IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cimc-vehicles-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28012:1" rel="noopener">CIMC Vehicle Group Co Ltd (1839 HK)</a> has despatched the offer document, and the H Share HK$7.50 offer is open. The H Shareholders class vote is on 18 April.  </li>
<li>The key condition is approval by at least 75% of independent H Shareholders (&lt;10% of all independent H Shareholders rejection) along with a 90% minimum acceptance condition.  </li>
<li>The de-rating of peers and ongoing US investigation favours meeting the 90% threshold. However, the dire minority AGM/EGM participation rates suggest that retail apathy may derail the offer. </li>
</ul>



CIMC Vehicle Group Co Ltd (1839 HK) has despatched the offer document, and the H Share HK$7.50 offer is open. The H Shareholders class vote is on 18 April.  
The key condition is approval by at least 75% of independent H Shareholders (&lt;10% of all independent H Shareholders rejection) along with a 90% minimum acceptance condition.  
The de-rating of peers and ongoing US investigation favours meeting the 90% threshold. However, the dire minority AGM/EGM participation rates suggest that retail apathy may derail the offer. 


CIMC Vehicles (1839 HK): Vote on 18 April as Uncertainty Lingers on the 90% Acceptance Threshold

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>The New/Better A-H Premium Tracker has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.</li>
<li>SOUTHBOUND a net buyer <em>every day</em> since the end of Chinese New Year. NORTHBOUND a huge net buyer this week, now net buyers in size (RMB +93bn) over 7 weeks.</li>
<li>For the first time in a while, AH premia among liquid stocks fell convincingly. Narrow AH premia pairs saw Hs outperform more than wide AH premia Hs (vs As).</li>
</ul>


The New/Better A-H Premium Tracker has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.
SOUTHBOUND a net buyer every day since the end of Chinese New Year. NORTHBOUND a huge net buyer this week, now net buyers in size (RMB +93bn) over 7 weeks.
For the first time in a while, AH premia among liquid stocks fell convincingly. Narrow AH premia pairs saw Hs outperform more than wide AH premia Hs (vs As).


A/H Premium Tracker (To 15 Mar 2024):  Liquid AH Premia Starting to Narrow

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 123.2% as of Mar 8th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -1.4ppt week-on-week, led by consumer staples, industrials, financials and offset by information technology, consumer discretionary, energy.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for CNOOC, Air China, China Southern Air, Guangzhou Auto.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 123.2% as of Mar 8th.
The average A-H premium changed by -1.4ppt week-on-week, led by consumer staples, industrials, financials and offset by information technology, consumer discretionary, energy.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for CNOOC, Air China, China Southern Air, Guangzhou Auto.


A-H Premium Weekly (Mar 8th): CNOOC, Air China, China Southern Air, Guangzhou Auto

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Chinese firms are rushing to make their own auto chips as demand continues to increase in the world’s largest car market.</li><li>In 2023, there were more than 300 local auto chipmakers, nearly 10 times the number from three years ago, said Yuan Chengyin, general manager of National New Energy Vehicle Technology Innovation Center, a NEV research center funded by the Ministry of Science and Technology.</li><li>China provides the best market for auto chipmakers as the demand for smart driving cars is much higher compared with other countries, said Zhang Qiang, chairman of Wuxi-based auto chipmaker Xinchi Technology, at a business event Tuesday.</li></ul>

Chinese firms are rushing to make their own auto chips as demand continues to increase in the world’s largest car market.In 2023, there were more than 300 local auto chipmakers, nearly 10 times the number from three years ago, said Yuan Chengyin, general manager of National New Energy Vehicle Technology Innovation Center, a NEV research center funded by the Ministry of Science and Technology.China provides the best market for auto chipmakers as the demand for smart driving cars is much higher compared with other countries, said Zhang Qiang, chairman of Wuxi-based auto chipmaker Xinchi Technology, at a business event Tuesday.

Chinese Auto Chip Firms Racing to Cash In on NEV Boom 

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Chinese NEV (new energy vehicle) producers’ deliveries grew rapidly in 2023.</li>
<li>PDD closed most “local life” businesses, including hotel booking, movie ticketing, etc.</li>
<li>Jack Ma is no longer the controller of AliPay, the largest online payment app.</li>
</ul>


Chinese NEV (new energy vehicle) producers’ deliveries grew rapidly in 2023.
PDD closed most “local life” businesses, including hotel booking, movie ticketing, etc.
Jack Ma is no longer the controller of AliPay, the largest online payment app.


China Consumption Weekly (8 Jan 2024): BYD, Li Auto, PDD, AliPay, Mixue, Baidu

China

Guangzhou Automobile Group Company Limited manufactures and sells automobiles. The Company vehicles, motorcycles, and other products. Guangzhou Automobile Group also provides automobile parts manufacturing, automotive business services, automotive finance, and other services.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Guangzhou Automobile Group (601238 CH)

CIMC Vehicles (1839 HK): Vote on 18 April as Uncertainty Lingers on the 90% Acceptance Threshold

The 90% minimum acceptance condition is a key risk in the context of a light offer and poor minority AGM/EGM participation rates. Risk/reward...

Arun George

A/H Premium Tracker (To 15 Mar 2024): Liquid AH Premia Starting to Narrow

AH Premia narrowed more on liquid narrow premia than on less liquid and wide premia. This is a new development. Energy and Utilities saw Hs rebound...

Travis Lundy

A-H Premium Weekly (Mar 8th): CNOOC, Air China, China Southern Air, Guangzhou Auto

Analysis of A-H premium changes on 146 stocks shows average premium of 123.2% on Mar 8th, with a -1.4ppt. We highlight changes for for CNOOC, Air...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Chinese Auto Chip Firms Racing to Cash In on NEV Boom

Chinese firms are rushing to make their own auto chips as demand continues to increase in the world’s largest car market. In 2023, there were more...

Caixin Global

China Consumption Weekly (8 Jan 2024): BYD, Li Auto, PDD, AliPay, Mixue, Baidu

Chinese NEV producers’ deliveries grew rapidly in 2023. PDD closed most “local life” businesses. Jack Ma is no longer the controller of AliPay.

Ming Lu

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

CIMC Vehicles (1839 HK): Vote on 18 April as Uncertainty Lingers on the 90% Acceptance Threshold

The 90% minimum acceptance condition is a key risk in the context of a light offer and poor minority AGM/EGM participation rates. Risk/reward...

Arun George

A/H Premium Tracker (To 15 Mar 2024): Liquid AH Premia Starting to Narrow

AH Premia narrowed more on liquid narrow premia than on less liquid and wide premia. This is a new development. Energy and Utilities saw Hs rebound...

Travis Lundy

A-H Premium Weekly (Mar 8th): CNOOC, Air China, China Southern Air, Guangzhou Auto

​Analysis of A-H premium changes on 146 stocks shows average premium of 123.2% on Mar 8th, with a -1.4ppt. We highlight changes for for CNOOC, Air...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Chinese Auto Chip Firms Racing to Cash In on NEV Boom

Chinese firms are rushing to make their own auto chips as demand continues to increase in the world’s largest car market. In 2023, there were more...

Caixin Global

China Consumption Weekly (8 Jan 2024): BYD, Li Auto, PDD, AliPay, Mixue, Baidu

Chinese NEV producers’ deliveries grew rapidly in 2023. PDD closed most “local life” businesses. Jack Ma is no longer the controller of AliPay.

Ming Lu

Analysis of A-H premium changes on 146 stocks shows average premium of 123.2% on Mar 8th, with a -1.4ppt. We highlight changes for for CNOOC, Air...