Cross-Asset Liquidity Strategist, CrossBorder Capital

Michael J. Howell

Cross-Asset Liquidity Strategist

Implementing Research Using Alt Data & AI

CrossBorder Capital

CrossBorder Capital is a London-based independent investment advisory firm. Founded in 1996, it exploits a gap in the investment arena by focusing on Central bank liquidity. 

It specialises in the monitoring and analysis of global liquidity flows - an important determinant of asset prices, from currencies through to bonds, equities and real estate.

CrossBorder Capital implements its investment strategy and currently manages over US$ 350m.


Macroeconomics

We conclude five points about Global Liquidity in 2018:<ul><li> Global Liquidity will expand by around US$5 trillion net in 2018. This is still a positive rise, but it is one-third of the 2017 pace. 2017 proved a spectacular year for inflows</li><li>Threats of US Fed and ECB Reverse QE or ‘quantitative squeezing’ will be offset by net expansion of Central Bank balance sheets in EM and Japan</li><li>Reverse QE by Central Banks is not helpful, but cross-border flows pose by far the bigger threat for asset markets this year</li><li>China (27% share) is the most important economy for Global Liquidity, both directly and indirectly through its impact on the Emerging Market flows</li><li>At a 66% share of liquidity flows, the US dollar (with its surrogates) remains de facto the most important currency Worldwide. But if the Chinese Yuan is included based on China’s economic importance, it would immediately take a 26% point market share away from the US dollar. Gold would soar in price?</li></ul>

We conclude five points about Global Liquidity in 2018: Global Liquidity will expand by around US$5 trillion net in 2018. This is still a positive rise, but it is one-third of the 2017 pace. 2017 proved a spectacular year for inflowsThreats of US Fed and ECB Reverse QE or ‘quantitative squeezing’ will be offset by net expansion of Central Bank balance sheets in EM and JapanReverse QE by Central Banks is not helpful, but cross-border flows pose by far the bigger threat for asset markets this yearChina (27% share) is the most important economy for Global Liquidity, both directly and indirectly through its impact on the Emerging Market flowsAt a 66% share of liquidity flows, the US dollar (with its surrogates) remains de facto the most important currency Worldwide. But if the Chinese Yuan is included based on China’s economic importance, it would immediately take a 26% point market share away from the US dollar. Gold would soar in price?

'Quantitative Squeezing': Prospects for Global Liquidity in 2018

Leading International Investment Research, Edison Investment Research

Edison Investment Research

Leading International Investment Research

Edison is an investment research and advisory company, with offices in North America, Europe, the Middle East and AsiaPac. The heart of Edison is our world renowned equity research platform and deep multi-sector expertise. At Edison Investment Research, our research is widely read by international investors, advisors and stakeholders. Edison Advisors leverages our core research platform to provide differentiated services including investor relations and strategic consulting.

Equity Bottom-Up

Harbourvest Global Priva / Equity Bottom-Up

HarbourVest Global Private Equity (HVPE) gives investors access to selected private equity (PE) managers globally and a highly diversified portfolio of over 7,000 underlying companies. HVPE will celebrate its 10th anniversary in December 2017 and since inception its shares have outperformed global listed and unlisted equities, represented by the FTSE All-World and LPX 50 indices, by 11% and 36%, respectively. This solid performance is consistent with the mandate to generate long-term capital growth above global equities, and has been achieved with relatively low volatility due to HVPE&rsquo;s high level of diversification.

HarbourVest Global Private Equity (HVPE) gives investors access to selected private equity (PE) managers globally and a highly diversified portfolio of over 7,000 underlying companies. HVPE will celebrate its 10th anniversary in December 2017 and since inception its shares have outperformed global listed and unlisted equities, represented by the FTSE All-World and LPX 50 indices, by 11% and 36%, respectively. This solid performance is consistent with the mandate to generate long-term capital growth above global equities, and has been achieved with relatively low volatility due to HVPE&rsquo;s high level of diversification.

United Kingdom

HarbourVest Global Private Equity Ltd is a private equity fund of funds currently investing. The Fund invests in private companies and portfolios of private companies globally and in various industries, through funds managed by HarbourVest Partners

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Harbourvest Global Priva (HVPE IX)

'Quantitative Squeezing': Prospects for Global Liquidity in 2018

We conclude five points about Global Liquidity in 2018: Global Liquidity will expand by around US$5 trillion net in 2018. This is stilla positive...

Michael J. Howell

Closing in on a successful decade

HarbourVest Global Private Equity (HVPE) gives investors access to selected private equity (PE) managers globally and a highly diversified...

Edison Investment Research

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