Independent Investment Research, The IDEA!

The IDEA!

Independent Investment Research

The Idea-Driven Equities Analyses company (the IDEA!) is an employee-owned boutique providing independent investment research and financial consultancy services with a clear focus on the Benelux countries. The company was founded in the summer of 2007 by Henk Slotboom and Maarten Verbeek, both with more than 35 years of professional experience in the financial sector. The IDEA! differentiates itself by focusing on adding value through self-initiated in-depth, idea-driven investment research, as well as by bespoke research assignments for institutional investors, hedge funds and private equity. In addition, we provide market intelligence, strategic research and – together with our business partners – consultancy services to businesses. In case you are interested in receiving more information, a sample of our products or an introductory meeting, please send a message to info@theidea.nl.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>In this edition: • ABN Amro | strong finish of the year in income; costs inflated by incidentals • Ahold Delhaize | strong performance Europe, US disappoints; outlook no surprises • Heineken | clear beat of market expectations; EUR 1.5bn share buyback • Randstad | challenging trading conditions resulting in additional write-downs, impairments and integration costs – proposes its floor dividend • Shell | Milieudefensie turns to Dutch Supreme Court in climate case</li></ul>

In this edition: • ABN Amro | strong finish of the year in income; costs inflated by incidentals • Ahold Delhaize | strong performance Europe, US disappoints; outlook no surprises • Heineken | clear beat of market expectations; EUR 1.5bn share buyback • Randstad | challenging trading conditions resulting in additional write-downs, impairments and integration costs – proposes its floor dividend • Shell | Milieudefensie turns to Dutch Supreme Court in climate case

Randstad Holding NV - What's News in Amsterdam

European Event-Driven Analyst

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Discounts to NAV of covered holdcos mainly tightened during January 2025. Discounts to NAV: C.F.Alba, 12.9% (vs. 11.8% as of 31 December 2024); GBL, 40% (vs. 40.9%);</li>
<li>Heineken Holding, 13.2% (vs. 15.8%); Industrivärden C, 3.0% (vs. 5.5%); Investor B, 4.5% (vs. 7.6%); Porsche Automobile Holding, 36% (vs. 32.2%). Rio DLC spread tightened to 20.3% (vs. 23%).</li>
<li>What seems interesting (unchanged views): Porsche SE vs. listed assets and the Rio DLC (long RIO LN/short RIO AU).</li>
</ul>


Discounts to NAV of covered holdcos mainly tightened during January 2025. Discounts to NAV: C.F.Alba, 12.9% (vs. 11.8% as of 31 December 2024); GBL, 40% (vs. 40.9%);
Heineken Holding, 13.2% (vs. 15.8%); Industrivärden C, 3.0% (vs. 5.5%); Investor B, 4.5% (vs. 7.6%); Porsche Automobile Holding, 36% (vs. 32.2%). Rio DLC spread tightened to 20.3% (vs. 23%).
What seems interesting (unchanged views): Porsche SE vs. listed assets and the Rio DLC (long RIO LN/short RIO AU).


Selected European HoldCos and DLC: January 2025 Report

<ul><li>In today's edition: • Heineken | stops selling beer in the Indian state of Telangana • NN Group | completes sale of its Turkish operations • Havas | ups FY24 guidance • bpostgroup | bpost offers packaging and label-free (L2L) shipping • Triodos Bank | offers a package of measures to its depository receipts (“DR”) holders • Dutch housing market | more homes sold in FY24; average transaction price up 11.5% YoY</li></ul>

In today's edition: • Heineken | stops selling beer in the Indian state of Telangana • NN Group | completes sale of its Turkish operations • Havas | ups FY24 guidance • bpostgroup | bpost offers packaging and label-free (L2L) shipping • Triodos Bank | offers a package of measures to its depository receipts (“DR”) holders • Dutch housing market | more homes sold in FY24; average transaction price up 11.5% YoY

