Managing Director, Golden Section Capital

Garreth Elston

Managing Director

Golden Section Equity Research

Golden Section Capital

Golden Section Capital is a private international investment, specialist independent equity research, and corporate finance consulting services provider focussing on real estate and infrastructure. 

Paid for corporate research on Real Estate and Infrastructure companies. Plus independent pieces on various real estate companies and themes.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The South African listed property sector had a positive month in December, capping a robust year of excellent returns.</li>
<li>For 2024 the SA All Property Index rose 28.85%, outperforming the JSE’s all-share index’s +9.37% and the top 40 +6.93%.</li>
<li>South African listed property thoroughly outperformed global listed property, with the EPRA Nareit Global Index’s TR lagging the J803 TR Index by 22.41% in ZAR terms for the year.</li>
</ul>


The South African listed property sector had a positive month in December, capping a robust year of excellent returns.
For 2024 the SA All Property Index rose 28.85%, outperforming the JSE’s all-share index’s +9.37% and the top 40 +6.93%.
South African listed property thoroughly outperformed global listed property, with the EPRA Nareit Global Index’s TR lagging the J803 TR Index by 22.41% in ZAR terms for the year.


SA Listed Property Review – December 2024

Quantitative Equity Analyst, DMA

Charlotte van Tiddens, CFA

Quantitative Equity Analyst

Technology-First Company

DMA is a technology-first company that provides an end-to-end SaaS solution to institutional investors. DMA enables regulated entities like asset managers, wealth managers, investment managers and financial advisors to connect their front and back office, break silos and reduce headcount.

Event-Driven

Northam Platinum Holdings  / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The annual WisdomTree rebalance takes place next week Wednesday in the closing auction. Turnover on the JSE at the rebalance last year (20 Oct) was R30.6bn, 1.5 times the 5-day average.</li>
<li>
<p>There are several SA stocks being added to and deleted from the range of WisdomTree EM funds.</p>
</li>
<li>
<p>Our buy flow estimate for SA additions is R1.3bn, our sell flow estimate for SA deletions is R1.8bn. This excludes up and down weightings.</p>
</li>
</ul>


The annual WisdomTree rebalance takes place next week Wednesday in the closing auction. Turnover on the JSE at the rebalance last year (20 Oct) was R30.6bn, 1.5 times the 5-day average.

There are several SA stocks being added to and deleted from the range of WisdomTree EM funds.


Our buy flow estimate for SA additions is R1.3bn, our sell flow estimate for SA deletions is R1.8bn. This excludes up and down weightings.



WisdomTree Oct 2023 Rebalance (Wed, 18 Oct)

<ul>
<li>The South African listed property sector returned to positivity in November, rising by 1.69% (unfortunately Q4 2024 to-date remains negative at -1.05%).</li>
<li>For the year to date the sector is up 28.37%, and on a one-year rolling period the index is up 43.85% as measured by the J803 All Property TR Index.</li>
<li>SA listed property remains ahead of global listed property for 2024, with the FTSE EPRA Nareit Global Index’s TR of 3.48%, lagging the J803 TR Index by 18.99% in ZAR.</li>
</ul>


The South African listed property sector returned to positivity in November, rising by 1.69% (unfortunately Q4 2024 to-date remains negative at -1.05%).
For the year to date the sector is up 28.37%, and on a one-year rolling period the index is up 43.85% as measured by the J803 All Property TR Index.
SA listed property remains ahead of global listed property for 2024, with the FTSE EPRA Nareit Global Index’s TR of 3.48%, lagging the J803 TR Index by 18.99% in ZAR.


SA Listed Property Review – November 2024

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Sinopec Engineering Group H / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The WisdomTree Emerging Markets SmallCap Dividend Index is a fundamentally weighted index that measures the performance of small cap stocks within Emerging Markets.</li>
<li>The changes at the October rebalance were announced after market close on 4 October with implementation scheduled at the close on 16 October.</li>
<li>There are 8 trading days to implementation and there are a bunch of stocks with over 2x ADV to trade.</li>
</ul>


The WisdomTree Emerging Markets SmallCap Dividend Index is a fundamentally weighted index that measures the performance of small cap stocks within Emerging Markets.
The changes at the October rebalance were announced after market close on 4 October with implementation scheduled at the close on 16 October.
There are 8 trading days to implementation and there are a bunch of stocks with over 2x ADV to trade.


WisdomTree Emerging Markets SmallCap Dividend Index Rebalance: US$1bn to Trade

<ul>
<li>The South African All Property Index (J803) continued its strong run in August, rising 8.37% for the month.</li>
<li>The All Property Index’s 2024 Total Return is now up 23.91%. </li>
<li>Investor in South African Listed Property are finally reaping the rewards for their patience through a long and difficult down-cycle for the sector.</li>
</ul>


The South African All Property Index (J803) continued its strong run in August, rising 8.37% for the month.
The All Property Index’s 2024 Total Return is now up 23.91%. 
Investor in South African Listed Property are finally reaping the rewards for their patience through a long and difficult down-cycle for the sector.


SA Listed Property and Fund Snapshot - August 2024

South Africa

Growthpoint Properties Limited is a real estate trust in South Africa. The Company owns a portfolio of commercial, retail and industrial (mostly warehouses) properties in South Africa and Australia. 1370329D SJ Equity has pre-2012 Financial Analysis fundamental data.

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Growthpoint Properties (GRT SJ)

SA Listed Property Review – December 2024

The South African listed property sector completed a robust year of excellent returns. For 2024 the SA All Property Index rose +28.85%,...

Golden Section Capital

WisdomTree Oct 2023 Rebalance (Wed, 18 Oct)

The annual WisdomTree rebalance takes place next week Wednesday in the closing auction. Turnover on the JSE at the rebalance last year (20 Oct) was...

DMA

SA Listed Property Review – November 2024

South African listed property continued its strong 2024, returning 1.69% in November. For the year-to-date the sector is up 28.37%, and on a one...

Golden Section Capital

WisdomTree Emerging Markets SmallCap Dividend Index Rebalance: US$1bn to Trade

There are 370 adds/257 deletes for the WisdomTree Emerging Markets SmallCap Dividend Index. Round-trip trade is around US$1bn. There is big impact...

Brian Freitas

SA Listed Property and Fund Snapshot - August 2024

South African Listed Property has continued its strong recovery in 2024. August was another strong month seeing the All Property Index rise by 8.37%.

Golden Section Capital

Price Gauge

52-week Range

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