Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In 2023, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hanmi-pharm-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12476:1" rel="noopener">Hanmi Pharm (128940 KS)</a> reported 12% and 40% growth in revenue and operating profit, respectively, driven by double-digit revenue increase from Rosuzet and improving performance of China subsidiary.</li>
<li>In January, the company has enrolled first patient in phase 3 trial of type 2 diabetes/obesity drug candidate Efpeglenatide. The study is expected to complete in 2026.</li>
<li>Hanmi Science-OCI merger has hit a roadblock. Although merger with OCI will bring synergistic effect, Hanmi Pharm will continue to grow even if the merger does not happen.</li>
</ul>


In 2023, Hanmi Pharm (128940 KS) reported 12% and 40% growth in revenue and operating profit, respectively, driven by double-digit revenue increase from Rosuzet and improving performance of China subsidiary.
In January, the company has enrolled first patient in phase 3 trial of type 2 diabetes/obesity drug candidate Efpeglenatide. The study is expected to complete in 2026.
Hanmi Science-OCI merger has hit a roadblock. Although merger with OCI will bring synergistic effect, Hanmi Pharm will continue to grow even if the merger does not happen.


OCI Or No OCI, Hanmi Pharm (128940 KS) Will Continue to Roar on Strong Base Business and Pipeline

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Despite ongoing recovery and fading effect of the COVID-19, 2023 was not a smooth sailing for the healthcare companies. All the countries and sub-sectors did not perform equally.</li>
<li>As we are heading into 2024, let us look back on the performance of some of our global healthcare stocks recommended throughout 2023.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lianbio" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34478:1" rel="noopener">LianBio (LIAN US)</a> remained the best performer with 93% return in nearly eight months. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/global-health-medanta" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34649:1" rel="noopener">Global Health (Medanta) (MEDANTA IN)</a>, top pick for March 2023, generated 79% return in nine months.     </li>
</ul>


Despite ongoing recovery and fading effect of the COVID-19, 2023 was not a smooth sailing for the healthcare companies. All the countries and sub-sectors did not perform equally.
As we are heading into 2024, let us look back on the performance of some of our global healthcare stocks recommended throughout 2023.

LianBio (LIAN US) remained the best performer with 93% return in nearly eight months. Global Health (Medanta) (MEDANTA IN), top pick for March 2023, generated 79% return in nine months.     


2023 in Rear Mirror View: Top Performers From My Global Healthcare Coverage Universe

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are quite a few stocks in Korea that have underperformed their peers and could be deleted from global passive portfolios in February.</li>
<li>There are still 3 weeks left for the stocks to redeem themselves and avoid relegation from the K League, so watch out for big price moves.</li>
<li>Based on our estimate of passive assets, trackers will need to trade between US$45m to US$114m of the stocks. Impact will vary between 2.6x-30x of ADV to trade.</li>
</ul>


There are quite a few stocks in Korea that have underperformed their peers and could be deleted from global passive portfolios in February.
There are still 3 weeks left for the stocks to redeem themselves and avoid relegation from the K League, so watch out for big price moves.
Based on our estimate of passive assets, trackers will need to trade between US$45m to US$114m of the stocks. Impact will vary between 2.6x-30x of ADV to trade.


Korea: Potential Relegations from K League 1

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we provide some of the main highlights of the book <em><strong>"The Real Anthony Fauci",</strong></em> which was written by Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr) in 2021.</li>
<li>We discuss how the appointment of RFK Jr could impact some of the major health care stocks in Korea, especially those that are involved in developing and producing vaccines.</li>
<li>Although the share prices of many Korean vaccines related stocks have declined materially in the past 2-3 years, RFK Jr becoming the next US Health Secretary could pose further headwinds.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we provide some of the main highlights of the book "The Real Anthony Fauci", which was written by Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr) in 2021.
We discuss how the appointment of RFK Jr could impact some of the major health care stocks in Korea, especially those that are involved in developing and producing vaccines.
Although the share prices of many Korean vaccines related stocks have declined materially in the past 2-3 years, RFK Jr becoming the next US Health Secretary could pose further headwinds.


Appointment of RFK Jr as the US Health Secretary and a Book Review Of "The Real Anthony Fauci"

Equity Capital Markets

Orum Therapeutics / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Our base case target price for Orum Therapeutics is 35,170 won per share, which is within the IPO price range of 30,000 won to 36,000 won per share. </li>
<li>Given the lack of upside relative to the target price, we have a Negative View of this IPO. </li>
<li>FSS has requested correction to the company's IPO prospectus. As a result, it now appears the IPO could be delayed. </li>
</ul>


Our base case target price for Orum Therapeutics is 35,170 won per share, which is within the IPO price range of 30,000 won to 36,000 won per share. 
Given the lack of upside relative to the target price, we have a Negative View of this IPO. 
FSS has requested correction to the company's IPO prospectus. As a result, it now appears the IPO could be delayed. 


South Korea

Hanmi Pharm. Company Ltd. produces pharmaceutical products, including antibiotics, vitamins, and intestinal tonics.  The Company also provides beverages and processes soft capsules for other pharmaceutical firms.

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Hanmi Pharm (128940 KS)

OCI Or No OCI, Hanmi Pharm (128940 KS) Will Continue to Roar on Strong Base Business and Pipeline

Hanmi Pharm has submitted phase 1 clinical trial application for its next-generation obesity drug candidate HM15275 in the U.S., with an aim to...

Tina Banerjee

2023 in Rear Mirror View: Top Performers From My Global Healthcare Coverage Universe

Despite ongoing recovery and fading effect of the COVID-19, healthcare companies had varying performances in 2023. From my coverage, the top...

Tina Banerjee

Korea: Potential Relegations from K League 1

There could be 10 deletes from global passive portfolios in Feb. Trackers will need to trade between US$45m to US$114m of the stocks. Impact will...

Brian Freitas

Appointment of RFK Jr as the US Health Secretary and a Book Review Of "The Real Anthony Fauci"

We provide some of the main highlights of the book "The Real Anthony Fauci." We also discuss the impact of appointment of RFK Jr as US Health...

Douglas Kim

Orum Therapeutics IPO Valuation Analysis

Our base case target price for Orum Therapeutics is 35,170 won per share, which is within the IPO price range of 30,000 won to 36,000 won per share.

Douglas Kim

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52-week Range

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OCI Or No OCI, Hanmi Pharm (128940 KS) Will Continue to Roar on Strong Base Business and Pipeline

Hanmi Pharm has submitted phase 1 clinical trial application for its next-generation obesity drug candidate HM15275 in the U.S., with an aim to...

Tina Banerjee

2023 in Rear Mirror View: Top Performers From My Global Healthcare Coverage Universe

​Despite ongoing recovery and fading effect of the COVID-19, healthcare companies had varying performances in 2023. From my coverage, the top...

Tina Banerjee

Korea: Potential Relegations from K League 1

There could be 10 deletes from global passive portfolios in Feb. Trackers will need to trade between US$45m to US$114m of the stocks. Impact will...

Brian Freitas

Appointment of RFK Jr as the US Health Secretary and a Book Review Of "The Real Anthony Fauci"

We provide some of the main highlights of the book "The Real Anthony Fauci." We also discuss the impact of appointment of RFK Jr as US Health...

Douglas Kim

Orum Therapeutics IPO Valuation Analysis

Our base case target price for Orum Therapeutics is 35,170 won per share, which is within the IPO price range of 30,000 won to 36,000 won per share.

Douglas Kim

Despite ongoing recovery and fading effect of the COVID-19, healthcare companies had varying performances in 2023. From my coverage, the top...