External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Nirmal Bang

Nirmal Bang

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<div><div><div><div><ul><li>4QFY22 key takeaways: While the revenues were broadly in line with expectations, supply-side challenges meant that margins disappointed.</li></ul><div><div><div><div><ul><li>A massive margin regime change on the cards in FY24, but this will not mean much from a stock performance perspective in the next 12 months:</li></ul><div><div><div><div><ul><li>Tier-2 could face significant risks in the new environment: We fear Indian Tier-2 IT would suffer more because of vendor consolidation under the pressured profit picture for customers, a less diversified revenue mix (client, service line, vertical), which could throw up negative growth surprises, and a larger exposure to non-Global 1000 clientele whose profits are more vulnerable in the current challenging macro environment. Indian Tier-2 IT is now at a PE premium of ~20% to Tier-1 from a discount of 14% on 1st January, 2020.</li></ul></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

4QFY22 key takeaways: While the revenues were broadly in line with expectations, supply-side challenges meant that margins disappointed.A massive margin regime change on the cards in FY24, but this will not mean much from a stock performance perspective in the next 12 months:Tier-2 could face significant risks in the new environment: We fear Indian Tier-2 IT would suffer more because of vendor consolidation under the pressured profit picture for customers, a less diversified revenue mix (client, service line, vertical), which could throw up negative growth surprises, and a larger exposure to non-Global 1000 clientele whose profits are more vulnerable in the current challenging macro environment. Indian Tier-2 IT is now at a PE premium of ~20% to Tier-1 from a discount of 14% on 1st January, 2020.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Sector Update - Cut Target Prices yet Again; Customer Stress Shows up Earlier than Expected

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>While we have underweighted the IT sector (Report) HCL Technologies (HCLT) is a preferred pick due to (1) Significant narrowing of growth differential in FY23 despite disappointment on revenue guidance - vis-à-vis Indian Tier-1 growth leader Infosys.</li><li>We also see modest acceleration in FY23 while most Tier-1 peers will see deceleration</li><li>Our view that underlying growth in Products and Platforms (P&amp;P) business is positive...(continued).</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

While we have underweighted the IT sector (Report) HCL Technologies (HCLT) is a preferred pick due to (1) Significant narrowing of growth differential in FY23 despite disappointment on revenue guidance - vis-à-vis Indian Tier-1 growth leader Infosys.We also see modest acceleration in FY23 while most Tier-1 peers will see decelerationOur view that underlying growth in Products and Platforms (P&amp;P) business is positive...(continued).Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HCL Technologies: P&P an Optical Drag but Services Strong

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

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<ul><li>HCL Technologies Ltd (HCL Tech) Q4FY22 performance stood in line with our expectations.</li><li>The company reported revenues of Rs 22,597 Cr, up 1.1% QoQ and 15.1% YoY.</li><li>We recommend a BUY rating on the stock and assign a 20x P/E multiple to its FY24E earnings of Rs 67.4/share to arrive at a TP of Rs 1,345/share, indicating an upside of 22% from the CMP.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

HCL Technologies Ltd (HCL Tech) Q4FY22 performance stood in line with our expectations.The company reported revenues of Rs 22,597 Cr, up 1.1% QoQ and 15.1% YoY.We recommend a BUY rating on the stock and assign a 20x P/E multiple to its FY24E earnings of Rs 67.4/share to arrive at a TP of Rs 1,345/share, indicating an upside of 22% from the CMP.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HCL Technologies: Better Execution; Outlook Continues To Be Robust

<ul><li>We are downgrading Indian IT Services sector to underweight (UW) on a 12-month basis, though in the near term, there is relative earnings resilience against certain domestic sectors.</li><li>But, the likely 1HFY23 strength should be used to pare positions if overweight (OW), especially in expensive Tier-2 companies.</li><li>Nifty IT index is up ~144% from 1st Jan, 2020 till 31st March, 2022 while Nifty is up 44% (Nifty Bank up only 13%!)</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

We are downgrading Indian IT Services sector to underweight (UW) on a 12-month basis, though in the near term, there is relative earnings resilience against certain domestic sectors.But, the likely 1HFY23 strength should be used to pare positions if overweight (OW), especially in expensive Tier-2 companies.Nifty IT index is up ~144% from 1st Jan, 2020 till 31st March, 2022 while Nifty is up 44% (Nifty Bank up only 13%!)Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Information Technology Sector- Sector Update- Move to Underweight

<ul><li>IT Services sector is expected to report strong growth in Q4FY22 primarily on account of the new large deal wins and a ramp-up of deals won in the previous quarter despite seasonality furloughs</li><li>IT spending in North America and Europe has gained momentum and demand for digital transformation has increased exponentially</li><li>Furthermore, improved macro-economic opportunities across the globe are expected to provide further growth impetus to the sector moving forward</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

IT Services sector is expected to report strong growth in Q4FY22 primarily on account of the new large deal wins and a ramp-up of deals won in the previous quarter despite seasonality furloughsIT spending in North America and Europe has gained momentum and demand for digital transformation has increased exponentiallyFurthermore, improved macro-economic opportunities across the globe are expected to provide further growth impetus to the sector moving forwardContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

IT: Supply-Side Constraints Persist; Demand Robust

India

HCL Technologies Limited provides software development and related engineering services.  The Group's technologies utilize a variety of technologies, including Internet and e-commerce, networking, internet telephony, embedded software, ASIC/VLSI design and testing, satellite and wireless communications, and component based object technologies, including COM, DCOM and COBRA.

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HCL Technologies (HCLT IN)

Sector Update - Cut Target Prices yet Again; Customer Stress Shows up Earlier than Expected

Just 40 days post our downgrade of the IT sector to ‘underweight’, we have reduced target prices yet again and have moved our entire coverage...

Nirmal Bang

HCL Technologies: P&P an Optical Drag but Services Strong

While we have underweighted the IT sector (Report) HCL Technologies (HCLT) is a preferred pick due to (1) Significant narrowing of growth...

Nirmal Bang

HCL Technologies: Better Execution; Outlook Continues To Be Robust

We recommend a BUY rating on the stock and assign a 20x P/E multiple to its FY24E earnings of Rs 67.4/share to arrive at a TP of Rs 1,345/share,...

Axis Direct

Information Technology Sector- Sector Update- Move to Underweight

We are downgrading Indian IT Services sector to underweight (UW) on a 12-month basis, though in the near term, there is relative earnings...

Nirmal Bang

IT: Supply-Side Constraints Persist; Demand Robust

IT Services sector is expected to report strong growth in Q4FY22 primarily on account of the new large deal wins and a ramp-up of deals won in the...

Axis Direct

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