Indian Accounting Research Analyst, Trudence Capital Advisors

Nitin Mangal

Indian Accounting Research Analyst

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Forensic Accounting

Glenmark Pharmaceuticals / Forensic Accounting

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/glenmark-pharmaceuticals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10454:1" rel="noopener">Glenmark Pharmaceuticals (GNP IN)</a> FY24 results have seen PBT reducing from INR 2.4 bn to INR 365 mn i.e. by nearly 85%. </li>
<li>This was on account for exceptional line items, which included gains from sale stake in Glenmark Lifesciences, but was offset by losses pertaining to legalities and heavy impairment in assets.</li>
<li>The habit of having exceptional items, especially impairments is not something new or one-offs. There have been regular impairments carried in the past as well. </li>
</ul>



Glenmark Pharmaceuticals (GNP IN) FY24 results have seen PBT reducing from INR 2.4 bn to INR 365 mn i.e. by nearly 85%. 
This was on account for exceptional line items, which included gains from sale stake in Glenmark Lifesciences, but was offset by losses pertaining to legalities and heavy impairment in assets.
The habit of having exceptional items, especially impairments is not something new or one-offs. There have been regular impairments carried in the past as well. 


Glenmark Pharma- Value Erosion Not Something New

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Alteogen has signed an exclusive license agreement with Daiichi Sankyo to develop and commercialize a subcutaneous version of Enhertu. Volpara won $7.3M contract from the U.S. Defense Health Agency.</li>
<li>Santen Pharmaceutical has rolled out Rhopressa ophthalmic solution in South Korea for the treatment of open-angle glaucoma or ocular hypertension.</li>
<li>Sun Pharmaceutical’s launch of alopecia drug Leqselvi in the U.S. will be delayed due to litigation with Incyte. Recently, a U.S. District Court decided to grant a preliminary injunction.</li>
</ul>


Alteogen has signed an exclusive license agreement with Daiichi Sankyo to develop and commercialize a subcutaneous version of Enhertu. Volpara won $7.3M contract from the U.S. Defense Health Agency.
Santen Pharmaceutical has rolled out Rhopressa ophthalmic solution in South Korea for the treatment of open-angle glaucoma or ocular hypertension.
Sun Pharmaceutical’s launch of alopecia drug Leqselvi in the U.S. will be delayed due to litigation with Incyte. Recently, a U.S. District Court decided to grant a preliminary injunction.


APAC Healthcare Weekly (Nov 10)- Alteogen, Santen Pharmaceutical, Beigene, Sun Pharmaceutical

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ipca-laboratories-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15774:1" rel="noopener">Ipca Laboratories (IPCA IN)</a> reported 12% YoY growth in domestic revenue to INR8.7B in Q1FY25. The company has delivered market beating growth in both acute and chronic segments.</li>
<li>Standalone EBITDA margin expanded 312bps YoY to 22.3% (FY25 guidance: 21%). Margin improvement is driven by favorable product mix, lower input costs as well as lower manufacturing and other costs.</li>
<li>Ipca is reducing FY25 revenue growth guidance to ~9.0% from 10.5–11.0% and raising FY25 consolidated EBITDA margin guidance by 0.5–1.0% to 18.5–19.0%.</li>
</ul>



Ipca Laboratories (IPCA IN) reported 12% YoY growth in domestic revenue to INR8.7B in Q1FY25. The company has delivered market beating growth in both acute and chronic segments.
Standalone EBITDA margin expanded 312bps YoY to 22.3% (FY25 guidance: 21%). Margin improvement is driven by favorable product mix, lower input costs as well as lower manufacturing and other costs.
Ipca is reducing FY25 revenue growth guidance to ~9.0% from 10.5–11.0% and raising FY25 consolidated EBITDA margin guidance by 0.5–1.0% to 18.5–19.0%.


Ipca Laboratories (IPCA IN): Domestic Revenue Drives Q1FY25 Result; Full-Year Margin Guidance Raise

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Snap-Back rallies have continued in the largest global equity markets (U.S., Japan, and Europe).</li>
<li>Japan's TOPIX is still below 2690-2700 and the EURO STOXX 50 is below 4884, and whether they roll over here or from marginally higher levels, lower highs remain likely.</li>
<li>It all fits with our ongoing belief (since our July 25, 2024 Int'l Compass) that MSCI ACWI is going through a 1- to 4-month pullback/consolidation (we are one month in).</li>
</ul>


Snap-Back rallies have continued in the largest global equity markets (U.S., Japan, and Europe).
Japan's TOPIX is still below 2690-2700 and the EURO STOXX 50 is below 4884, and whether they roll over here or from marginally higher levels, lower highs remain likely.
It all fits with our ongoing belief (since our July 25, 2024 Int'l Compass) that MSCI ACWI is going through a 1- to 4-month pullback/consolidation (we are one month in).


