ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom-up, from across South East Asia.</li>
<li>The past week saw insights on Singapore's economic outlook, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-central-asia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:440:1" rel="noopener">Bank Central Asia (BBCA IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adi-sarana-armada-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16947:1" rel="noopener">Adi Sarana Armada (ASSA IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gojek-goto" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25976:1" rel="noopener">GoTo (GOTO IJ)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/scg-packaging-public-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28684:1" rel="noopener">SCG Packaging (SCGP TB)</a>.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/daniel-tabbush" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:12" rel="noopener">Daniel Tabbush</a> also took a look and Philippine Banks highlighting <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-banking-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22788:1" rel="noopener">China Banking (CHIB PM)</a> as his top pick. We also comment on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/astra-international-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46:1" rel="noopener">Astra International (ASII IJ)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/telekomunikasi-indonesia" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1051:1" rel="noopener">Telekom (TLKM IJ)</a>. </li>
</ul>


The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom-up, from across South East Asia.
The past week saw insights on Singapore's economic outlook, Bank Central Asia (BBCA IJ), Adi Sarana Armada (ASSA IJ), GoTo (GOTO IJ), and SCG Packaging (SCGP TB).

Daniel Tabbush also took a look and Philippine Banks highlighting China Banking (CHIB PM) as his top pick. We also comment on Astra International (ASII IJ) and Telekom (TLKM IJ). 


The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - BCA's Transactional, ASSA & Anteraja, and Philippine Banks

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Float and capping changes will require passive trackers to buy <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-central-asia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:440:1" rel="noopener">Bank Central Asia (BBCA IJ)</a> and sell <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-rakyat-indonesia-persero" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:484:1" rel="noopener">Bank Rakyat Indonesia Persero (BBRI IJ)</a> at the close on 28 April.</li>
<li>There will be passive changes to other stocks too, though the impact will not be material on most of the stocks.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gojek-goto" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25976:1" rel="noopener">GoTo (GOTO IJ)</a> could be added to the IDX30, LQ45 and IDX80 indices in May. With the oversubscription option nearly all used up, the stock should trade weak near-term.</li>
</ul>


Float and capping changes will require passive trackers to buy Bank Central Asia (BBCA IJ) and sell Bank Rakyat Indonesia Persero (BBRI IJ) at the close on 28 April.
There will be passive changes to other stocks too, though the impact will not be material on most of the stocks.

GoTo (GOTO IJ) could be added to the IDX30, LQ45 and IDX80 indices in May. With the oversubscription option nearly all used up, the stock should trade weak near-term.


IDX30/LQ45/IDX80 Index Rebalance: Float & Capping Changes

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

LG Energy Solution / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>On the IPOs front, Campus Activewear and Rainbow Hospitals will get India's IPO season going again, with LIC in the pipeline.</li>
<li>Placement flows remained slow over the holiday shortened week. With only Taiwan and India seeing deals.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
On the IPOs front, Campus Activewear and Rainbow Hospitals will get India's IPO season going again, with LIC in the pipeline.
Placement flows remained slow over the holiday shortened week. With only Taiwan and India seeing deals.


ECM Weekly (24th Apr 22) - Sk Shieldus, One Store, LIC, Campus, Rainbow, Zhihu, LG Energy, Shin Kong

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adi-sarana-armada-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16947:1" rel="noopener">Adi Sarana Armada (ASSA IJ)</a> booked a strong set of FY2021 results with sales growing by +68% and net profit by +64%, driven by a strong performance from logistics business.</li>
<li>Anteraja now makes up 54% of sales and broke even in FY2021, delivering an average of 650,000 parcels per day in 2021, expected to rise to 1.5m by December 2022.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adi-sarana-armada-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16947:1" rel="noopener">Adi Sarana Armada (ASSA IJ)</a> is a proxy for mobility through car leasing, online and offline used car sales through <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/autopedia-sukses-lestari" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35508:1" rel="noopener">Autopedia</a>, and last-mile deliveries through Anteraja.</li>
</ul>



Adi Sarana Armada (ASSA IJ) booked a strong set of FY2021 results with sales growing by +68% and net profit by +64%, driven by a strong performance from logistics business.
Anteraja now makes up 54% of sales and broke even in FY2021, delivering an average of 650,000 parcels per day in 2021, expected to rise to 1.5m by December 2022.

Adi Sarana Armada (ASSA IJ) is a proxy for mobility through car leasing, online and offline used car sales through Autopedia, and last-mile deliveries through Anteraja.


Adi Sarana Armada (ASSA IJ) - Mobility, Logistics, and the Digital Economy

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

GoTo Gojek Tokopedia Tbk PT / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Superapp <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gojek-goto" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25976:1" rel="noopener">GoTo (GOTO IJ)</a> made its public debut on the Indonesian Stock Exchange on 11th April. The company set the final IPO price at IDR338 per share.  </li>
<li>GoTo’s shares surged nearly 23% to IDR416 a piece on the open, boosting the company’s market cap to more than IDR497trn.</li>
<li>GoTo's share price has continued to slide and our SOTP valuation suggests that there is further downside.</li>
</ul>


Superapp GoTo (GOTO IJ) made its public debut on the Indonesian Stock Exchange on 11th April. The company set the final IPO price at IDR338 per share.  
GoTo’s shares surged nearly 23% to IDR416 a piece on the open, boosting the company’s market cap to more than IDR497trn.
GoTo's share price has continued to slide and our SOTP valuation suggests that there is further downside.


GoTo IPO: Shares Are Still Overvalued and There Is Further Downside

Indonesia

PT GoTo Gojek Tokopedia Tbk operates as an e-commerce platform. The Company offers mobility, food delivery, logistics, e-commerce, and financial technology solutions. GoTo Gojek Tokopedia serves customers in Indonesia.

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GoTo Gojek Tokopedia Tbk PT (GOTO IJ)

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - BCA's Transactional, ASSA & Anteraja, and Philippine Banks

The past week saw insights on Singapore's economic outlook, Bank Central Asia (BBCA IJ), Adi Sarana Armada (ASSA IJ), GoTo (GOTO IJ), and SCG...

Angus Mackintosh

IDX30/LQ45/IDX80 Index Rebalance: Float & Capping Changes

Float and capping changes will require passive trackers to buy BBCA and sell BBRI at the close on 28 April. There are changes to other stocks as...

Brian Freitas

ECM Weekly (24th Apr 22) - Sk Shieldus, One Store, LIC, Campus, Rainbow, Zhihu, LG Energy, Shin Kong

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

Adi Sarana Armada (ASSA IJ) - Mobility, Logistics, and the Digital Economy

Adi Sarana Armada (ASSA IJ) is a proxy for mobility through car leasing, online and offline used car sales through Autopedia, and last-mile...

Angus Mackintosh

GoTo IPO: Shares Are Still Overvalued and There Is Further Downside

GoTo’s shares surged nearly 23% to IDR416 a piece on the open, however, share price has continued to slide and our SOTP valuation suggests that...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

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