offer along with a minor corrigendum in the newspapers.
On 3 October, Vedanta Limited reported its Q1 financials on Saturday 3 October, some 9-10 weeks later than normal (since the 2010-2011 year, the latest Q1 financials had ever been released was 31 July), with no good reason for the delay noted. Results came in many forms: Standalone financials, Consolidated Financials, and a Presentation, but unlike prior years, there is no transcript.

There are some really interesting pieces of information in this set of financial reports, especially in the auditor's letter. 
It appears to tell you more about the possibilities of the Delisting Offer. 

I note that the Reverse Book Build Auction commences tomorrow 5 October and goes through 9 October. 
Details below the fold. 




Insights previously published in the timeline of the Vedanta Delisting Offer are listed below.






Relevant Insights To Date



Date
Theme or Ticker
Insight Title


2019
Indian M&amp;A Guide

Quiddity India M&amp;A Guide 2019 


24 May 2020
Delisting Offers

Indian Delisting/Exit Offers - Know Your Process and The Games Played 


19 Jun 2020
Failed Exit Offers

Failed Exit Offers in India: Lessons for VEDL, ADANI, and HEXW? 


27 May 2020

Vedanta Ltd 

Vedanta Delisting Offer - How It Goes From Here 


22 Jun 2020

Vedanta Ltd 

Vedanta Delisting Offer: Opportunities and Timing 


25 Jun 2020

Vedanta Ltd 

Vedanta Buyout Loan = HUGE Hindustan Zinc Div But May Change Vedanta RBB Timing 


14 Jul 2020

Vedanta Ltd 

Putting Sightlines on the Vedanta Discovered Price 


18 Aug 2020

Vedanta Ltd 

Putting Sightlines on the Vedanta Delisting Offer TIMING 


7 Sep 2020

Vedanta Ltd 

Vedanta: Reaching The End Game 


17 Sep 2020

Vedanta Ltd 

Vedanta : More Fuel For The Fire 


21 Sep 2020

Vedanta Ltd 

Vedanta (VEDL): Cash Raised, Money Flow, and How It Affects Discovered Price 


29 Sep 2020

Vedanta Ltd 

Vedanta Reverse Book Build Auction - It’s On And the Schedule From Here Is Tight 







Vedanta Limited Reports Results: KEY Info on Deal Funding Embedded

India

Hindustan Zinc Limited specializes in the exploration, mining and smelting of zinc, lead and other non-ferrous metals.  The Company's products include zinc ore, lead zinc concentrate, zinc metal, lead metal, cadmium metal, silver metal and sulfuric acid.

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Hindustan Zinc (HZ IN)

Vedanta (VEDL IN): A Failed Delisting Will Now Pressure The Stock

With the Vedanta Delisting Offer having failed, we take a look at why it failed and what it could mean for the stock going forward.

Brian Freitas

Vedanta - Someone Is Playing Silly Buggers But Even On The Last Day Investor Strategy Matters

As of the close today, 20% of the remaining 49.9-ish % of s

Travis Lundy

Vedanta SellDown - Probably Futures

Today's move in Vedanta Ltd (VEDL IN) while the

Travis Lundy

Vedanta - Ongoing Privatization - Implications for Bondholders

The privatization exercise of Vedanta Ltd (VEDL IN) commenced yesterday. We present our

Lakshmi Iyer, CFA

Vedanta Limited Reports Results: KEY Info on Deal Funding Embedded

$Vedanta Limit

Travis Lundy

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