Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sunac-china-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:240:1" rel="noopener">Sunac China Holdings (1918 HK)</a> is still suspended from trading and could be deleted from the index in July and replaced by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sensetime-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34319:1" rel="noopener">SenseTime Group (20 HK)</a> or <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/petrochina-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:262:1" rel="noopener">PetroChina (857 HK)</a>. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sensetime-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34319:1" rel="noopener">SenseTime (20 HK)</a> or <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/petrochina-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:262:1" rel="noopener">PetroChina (857 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/great-wall-motor-co-ltd-cb302af9-398c-4d2d-ba39-023e43287eef" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:128:1" rel="noopener">Great Wall (2333 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhongsheng-group-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10573:1" rel="noopener">Zhongsheng (881 HK)</a> could replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haidilao-international-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27044:1" rel="noopener">Haidilao (6862 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-pacific-insurance-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6177:1" rel="noopener">CPIC (2601 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-health-information-technology-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:453:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Health (241 HK)</a> in September.</li>
<li>There will be buying on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sensetime-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34319:1" rel="noopener">SenseTime Group (20 HK)</a> from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">HSCEI INDEX</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">HSTECH INDEX</a> trackers. But there is also a big lock-up expiry on 29 June.</li>
</ul>



Sunac China Holdings (1918 HK) is still suspended from trading and could be deleted from the index in July and replaced by SenseTime Group (20 HK) or PetroChina (857 HK). 

SenseTime (20 HK) or PetroChina (857 HK), Great Wall (2333 HK) and Zhongsheng (881 HK) could replace Haidilao (6862 HK), CPIC (2601 HK) and Alibaba Health (241 HK) in September.
There will be buying on SenseTime Group (20 HK) from HSCEI INDEX and HSTECH INDEX trackers. But there is also a big lock-up expiry on 29 June.


HSCEI Index Rebalance Preview: Four Sets of Changes from July to September

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>Northbound connected recorded inflow of USD 2.7bn in May, led by financisl, utilities and energy sector.</li>
<li>We highlight inflows into CMB, Yangtze Power, Yili, Longi, and Industrial bank, as well as outflows from CATL, Conch, Haitian, Zijin and Tinci. </li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.
Northbound connected recorded inflow of USD 2.7bn in May, led by financisl, utilities and energy sector.
We highlight inflows into CMB, Yangtze Power, Yili, Longi, and Industrial bank, as well as outflows from CATL, Conch, Haitian, Zijin and Tinci. 


Northbound Flows Monthly (May): CMB, Yangtze Power, Yili

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outlfows, and holding by mainland investors.</li>
<li>Inflows last month amounted to USD 5.7bn which marks sixth months of inflows. Top three stocks southbound investors bought were Meituan, CNOOC, and Tencent.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.
We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outlfows, and holding by mainland investors.
Inflows last month amounted to USD 5.7bn which marks sixth months of inflows. Top three stocks southbound investors bought were Meituan, CNOOC, and Tencent.


Hong Kong Connect Flows Monthly (May): Meituan, CNOOC, Tencent

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A/H premium on 140 stocks over the last week.</li>
<li>A-H premium increased by 1.8ppt last week, mainly led by health care, utilities, consumer discretionary sector.</li>
<li>We highlight A-H premium changes in Cansino, Great Wall Motor, Shandong Xinhua, Xinhua Winshare, First Tractor, Joinn Lab.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A/H premium on 140 stocks over the last week.
A-H premium increased by 1.8ppt last week, mainly led by health care, utilities, consumer discretionary sector.
We highlight A-H premium changes in Cansino, Great Wall Motor, Shandong Xinhua, Xinhua Winshare, First Tractor, Joinn Lab.


A-H Premium Weekly: Cansino, Great Wall Motor, Shandong Xinhua

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of May 20th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight week on week short interest changes in CMB, Tencent, AIA, GWM, China Mobile.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of May 20th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight week on week short interest changes in CMB, Tencent, AIA, GWM, China Mobile.


HK Short Interest: CMB, Tencent, AIA, GWM, China Mobile

China

Great Wall Motor Company Limited, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells pick-up trucks and sport-utility vehicles (SUVs) in China under branded names. The Company also researches and manufactures principal automotive parts and components for use in the assembly of pick-up trucks and SUVs. Great Wall Motor conducts business in China, USA, Japan, Canada, Korea, and other regions.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Great Wall Motor (601633 CH)

HSCEI Index Rebalance Preview: Four Sets of Changes from July to September

There should be one change to the HSCEI in July and then three more in September. Sensetime, Petrochina, GWM and Zhongsheng are expected to replace...

Brian Freitas

Northbound Flows Monthly (May): CMB, Yangtze Power, Yili

Northbound stock connect recorded inflows of $2.7bn in May. We highlight inflows into CMB, Yangtze Power, Yili, Longi, Industrial bank, as well as...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Connect Flows Monthly (May): Meituan, CNOOC, Tencent

Inflows last month amounted to USD 5.7bn which marks sixth months of inflows. Top three stocks southbound investors bought were Meituan, CNOOC, and...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly: Cansino, Great Wall Motor, Shandong Xinhua

We highlight weekly A-H premium changes of Cansino, Great Wall Motor, Shandong Xinhua, Xinhua Winshare, First Tractor, Joinn Lab.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Short Interest: CMB, Tencent, AIA, GWM, China Mobile

We highlight week on week short interest changes in CMB, Tencent, AIA, GWM, China Mobile based on latest HK SFC short aggregate report.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)