Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>South Korean battery makers stand to benefit from Tesla's production issues with 46800 cells, boosting profitability in May 2024.</li><li>STMicro and Panasonic Cycle Tech team up to introduce AI technology in e-bikes, making safety enhancements more affordable and accessible.</li><li>Axelera AI secures US$68 million for global expansion in AI, recognizing computing as the new currency and focusing on growth in the tech industry.</li></ul>

South Korean battery makers stand to benefit from Tesla's production issues with 46800 cells, boosting profitability in May 2024.STMicro and Panasonic Cycle Tech team up to introduce AI technology in e-bikes, making safety enhancements more affordable and accessible.Axelera AI secures US$68 million for global expansion in AI, recognizing computing as the new currency and focusing on growth in the tech industry.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (29-Jun-2024): Notebook shipment update May 2024

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Hewlett Packard Enterprise  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company delivered a positive result and managed an all-around beat last quarter.</li><li>HPE produced significant free cash flow while increasing its revenue, gross margin, as well as earnings per share year over year.</li><li>In this report, we have carried out a fundamental analysis of the historical financial statements of the company.</li></ul>

Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company delivered a positive result and managed an all-around beat last quarter.HPE produced significant free cash flow while increasing its revenue, gross margin, as well as earnings per share year over year.In this report, we have carried out a fundamental analysis of the historical financial statements of the company.

Hewlett Packard Enterprise: Soaring Sales and the Genius Behind Intelligent Edge! - Major Drivers

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Hon Hai Precision Industry / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Hon Hai's 4Q23 profit beat consensus and management has become more bullish on 2024E revenue thanks to demand for AI servers.</li>
<li>Guided 40% YoY growth expected for AI servers; Separately, Hon Hai reportedly could have won a major AI server order from HP Enterprise according to Digitimes.</li>
<li>Hon Hai shares are finally moving; We see room for continued upside based on re-rating of the company's valuation. Positive news flow potential through Nvidia's GTC conference next week.</li>
</ul>


Hon Hai's 4Q23 profit beat consensus and management has become more bullish on 2024E revenue thanks to demand for AI servers.
Guided 40% YoY growth expected for AI servers; Separately, Hon Hai reportedly could have won a major AI server order from HP Enterprise according to Digitimes.
Hon Hai shares are finally moving; We see room for continued upside based on re-rating of the company's valuation. Positive news flow potential through Nvidia's GTC conference next week.


Hon Hai: Beat & Raise; Further Valuation Upside; AI Server Product Announcements Next Week

<ul>
<li>Dell and HP's latest results indicate an improving PC industry environment in 2H23E, though weaker than expected China demand has softened initial expectations.</li>
<li>A key take-away is that a major AI PC upgrade cycle is indeed on the horizon, with additional clarity now provided as to when and how it will unfold.</li>
<li>A 'step-change' AI PC upgrade cycle will make the strength of the current near-term cycle recovery less relevant, and isn't yet priced-in by the market.</li>
</ul>


Dell and HP's latest results indicate an improving PC industry environment in 2H23E, though weaker than expected China demand has softened initial expectations.
A key take-away is that a major AI PC upgrade cycle is indeed on the horizon, with additional clarity now provided as to when and how it will unfold.
A 'step-change' AI PC upgrade cycle will make the strength of the current near-term cycle recovery less relevant, and isn't yet priced-in by the market.


Recent Dell & HP Results Provide Additional Clarity on Coming AI PC Wave

<ul>
<li>Taiwan PC makers have been top performers in the market; some may worry that their rallies have become over-extended by too much AI PC excitement.</li>
<li>We believe Dell may present a Long opportunity as the Long side to a Long/Short trade whereby one Sells Acer against it. Acer rose over 50% in December.</li>
<li>Dell will report its results end-February. We would Long Dell vs. Short Acer ahead of the Dell earnings event. We see more upside surprise potential in Dell.</li>
</ul>


Taiwan PC makers have been top performers in the market; some may worry that their rallies have become over-extended by too much AI PC excitement.
We believe Dell may present a Long opportunity as the Long side to a Long/Short trade whereby one Sells Acer against it. Acer rose over 50% in December.
Dell will report its results end-February. We would Long Dell vs. Short Acer ahead of the Dell earnings event. We see more upside surprise potential in Dell.


AI PC Reality Check: PC Upgrade Cycle Ahead, But Worth a 50% 1M Acer Rally? Long Dell Vs. Short Acer

United States

Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company provides information technology solutions. The Company offers enterprise security, analytics and data management, applications development and testing, data center care, cloud consulting, and business process services. Hewlett Packard Enterprise serves customers worldwide.

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Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE US)

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (29-Jun-2024): Notebook shipment update May 2024

May 2024 notebook shipment update, Tesla's production issues benefit South Korean battery makers, AI technology in e-bikes, Axelera AI secures $68M...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Hewlett Packard Enterprise: Soaring Sales and the Genius Behind Intelligent Edge! - Major Drivers

Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company delivered a positive result and managed an all-around beat last quarter. HPE produced significant free cash...

Baptista Research

Hon Hai: Beat & Raise; Further Valuation Upside; AI Server Product Announcements Next Week

Hon Hai's delivers strong 4Q23 profit and bullish outlook on 2024 revenue driven by demand for AI servers. Potential major order from HP...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Recent Dell & HP Results Provide Additional Clarity on Coming AI PC Wave

A 'step-change' AI PC upgrade cycle will make the strength of the current near-term cycle recovery less relevant, and isn't yet priced-in by the...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

AI PC Reality Check: PC Upgrade Cycle Ahead, But Worth a 50% 1M Acer Rally? Long Dell Vs. Short Acer

Dell will report its results end-February. We would Long Dell vs. Short Acer ahead of the Dell earnings event. We see more upside surprise...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

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Dividend (Yield)

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (29-Jun-2024): Notebook shipment update May 2024

May 2024 notebook shipment update, Tesla's production issues benefit South Korean battery makers, AI technology in e-bikes, Axelera AI secures $68M...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Hewlett Packard Enterprise: Soaring Sales and the Genius Behind Intelligent Edge! - Major Drivers

Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company delivered a positive result and managed an all-around beat last quarter. HPE produced significant free cash...

Baptista Research

Hon Hai: Beat & Raise; Further Valuation Upside; AI Server Product Announcements Next Week

​Hon Hai's delivers strong 4Q23 profit and bullish outlook on 2024 revenue driven by demand for AI servers. Potential major order from HP...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Recent Dell & HP Results Provide Additional Clarity on Coming AI PC Wave

A 'step-change' AI PC upgrade cycle will make the strength of the current near-term cycle recovery less relevant, and isn't yet priced-in by the...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

AI PC Reality Check: PC Upgrade Cycle Ahead, But Worth a 50% 1M Acer Rally? Long Dell Vs. Short Acer

Dell will report its results end-February. We would Long Dell vs. Short Acer ahead of the Dell earnings event. We see more upside surprise...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Hon Hai's delivers strong 4Q23 profit and bullish outlook on 2024 revenue driven by demand for AI servers. Potential major order from HP...