External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Maintain BUY. Great Wall’s 3Q24 core earnings were in line with our estimates.</li><li>We expect its overseas sales growth to continue in FY25E to support its earnings.</li><li>Seven new models in FY25E could also provide a positive surprise for China market sales.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Maintain BUY. Great Wall’s 3Q24 core earnings were in line with our estimates.We expect its overseas sales growth to continue in FY25E to support its earnings.Seven new models in FY25E could also provide a positive surprise for China market sales.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Great Wall Motor (2333 HK) - Overseas, New Models to Support FY25 After In-Line 3Q24 Core Earnings

<ul><li>Maintain BUY. We believe strong 1H24 earnings could extend into 2H24 and FY25, as the Tank brand’s competitive edge and Great Wall’s overseas sales growth could last at least for another year, especially as Great Wall is to start local production in Brazil.</li><li>On the other hand, we believe it needs a new “H6” in the NEV era no later than 2025, by leveraging its current strong earnings.</li><li>Strong 2Q24 earnings aided by overseas and Tank. Great Wall’s 1H24 net profit of RMB7.1bn was in line with its preliminary announcement in Jul (within RMB6.5-7.3bn).</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Maintain BUY. We believe strong 1H24 earnings could extend into 2H24 and FY25, as the Tank brand’s competitive edge and Great Wall’s overseas sales growth could last at least for another year, especially as Great Wall is to start local production in Brazil.On the other hand, we believe it needs a new “H6” in the NEV era no later than 2025, by leveraging its current strong earnings.Strong 2Q24 earnings aided by overseas and Tank. Great Wall’s 1H24 net profit of RMB7.1bn was in line with its preliminary announcement in Jul (within RMB6.5-7.3bn).Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Great Wall Motor (2333 HK) - Strong Earnings to Continue with a New H6 Needed

<ul><li>Maintain BUY. Great Wall’s 1Q24 net profit of RMB3.2bn beat investors’ prior forecast, which has increased our confidence in its profitability in FY24E.</li><li>We raise our FY24E net profit forecast by 25% to RMB9.9bn.</li><li>We believe Great Wall still needs a high-volume NEV in the mainstream market to boost investors’ confidence in its electrification transformation.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Maintain BUY. Great Wall’s 1Q24 net profit of RMB3.2bn beat investors’ prior forecast, which has increased our confidence in its profitability in FY24E.We raise our FY24E net profit forecast by 25% to RMB9.9bn.We believe Great Wall still needs a high-volume NEV in the mainstream market to boost investors’ confidence in its electrification transformation.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Great Wall Motor (2333 HK) - 1Q24 NP Beat Provides Room for Transformation

<ul><li>Maintain BUY. We are of the view that the Tank brand, pick-up trucks and exports will continue to support Great Wall’s earnings in FY24E.</li><li>Great Wall’s success in the off-road style SUVs has helped its PHEV sales volume and brought higherthan-expected margins, although it is difficult to extend it into BEVs in the short term.</li><li>We project FY24E sales volume to increase 10% YoY to 1.35mn units and net profit to rise 13% YoY to RMB 7.9bn</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Maintain BUY. We are of the view that the Tank brand, pick-up trucks and exports will continue to support Great Wall’s earnings in FY24E.Great Wall’s success in the off-road style SUVs has helped its PHEV sales volume and brought higherthan-expected margins, although it is difficult to extend it into BEVs in the short term.We project FY24E sales volume to increase 10% YoY to 1.35mn units and net profit to rise 13% YoY to RMB 7.9bnContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Great Wall Motor (2333 HK) - PHEVs Key to FY24; Earnings Likely Still Resilient

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) retail sales volume fell 1% YoY in first four months of 2023, 2% higher than our forecast made in Dec 2022.</li><li>Wholesale volume also rose 7% YoY YTD, 3% higher than our prior forecast, largely due to doubled PV exports in the first four months of 2023.</li><li>Automakers in China started to cut inventories in Apr 2023, as we had expected.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) retail sales volume fell 1% YoY in first four months of 2023, 2% higher than our forecast made in Dec 2022.Wholesale volume also rose 7% YoY YTD, 3% higher than our prior forecast, largely due to doubled PV exports in the first four months of 2023.Automakers in China started to cut inventories in Apr 2023, as we had expected.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Auto Sector – Mixed picture ahead as inventory risk lingers

China

Great Wall Motor Company Limited, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells pick-up trucks and sport-utility vehicles (SUVs) in China under branded names. The Company also researches and manufactures principal automotive parts and components for use in the assembly of pick-up trucks and SUVs. Great Wall Motor conducts business in China, USA, Japan, Canada, Korea, and other regions.

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Great Wall Motor (601633 CH)

Great Wall Motor (2333 HK) - Overseas, New Models to Support FY25 After In-Line 3Q24 Core Earnings

Maintain BUY. Great Wall’s 3Q24 core earnings were in line with our estimates. We expect its overseas sales growth to continue in FY25E to support...

CMB International

Great Wall Motor (2333 HK) - Strong Earnings to Continue with a New H6 Needed

We believe strong 1H24 earnings could extend into 2H24 and FY25, as the Tank brand’s competitive edge and Great Wall’s overseas sales growth could...

CMB International

Great Wall Motor (2333 HK) - 1Q24 NP Beat Provides Room for Transformation

Maintain BUY. Great Wall’s 1Q24 net profit of RMB3.2bn beat investors’ prior forecast, which has increased our confidence in its profitability in...

CMB International

Great Wall Motor (2333 HK) - PHEVs Key to FY24; Earnings Likely Still Resilient

Maintain BUY. We are of the view that the Tank brand, pick-up trucks and exports will continue to support Great Wall’s earnings in FY24E.

CMB International

China Auto Sector – Mixed picture ahead as inventory risk lingers

China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) retail sales volume fell 1% YoY in first four months of 2023, 2% higher than our forecast made in Dec 2022.

CMB International

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