Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are 7 adds and 7 deletes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange Kospi 200 Index (KOSPI2 INDEX)</a> rebalance to be implemented at the close on 9 June.</li>
<li>There are also a bunch of stocks that will have changes applied to their free float. There were announced last week and are much less tracked.</li>
<li>The flows and impact on some of the float change names are significant and pre-positioning and passive flows could move the stocks over the next few days.</li>
</ul>


There are 7 adds and 7 deletes for the Korea Stock Exchange Kospi 200 Index (KOSPI2 INDEX) rebalance to be implemented at the close on 9 June.
There are also a bunch of stocks that will have changes applied to their free float. There were announced last week and are much less tracked.
The flows and impact on some of the float change names are significant and pre-positioning and passive flows could move the stocks over the next few days.


KOSPI200 Index Rebalance: Float Changes, Flows & Trades

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

<ul>
<li>After the market close today, it was announced that KDIC will sell its 1.81% stake of Woori Financial Group. </li>
<li>The block deal price will range from 15,229 won to 15,700 won (0 to 3% discount) and we would take the deal even at little discount.</li>
<li>Woori Financial Group's share price continues to trade at deep valuation multiples as it is trading at P/B of 0.4x and P/E of 3.9x (using 2022 consensus earnings estimates).</li>
</ul>


After the market close today, it was announced that KDIC will sell its 1.81% stake of Woori Financial Group. 
The block deal price will range from 15,229 won to 15,700 won (0 to 3% discount) and we would take the deal even at little discount.
Woori Financial Group's share price continues to trade at deep valuation multiples as it is trading at P/B of 0.4x and P/E of 3.9x (using 2022 consensus earnings estimates).


Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Woori Financial Group  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>KDIC is looking to sell around half of its remaining stake in Woori Financial Group (WFG).</li>
<li>This is almost a clean-up trade considering that KDIC had a stake of nearly 18% at the start of 2021 and will now be reduced to a less than 2%.</li>
<li>In this note, we will run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>


KDIC is looking to sell around half of its remaining stake in Woori Financial Group (WFG).
This is almost a clean-up trade considering that KDIC had a stake of nearly 18% at the start of 2021 and will now be reduced to a less than 2%.
In this note, we will run the deal through our ECM framework.


Woori Financials Placement - Almost a Clean-Up Although past Deals Haven’t Done Much

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Foreigners net purchased 2.6 trillion won worth of five major Korean bank stocks from 8/26/2021 to 2/11/2022. Foreigners were net buyers of 1.8 trillion won worth of KOSPI stocks.</li>
<li>This means that foreigners were net sellers of 0.8 trillion won worth of other KOSPI stocks (excluding the five major banking stocks). </li>
<li>The five major bank stocks in Korea currently have average dividend yield of 5.4%. DPS for the five major Korean banks increased by 70.9% YoY on average in 2021.</li>
</ul>


Foreigners net purchased 2.6 trillion won worth of five major Korean bank stocks from 8/26/2021 to 2/11/2022. Foreigners were net buyers of 1.8 trillion won worth of KOSPI stocks.
This means that foreigners were net sellers of 0.8 trillion won worth of other KOSPI stocks (excluding the five major banking stocks). 
The five major bank stocks in Korea currently have average dividend yield of 5.4%. DPS for the five major Korean banks increased by 70.9% YoY on average in 2021.


Shinhan Financial Group: Chairman Buys Shares, Capital Flows Analysis, & Higher Dividends Likely

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we provide an evidenced based analysis of Bank of Korea (BOK) base interest rate changes and Korean banks' share price performances from August 2008 to February 2022.</li>
<li>Specifically, we compare the average share price performances of five major banking groups in Korea (KB, Shinhan, Hana, Woori, and Woori) versus KOSPI in six different time periods.</li>
<li>The major Korean banking groups generally outperformed the market in periods of rising interest rates and underperformed the market in periods of falling interest rates.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we provide an evidenced based analysis of Bank of Korea (BOK) base interest rate changes and Korean banks' share price performances from August 2008 to February 2022.
Specifically, we compare the average share price performances of five major banking groups in Korea (KB, Shinhan, Hana, Woori, and Woori) versus KOSPI in six different time periods.
The major Korean banking groups generally outperformed the market in periods of rising interest rates and underperformed the market in periods of falling interest rates.


Evidenced Based Analysis of BOK Base Interest Rate Changes & Korean Banks' Share Price Performances

South Korea

Hana Financial Group Inc., in accordance with Financial Holding Companies Act, was established on December 1, 2005, through stock transfer with the former shareholders of its subsidiaries in order to provide management services and financing to associated companies.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Hana Financial (086790 KS)

KOSPI200 Index Rebalance: Float Changes, Flows & Trades

There are significant flows and impact on some stocks that have float changes at the upcoming KOSPI2 rebalance. With over 5 days ADV to buy,...

Brian Freitas

Block Deal Sale of Woori Financial Group

After the market close today, it was announced that KDIC will sell its 1.81% stake of Woori Financial Group. We would take the deal even at little...

Douglas Kim

Woori Financials Placement - Almost a Clean-Up Although past Deals Haven’t Done Much

KDIC is looking to sell around half of its remaining stake in Woori Financial Group (WFG) to raise around US$160m. This is almost a clean-up trade.

Sumeet Singh

Shinhan Financial Group: Chairman Buys Shares, Capital Flows Analysis, & Higher Dividends Likely

Foreigners net purchased 2.6 trillion won worth of five major Korean bank stocks from 8/26/2021 to 2/11/2022. Foreigners were net buyers of 1.8...

Douglas Kim

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

KOSPI200 Index Rebalance: Float Changes, Flows & Trades

There are significant flows and impact on some stocks that have float changes at the upcoming KOSPI2 rebalance. With over 5 days ADV to buy,...

Brian Freitas

Block Deal Sale of Woori Financial Group

After the market close today, it was announced that KDIC will sell its 1.81% stake of Woori Financial Group. We would take the deal even at little...

Douglas Kim

Woori Financials Placement - Almost a Clean-Up Although past Deals Haven’t Done Much

KDIC is looking to sell around half of its remaining stake in Woori Financial Group (WFG) to raise around US$160m. This is almost a clean-up trade.

Sumeet Singh

Shinhan Financial Group: Chairman Buys Shares, Capital Flows Analysis, & Higher Dividends Likely

Foreigners net purchased 2.6 trillion won worth of five major Korean bank stocks from 8/26/2021 to 2/11/2022. Foreigners were net buyers of 1.8...

Douglas Kim

Evidenced Based Analysis of BOK Base Interest Rate Changes & Korean Banks' Share Price Performances

In this insight, we provide an evidenced based analysis of Bank of Korea (BOK) base interest rate changes and Korean banks' share price...

Douglas Kim