<ul>
<li>Discounts to NAV of covered holdcos mainly tightened during 2024. Discounts to NAV: C.F.Alba, 11.8% (vs. 50.8% as of Y/E 2023); GBL, 40.9% (vs. 37.4%); Heineken Holding, 15.8% (vs. 16.7%);</li>
<li>Industrivärden C, 5.5% (vs. 5.5%); Investor B, 4.5% (vs. 12.8%); Porsche Automobile Holding, 32.2% (vs. 36.6%). Rio DLC spread tightened to 23% (vs. 24.2%).</li>
<li>What seems interesting (unchanged views): Porsche SE vs. listed assets and the Rio DLC (long RIO LN/short RIO AU).</li>
</ul>


Discounts to NAV of covered holdcos mainly tightened during 2024. Discounts to NAV: C.F.Alba, 11.8% (vs. 50.8% as of Y/E 2023); GBL, 40.9% (vs. 37.4%); Heineken Holding, 15.8% (vs. 16.7%);
Industrivärden C, 5.5% (vs. 5.5%); Investor B, 4.5% (vs. 12.8%); Porsche Automobile Holding, 32.2% (vs. 36.6%). Rio DLC spread tightened to 23% (vs. 24.2%).
What seems interesting (unchanged views): Porsche SE vs. listed assets and the Rio DLC (long RIO LN/short RIO AU).


Selected European HoldCos and DLC: 2024 Report

Porsche Automobil Holding  / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Discounts to NAV of covered holdcos mainly widened during November. Discounts to NAV: C.F.Alba, 49.8% (vs. 48.7% as of 29 November); GBL, 40.6% (vs. 40.9%); Heineken Holding, 14.4% (vs. 14%); </li>
<li>Industrivärden C, 4.0% (vs. 2.4%); Investor B, 4.3% (vs. 2.8%); Porsche Automobile Holding, 29.8% (vs. 31.7%). Rio DLC spread tightened to 22.4% (vs. 22.5%).</li>
<li>What seems interesting (unchanged views): Porsche SE vs. listed assets and the Rio DLC (long RIO LN/short RIO AU).</li>
</ul>


Discounts to NAV of covered holdcos mainly widened during November. Discounts to NAV: C.F.Alba, 49.8% (vs. 48.7% as of 29 November); GBL, 40.6% (vs. 40.9%); Heineken Holding, 14.4% (vs. 14%); 
Industrivärden C, 4.0% (vs. 2.4%); Investor B, 4.3% (vs. 2.8%); Porsche Automobile Holding, 29.8% (vs. 31.7%). Rio DLC spread tightened to 22.4% (vs. 22.5%).
What seems interesting (unchanged views): Porsche SE vs. listed assets and the Rio DLC (long RIO LN/short RIO AU).


Selected European HoldCos and DLC: November'24 Report

Netherlands

Heineken Holding NV, through its subsidiary produces and distributes beverages internationally.  The Company produces beers, spirits, wines, and soft drinks under various brand names. Heineken operates through numerous subsidiaries and associated companies worldwide.

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Heineken Holding NV (HEIO NA)

Randstad Holding NV - What's News in Amsterdam

In this edition: • ABN Amro | strong finish of the year in income; costs inflated by incidentals • Ahold Delhaize | strong performance Europe, US...

The IDEA!

Selected European HoldCos and DLC: January 2025 Report

Discounts to NAV of covered holdcos mainly tightened during January 2025. What seems interesting (unchanged views): Porsche SE vs. listed assets...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

What's News in Amsterdam - 10 January (Heineken | NN Group | Havas | bpostgroup | Triodos Bank | Dutch housing market)

In today's edition: • Heineken | stops selling beer in the Indian state of Telangana • NN Group | completes sale of its Turkish operations • Havas...

The IDEA!

Selected European HoldCos and DLC: 2024 Report

Discounts to NAV of covered holdcos mainly tightened during 2024. What seems interesting (unchanged views): Porsche SE vs. listed assets and the...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Selected European HoldCos and DLC: November'24 Report

Discounts to NAV of covered European holdcos mainly widened during November. What seems interesting (unchanged views): Porsche SE vs. listed assets...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

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