Shift Now to Defensives; Snap-Back Rally Testing Resistance $ACWI $SPX; Neutral Outlook Intact

Zydus Lifesciences Ltd / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zydus-lifesciences-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12914:1" rel="noopener">Zydus Lifesciences Ltd (ZYDUSLIF IN)</a> reported stellar performance in Q1FY25, with all key parameters improved sequentially and YoY. The company achieved highest ever operating profit and margin during the quarter.</li>
<li>Sustained growth momentum across all the businesses along with enhanced profitability drove Q1FY25 performance. Execution success of differentiated pipeline in the U.S. and outperformance of India business were particularly noteworthy.</li>
<li>Despite delivering 21% YoY revenue growth in Q1FY25, Zydus reiterated FY25 revenue growth guidance of high teens. The company expects EBITDA margin of 28.5–29.0% for FY25.</li>
</ul>



Zydus Lifesciences Ltd (ZYDUSLIF IN) reported stellar performance in Q1FY25, with all key parameters improved sequentially and YoY. The company achieved highest ever operating profit and margin during the quarter.
Sustained growth momentum across all the businesses along with enhanced profitability drove Q1FY25 performance. Execution success of differentiated pipeline in the U.S. and outperformance of India business were particularly noteworthy.
Despite delivering 21% YoY revenue growth in Q1FY25, Zydus reiterated FY25 revenue growth guidance of high teens. The company expects EBITDA margin of 28.5–29.0% for FY25.


Zydus Lifesciences (ZYDUSLIF IN): Q1FY25 PAT Jumps 31%; Increasing Focus on US To Augur Well

India

Glenmark Pharmaceuticals Ltd., is a pharmaceutical company. The Company develops generic drugs for inflammation, metabolic disorders, and pain.

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Glenmark Pharmaceuticals (GNP IN)

Glenmark Pharma- Value Erosion Not Something New

Glenmark Pharmaceuticals FY24 results show 85% decrease in PBT due to exceptional items like sale gains and asset impairments. Regular impairments...

Nitin Mangal

APAC Healthcare Weekly (Nov 10)- Alteogen, Santen Pharmaceutical, Beigene, Sun Pharmaceutical

Alteogen partners with Daiichi Sankyo for Enhertu, Volpara secures $7.3M contract, Santen launches Rhopressa in South Korea, Sun Pharma's Leqselvi...

Tina Banerjee

Ipca Laboratories (IPCA IN): Domestic Revenue Drives Q1FY25 Result; Full-Year Margin Guidance Raise

Ipca will announce Q2FY25 result on November 14. Thus far, Indian pharma companies have reported strong domestic revenue. We are expecting similar...

Tina Banerjee

Shift Now to Defensives; Snap-Back Rally Testing Resistance $ACWI $SPX; Neutral Outlook Intact

Shift Now to Defensives (Health Care, Telecommunications, Utilities, and Consumer Staples); Snap-Back Rally Testing Resistance $ACWI $SPX; Neutral...

Vermilion Research

Zydus Lifesciences (ZYDUSLIF IN): Q1FY25 PAT Jumps 31%; Increasing Focus on US To Augur Well

Zydus Lifesciences reports stellar Q1FY25 performance with highest ever operating profit and margin, driven by the US and India. The company...

Tina Banerjee

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Glenmark Pharma- Value Erosion Not Something New

​Glenmark Pharmaceuticals FY24 results show 85% decrease in PBT due to exceptional items like sale gains and asset impairments. Regular impairments...

Nitin Mangal

APAC Healthcare Weekly (Nov 10)- Alteogen, Santen Pharmaceutical, Beigene, Sun Pharmaceutical

​Alteogen partners with Daiichi Sankyo for Enhertu, Volpara secures $7.3M contract, Santen launches Rhopressa in South Korea, Sun Pharma's Leqselvi...

Tina Banerjee

Ipca Laboratories (IPCA IN): Domestic Revenue Drives Q1FY25 Result; Full-Year Margin Guidance Raise

Ipca will announce Q2FY25 result on November 14. Thus far, Indian pharma companies have reported strong domestic revenue. We are expecting similar...

Tina Banerjee

Shift Now to Defensives; Snap-Back Rally Testing Resistance $ACWI $SPX; Neutral Outlook Intact

Shift Now to Defensives (Health Care, Telecommunications, Utilities, and Consumer Staples); Snap-Back Rally Testing Resistance $ACWI $SPX; Neutral...

Vermilion Research

Zydus Lifesciences (ZYDUSLIF IN): Q1FY25 PAT Jumps 31%; Increasing Focus on US To Augur Well

​Zydus Lifesciences reports stellar Q1FY25 performance with highest ever operating profit and margin, driven by the US and India. The company...

Tina Banerjee

Glenmark Pharmaceuticals FY24 results show 85% decrease in PBT due to exceptional items like sale gains and asset impairments. Regular impairments...

Alteogen partners with Daiichi Sankyo for Enhertu, Volpara secures $7.3M contract, Santen launches Rhopressa in South Korea, Sun Pharma's Leqselvi...

Zydus Lifesciences reports stellar Q1FY25 performance with highest ever operating profit and margin, driven by the US and India. The company...