Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A/H premium on 136 stocks over the last week.</li>
<li>Information technology and health care led the increases of A/H premium while consumer staple led the decreases of A/H premium. </li>
<li>We highlight A/H premium increases for Flat Glass, Cansino, and China Eastern Air. </li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A/H premium on 136 stocks over the last week.
Information technology and health care led the increases of A/H premium while consumer staple led the decreases of A/H premium. 
We highlight A/H premium increases for Flat Glass, Cansino, and China Eastern Air. 


A/H Premium Weekly: Flat Glass, Cansino, China Eastern Air

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine as of record day of December 17th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight inflows into Tencent, Meituan and Tsingtao, as well as outflows from Wuxi Biologics, Xiaomi, and Great Wall Motor.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine as of record day of December 17th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight inflows into Tencent, Meituan and Tsingtao, as well as outflows from Wuxi Biologics, Xiaomi, and Great Wall Motor.


Hong Kong Connect Flows: Chinese Buying Tsingtao Brewery

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Event-Driven

Hang Seng China Enterprises Index / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>With the 2021 futures expiring in 2 weeks, the focus now shifts to the HSCEI dividend futures expiring in 2022 where we see a fair value of 240.76 DIPS.</li>
<li>The current market is trading very close to our fair value for 2022 but there are a lot of potential catalysts that could result in a big move lower.</li>
<li>There are fewer catalysts for the 2022 futures to move higher. The regulatory changes in China plus the HFCAA could lead to the 2023 futures trading cheaper to 2022.</li>
</ul>


With the 2021 futures expiring in 2 weeks, the focus now shifts to the HSCEI dividend futures expiring in 2022 where we see a fair value of 240.76 DIPS.
The current market is trading very close to our fair value for 2022 but there are a lot of potential catalysts that could result in a big move lower.
There are fewer catalysts for the 2022 futures to move higher. The regulatory changes in China plus the HFCAA could lead to the 2023 futures trading cheaper to 2022.


HSCEI Dividend Futures: 2022 Close to Fair; Sell 22/23 Steepener

<ul>
<li>It has been an interesting year and short interest has varied a lot across countries, sectors and stocks. We look at changes in Hong Kong, Japan, Korea and Taiwan.</li>
<li>Shorts have soared in Korea following the resumption of short selling, while short interest has increased in the other countries too.</li>
<li>Ping An Insurance and BYD had the biggest short covering, while China Merchants Bank saw the largest increase in shorts over the year.</li>
</ul>


It has been an interesting year and short interest has varied a lot across countries, sectors and stocks. We look at changes in Hong Kong, Japan, Korea and Taiwan.
Shorts have soared in Korea following the resumption of short selling, while short interest has increased in the other countries too.
Ping An Insurance and BYD had the biggest short covering, while China Merchants Bank saw the largest increase in shorts over the year.


China Yangtze Power Co, Ltd. / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are 5 changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-stock-exchange-sse-50-a-share-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31073:1" rel="noopener">SSE50 Index (SSE50 INDEX)</a> as a part of the December rebalance. One-way turnover is 6% and the one-way trade is CNY 3.3bn.</li>
<li>There is same way flow on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhangzhou-pientzehuang-pharmaceutical-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15709:1" rel="noopener">Zhangzhou Pientzehuang Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. (600436 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-telecom-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34045:1" rel="noopener">China Telecom (601728 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sanan-optoelectronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4436:1" rel="noopener">Sanan Optoelectronics Co (600703 CH)</a> around the time of the SSE50 inclusion.</li>
<li>With active futures contracts traded on the CFFEX, there will be cash and carry positions and the rebalancing could add to the impact on the inclusions and exclusions.</li>
</ul>


There are 5 changes to the SSE50 Index (SSE50 INDEX) as a part of the December rebalance. One-way turnover is 6% and the one-way trade is CNY 3.3bn.
There is same way flow on Zhangzhou Pientzehuang Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. (600436 CH), China Telecom (601728 CH) and Sanan Optoelectronics Co (600703 CH) around the time of the SSE50 inclusion.
With active futures contracts traded on the CFFEX, there will be cash and carry positions and the rebalancing could add to the impact on the inclusions and exclusions.


SSE50 Index Rebalance: 5 Changes and Same Way Index Flow

China

Great Wall Motor Company Limited, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells pick-up trucks and sport-utility vehicles (SUVs) in China under branded names. The Company also researches and develops, and manufactures principal automotive parts and components for use in the assembly of pick-up trucks and SUVs.

Price Gauge
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Great Wall Motor (2333 HK)

A/H Premium Weekly: Flat Glass, Cansino, China Eastern Air

We highlight information technology and health care led the increases of A/H premium and three stocks: Flat Glass, Cansino, and China Eastern Air.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Connect Flows: Chinese Buying Tsingtao Brewery

We highlight Hong Kong Connect inflows into Tencent (700 HK), Meituan (3690 HK), Tsingtao Brewery (168 HK), and outflows from Wuxi Biologics (2269...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HSCEI Dividend Futures: 2022 Close to Fair; Sell 22/23 Steepener

The HSCEI 2022 dividend futures are trading close to fair but there are a lot more negative catalysts that will have a bigger impact than positive...

Brian Freitas

Asia: The Year in Shorts

There have been large increases and decreases in short interest on stocks across HK, Japan, Korea and Taiwan over the year. We look at the biggest...

Brian Freitas

SSE50 Index Rebalance: 5 Changes and Same Way Index Flow

There are 5 changes to the SSE50 Index at the Dec rebalance and there are stocks that have over 1.5 days of ADV to trade. With CFFEX traded futures...

Brian Freitas

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52-week Range

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