Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Taiwan AI names rebounded strongly after having previously suffered declines. Nevertheless, many names have outperformed Nvidia and could be good hedges vs. a Long Nvidia position.</li>
<li>Nanya Tech crashed after the market reacted to Micron's weaker than expected near-term guidance. We believe the negative reaction to Micron is short-sighted. Please see our piece.</li>
<li>Delta Thailand crashed vs. Delta Taiwan after the parent sold a stake in the Thai subsidiary. We continue to believe Delta Taiwan offers substantially better value.</li>
</ul>


Taiwan AI names rebounded strongly after having previously suffered declines. Nevertheless, many names have outperformed Nvidia and could be good hedges vs. a Long Nvidia position.
Nanya Tech crashed after the market reacted to Micron's weaker than expected near-term guidance. We believe the negative reaction to Micron is short-sighted. Please see our piece.
Delta Thailand crashed vs. Delta Taiwan after the parent sold a stake in the Thai subsidiary. We continue to believe Delta Taiwan offers substantially better value.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Taiwan AI Names Rebound; Memory Crashes; Look for Nvidia Hedges

<ul>
<li>Micron results this week. The company is likely to call a trough for memory prices and highlight its development of the next most advanced type of HBM DRAM for AI. </li>
<li>Taiwan's market fell, with previous AI-rally beneficiaries continuing to be some of the top losers. Interestingly, Taiwan AI-names outperformed Nvidia over the last three months.</li>
<li>Intel's Innovation Conference wrapped up last week, with its new Meteor Lake PC CPUs launching Dec 14th, which is positive for the PC supply chain. Intel shares fell slightly however.</li>
</ul>


Micron results this week. The company is likely to call a trough for memory prices and highlight its development of the next most advanced type of HBM DRAM for AI. 
Taiwan's market fell, with previous AI-rally beneficiaries continuing to be some of the top losers. Interestingly, Taiwan AI-names outperformed Nvidia over the last three months.
Intel's Innovation Conference wrapped up last week, with its new Meteor Lake PC CPUs launching Dec 14th, which is positive for the PC supply chain. Intel shares fell slightly however.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Micron Results Ahead; Taiwan AI Plays Slump But Still Beat Nvidia Last 3 Months

Himax Technologies Inc Adr / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Himax shares have been in downtrend recently, falling 20% since the end of June vs. Novatek up 12%. We met with the Himax for an update.</li>
<li>Himax at historically very cheap level relative to Novatek, both are exposed to similar display end-markets. Himax trades at just 1x sales on an absolute basis.</li>
<li>We have a Structural Long view for both stocks, however from an arb perspective see a Long Himax vs. Short Novatek trade opportunity given the large share price divergence.</li>
</ul>


Himax shares have been in downtrend recently, falling 20% since the end of June vs. Novatek up 12%. We met with the Himax for an update.
Himax at historically very cheap level relative to Novatek, both are exposed to similar display end-markets. Himax trades at just 1x sales on an absolute basis.
We have a Structural Long view for both stocks, however from an arb perspective see a Long Himax vs. Short Novatek trade opportunity given the large share price divergence.


Himax Vs. Novatek Long/Short: Management Meeting; Himax Historically Cheap

<ul>
<li>India Supply Chain Rising -- Hon Hai is helping Apple launch with India-made iPhone 15's on Day 1. These days, Apple likely wants to diversify away from China even faster.</li>
<li>ARM IPO prices at high end of range, is backed by TSMC, Apple, Nvidia, Samsung, Intel.</li>
<li>We downgrade Mediatek: After rally, beware of Huawei/SMIC chip capabilities causing market to realize Mediatek could lose market share.</li>
</ul>


India Supply Chain Rising -- Hon Hai is helping Apple launch with India-made iPhone 15's on Day 1. These days, Apple likely wants to diversify away from China even faster.
ARM IPO prices at high end of range, is backed by TSMC, Apple, Nvidia, Samsung, Intel.
We downgrade Mediatek: After rally, beware of Huawei/SMIC chip capabilities causing market to realize Mediatek could lose market share.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Apple Accelerating to India; ARM IPO; Huawei Mediatek Market Risk; Intel AI PCs

<ul>
<li>Hon Hai beat expecations by nearly 30% but reduced 2023E sales guidance. However, the company's AI server business is expected to take market share and its EV business is developing.</li>
<li>Asustek management provided some clarity on when AI PCs might turn from dream into reality -- 3Q24E is when the company believes they will contribute significantly to sales volume.</li>
<li>Himax reported some improvement in demand from China beleaguered automotive industry and said it expects its dominant global market position for automotive display drivers to continue.</li>
</ul>


Hon Hai beat expecations by nearly 30% but reduced 2023E sales guidance. However, the company's AI server business is expected to take market share and its EV business is developing.
Asustek management provided some clarity on when AI PCs might turn from dream into reality -- 3Q24E is when the company believes they will contribute significantly to sales volume.
Himax reported some improvement in demand from China beleaguered automotive industry and said it expects its dominant global market position for automotive display drivers to continue.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Hon Hai AI Servers Taking Share, Asus Specifies When AI PCs Will Drive Market

Taiwan

Himax Technologies, Inc. designs and manufactures integrated circuits.  The Company produces liquid crystal displays (LCD).

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Himax Technologies Inc Adr (HIMX US)

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Taiwan AI Names Rebound; Memory Crashes; Look for Nvidia Hedges

Taiwan AI names rebounded strongly after having previously suffered declines. Nevertheless, many names have outperformed Nvidia and could be good...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Micron Results Ahead; Taiwan AI Plays Slump But Still Beat Nvidia Last 3 Months

Taiwan's market fell, with previous AI-rally beneficiaries continuing to be some of the top losers. Interestingly, Taiwan AI-names outperformed...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Himax Vs. Novatek Long/Short: Management Meeting; Himax Historically Cheap

We have a Structural Long view for both stocks, however from an arb perspective see a Long Himax vs. Short Novatek trade opportunity given the...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Apple Accelerating to India; ARM IPO; Huawei Mediatek Market Risk; Intel AI PCs

ARM IPO prices at high end of range, is backed by TSMC, Apple, Nvidia, Samsung, Intel. Apple is likely accelerating plans to shift its supply chain...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Taiwan AI Names Rebound; Memory Crashes; Look for Nvidia Hedges

Taiwan AI names rebounded strongly after having previously suffered declines. Nevertheless, many names have outperformed Nvidia and could be good...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Micron Results Ahead; Taiwan AI Plays Slump But Still Beat Nvidia Last 3 Months

Taiwan's market fell, with previous AI-rally beneficiaries continuing to be some of the top losers. Interestingly, Taiwan AI-names outperformed...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Himax Vs. Novatek Long/Short: Management Meeting; Himax Historically Cheap

We have a Structural Long view for both stocks, however from an arb perspective see a Long Himax vs. Short Novatek trade opportunity given the...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Apple Accelerating to India; ARM IPO; Huawei Mediatek Market Risk; Intel AI PCs

ARM IPO prices at high end of range, is backed by TSMC, Apple, Nvidia, Samsung, Intel. Apple is likely accelerating plans to shift its supply chain...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Hon Hai AI Servers Taking Share, Asus Specifies When AI PCs Will Drive Market

Also -- According to media reports, Apple has bought all of TSMC's leading-edge 3nm capacity and may have exclusivity for this 3nm production...

Vincent Fernando, CFA