Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 142 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 130.7% as of Nov 4th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -4.4ppt weeok on week, led by health care, financials, utilities and offset by consumer staples, real estate, consumer discretionary.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for First Tractor, Maanshan Iron, Datang Intl, Cansino, Jushi, Fudan Microelectronics.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 142 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 130.7% as of Nov 4th.
The average A-H premium changed by -4.4ppt weeok on week, led by health care, financials, utilities and offset by consumer staples, real estate, consumer discretionary.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for First Tractor, Maanshan Iron, Datang Intl, Cansino, Jushi, Fudan Microelectronics.


A-H Premium Weekly (Nov 4th): First Tractor, Maanshan Iron

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 142 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 130.2% as of Oct 14th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 5.3ppt weeok on week, led by information technology, real estate, materials and offset by communication services, energy.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for CMB, China Pacific, Remegen, Tigermed, Shanghai Fudan, YOFC, GWM, CGS.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 142 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 130.2% as of Oct 14th.
The average A-H premium changed by 5.3ppt weeok on week, led by information technology, real estate, materials and offset by communication services, energy.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for CMB, China Pacific, Remegen, Tigermed, Shanghai Fudan, YOFC, GWM, CGS.


A-H Premium Weekly (Oct 14th): CMB, China Pacific, Remegen, Tigermed, Shanghai Fudan, YOFC, GWM, CGS

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/anta-sports-products-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10261:1" rel="noopener">Anta Sports Products (2020 HK)</a> sees positive sales momentum in 3Q22 and will benefit from further distribution network optimisation. Potentially, Amer Sports will start positive contribution as well. </li>
<li>Rollout of "light down apparel" concept, introduction of Eileen Gu as spokesperson and opening of Shanghai flagship store will contribute to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bosideng-international-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6537:1" rel="noopener">Bosideng International Holdings (3998 HK)</a>'s peak season. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haier-smart-home-co-ltd-b3ef445f-0f54-4586-8c58-9073de98d60e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31105:1" rel="noopener">Haier Smart Home Co Ltd (6690 HK)</a> will benefit from Casarte's good growth pace and the catch-up in "Three-Winged Bird" stores. More emerging market expansions will drive overseas business. </li>
</ul>



Anta Sports Products (2020 HK) sees positive sales momentum in 3Q22 and will benefit from further distribution network optimisation. Potentially, Amer Sports will start positive contribution as well. 
Rollout of "light down apparel" concept, introduction of Eileen Gu as spokesperson and opening of Shanghai flagship store will contribute to Bosideng International Holdings (3998 HK)'s peak season. 

Haier Smart Home Co Ltd (6690 HK) will benefit from Casarte's good growth pace and the catch-up in "Three-Winged Bird" stores. More emerging market expansions will drive overseas business. 


China Consumer Discretionary: Looking Forward to the Spending Season

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There could be up to 6 changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI INDEX)</a> at the December rebalance, mainly driven by the deletions.</li>
<li>If there are six changes to the index, estimated one-way turnover is 6.47% and will result in a one-way trade of HK$4,124m.</li>
<li>There is large short interest on quite a lot of stocks and will play an important role in the rebalance.</li>
</ul>


There could be up to 6 changes to the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI INDEX) at the December rebalance, mainly driven by the deletions.
If there are six changes to the index, estimated one-way turnover is 6.47% and will result in a one-way trade of HK$4,124m.
There is large short interest on quite a lot of stocks and will play an important role in the rebalance.


HSCEI Index Rebalance Preview: Could Be A BIG One

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Driven by recovery of Casarte after lockdown removed and premiumisation of product and pricing, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haier-smart-home-co-ltd-b3ef445f-0f54-4586-8c58-9073de98d60e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31105:1" rel="noopener">Haier Smart Home (6690 HK)</a> should see sustained healthy earnings growth in 2H22.</li>
<li>We expect room to improve gross margin sequentially as cost pressure subsides in 2H22. Meanwhile, overseas markets still present good expansion opportunities. </li>
<li>Premium valuations are justified by its brand strength, global presence and strong execution capability. Healthy 1H22 should clear market's concerns on impact of weak property market. </li>
</ul>


Driven by recovery of Casarte after lockdown removed and premiumisation of product and pricing, Haier Smart Home (6690 HK) should see sustained healthy earnings growth in 2H22.
We expect room to improve gross margin sequentially as cost pressure subsides in 2H22. Meanwhile, overseas markets still present good expansion opportunities. 
Premium valuations are justified by its brand strength, global presence and strong execution capability. Healthy 1H22 should clear market's concerns on impact of weak property market. 


Haier Smart Home (6690 HK): A Trusted Name that Delivers

China

Haier Smart Home Co. Ltd. manufactures and distributes appliances. The Company produces air conditioners, refrigerators, freezers, small household electrical appliances, and other related products. Haier Smart Home markets its products domestically and internationally.

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Haier Smart Home (6690 HK)

A-H Premium Weekly (Nov 4th): First Tractor, Maanshan Iron

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for First Tractor, Maanshan Iron, Datang Intl, Cansino, Jushi,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Oct 14th): CMB, China Pacific, Remegen, Tigermed, Shanghai Fudan, YOFC, GWM, CGS

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for CMB, China Pacific, Remegen, Tigermed, Shanghai Fudan, YOFC,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Consumer Discretionary: Looking Forward to the Spending Season

Consumer spending should improve in 4Q22 as government pushes ahead stimulus and pent-up demand is further released. The recent retreat in share...

Osbert Tang, CFA

HSCEI Index Rebalance Preview: Could Be A BIG One

There could be up to 6 changes to the HSCEI in December resulting in one-way turnover of 6.47% and in a one-way trade of HK$4,124m. Short interest...

Brian Freitas

Haier Smart Home (6690 HK): A Trusted Name that Delivers

Healthy profit growth should sustain into 2H22 with upside from better margin as cost pressure subsides sequentially. Premium valuations are...

Osbert Tang, CFA

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