Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Leonard Law, CFA

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

Genting Berhad’s subsidiary, Resorts World Las Vegas LLC (RWLV), is holding roadshows to market an issuance of USD 300 mn Reg-S/144A 7-year senior unsecured notes. The notes are rated BB+/BBB- by S&P and Fitch, respectively. The new notes will rank pari passu with the existing USD 1.35 bn of RWLVCA notes. Proceeds from the notes issuance will be used to refinance a USD 300 mn subordinated shareholder loan from Genting Assets Inc. Hence, the transaction will be leverage neutral. We see fair value for the proposed RWLVCA 2030 notes at c. 8.5%, as we expect the bonds to price in line with the existing curve. That said, there could be strong demand for the notes, given the small issuance size and dearth of issuance in the Asia crossover space so far this year.

  Genting Berhad’s subsidiary, Resorts World Las Vegas LLC (RWLV), is holding roadshows to market an issuance of USD 300 mn Reg-S/144A 7-year senior unsecured notes. The notes are rated BB+/BBB- by S&P and Fitch, respectively. The new notes will rank pari passu with the existing USD 1.35 bn of RWLVCA notes.   Proceeds from the notes issuance will be used to refinance a USD 300 mn subordinated shareholder loan from Genting Assets Inc. Hence, the transaction will be leverage neutral.   We see fair value for the proposed RWLVCA 2030 notes at c. 8.5%, as we expect the bonds to price in line with the existing curve. That said, there could be strong demand for the notes, given the small issuance size and dearth of issuance in the Asia crossover space so far this year. 

Genting Berhad - Event Flash - Resorts World Las Vegas To Issue USD 300 Mn 7Y Notes - Lucror Analytics

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genting-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14210:1" rel="noopener">Genting Bhd (GENT MK)</a>'s implied stub and the simple ratio (GENT / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genting-singapore-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:439:1" rel="noopener">Genting Singapore (GENS SP)</a>) are at multi-year lows.</li>
<li>Preceding my comments on Genting are the weekly setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.</li>
<li>These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.</li>
</ul>



Genting Bhd (GENT MK)'s implied stub and the simple ratio (GENT / Genting Singapore (GENS SP)) are at multi-year lows.
Preceding my comments on Genting are the weekly setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.
These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.


Melco International Development / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Reportedly Macau authorities are not satisfied with some concessionaire proposals from gaming firms and require them to increase investment into non-gaming facilities under a concession retendering process</li>
<li>Preceding my comments on some of the gaming plays such as <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/melco-international-development-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:809:1" rel="noopener">Melco International Development (200 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genting-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14210:1" rel="noopener">Genting Bhd (GENT MK)</a> are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos. </li>
<li>These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.</li>
</ul>


Reportedly Macau authorities are not satisfied with some concessionaire proposals from gaming firms and require them to increase investment into non-gaming facilities under a concession retendering process
Preceding my comments on some of the gaming plays such as Melco International Development (200 HK) and Genting Bhd (GENT MK) are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos. 
These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.


StubWorld: Macau Plays Need To Up Non-Gaming Game

ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom-up, from across South East Asia.</li>
<li>The past week saw insights on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/astra-international-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46:1" rel="noopener">Astra International,</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ace-hardware-indonesia" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12808:1" rel="noopener">Ace Hardware Indonesia</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/total-access-communication" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:948:1" rel="noopener">Total Access Communication</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genting-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14210:1" rel="noopener">Genting Bhd (GENT MK)</a>. </li>
<li>We also look at the recent decision in Indonesia to raise interest rates, which we see as a sensible pre-emptive move, which should be positive for the Indonesian banks </li>
</ul>


The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom-up, from across South East Asia.
The past week saw insights on Astra International,Ace Hardware Indonesia, Total Access Communication, and Genting Bhd (GENT MK). 
We also look at the recent decision in Indonesia to raise interest rates, which we see as a sensible pre-emptive move, which should be positive for the Indonesian banks 


The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - Astra International, Ace Hardware, and DTAC's Merger

Global Gaming and Casinos Industry Specialist, Casino Business Review LLC

Howard J Klein

Global Gaming and Casinos Industry Specialist

Casino Business Review LLC

Extensive experience in marketing and development in the Asian gaming market

Global Gaming and Casinos Industry

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>During the current rebidding process for the six Macau concessions, a seventh "surprise guest"filed a bid. Opinion of their chances are mixed at best.</li>
<li>Genting has tended to overreach over time in other markets.</li>
<li>Macau operators already face daunting recovery odds ahead that will impose strains on cash and debt refis at higher rates.</li>
</ul>


During the current rebidding process for the six Macau concessions, a seventh "surprise guest"filed a bid. Opinion of their chances are mixed at best.
Genting has tended to overreach over time in other markets.
Macau operators already face daunting recovery odds ahead that will impose strains on cash and debt refis at higher rates.


Genting's Suprise Bid for Macau Casino Not Resonating with Investors Seeing Uncertainties Ahead

Malaysia

Genting Malaysia Berhad operates a tourist resort in Genting Highlands which includes hotels, restaurants, casinos, and recreational and amusement facilities. Through its subsidiaries, the Company also develops and leases property, operates leisure and hospitality services, and provides time share ownership scheme.

Berjaya Sports Toto Berhad is an investment holding company. The Company through its subsidiaries, operates a non-four-digit betting games, leases computerized lottery equipment, manufactures and distributes computerized lottery systems, and develops property.

Berjaya Land Berhad is an investment holding company which provides management services. The Company, through its subsidiaries, operates betting, leases computerized lottery equipment, manufactures and distributes computerized lottery systems. Berjaya Land also develops and invests in properties, operates hotels, resorts, and casinos.

Magnum Berhad is a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiary, focuses on the gaming or numbers forecasting lottery business.

Berjaya Food Bhd, through its subsidiary, develops and operates a chain of restaurants in Malaysia. The Company opreates a chain of mid-casual dining restaurants specializing in rotisserie roasted chicken.

Shangri-La Hotels (Malaysia) Berhad is an investment holding company.  The Company operates hotels, beach resorts, property management and investment, and commercial laundry.

Berjaya Assets BHD is a diversified investment holding company. The Company's subsidiaries are involved in activities that include property management, investment and development, general trading, and providing lottery consulting services.

RGB International Bhd. is an investment holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, manufactures, refurbishes, and services casino equipment, amusement and electronic gaming machines.

EastLand Equity Bhd is an investment holding company.  The Company, through its subsidiaries, develops and invests in property, operates tour and travel agencies, and provides leasing and hire purchase financing services. EastLand Equity Bhd also operates as licensed insurance brokers, trades timber, and operates hotel.

Pan Malaysia Holdings Bhd is an investment, property holding, and management company. Through its subsidiaries, the Company manufactures carton boxes, general packaging products, and self-adhesive sticker labels. Pan Malaysia also trades building materials, provides money lending, nominee, and custodian services and operates a hotel and resort.

Wynn Macau, Limited owns and operates Wynn Macau, a destination casino resort currently featuring hotel rooms and suites, a casino, casual and fine dining restaurants, retail space and leisure amenities.

Skylark Co. Ltd. mainly operates a family restaurant chain across Japan.  The Company offers Japanese-style, Western-style, and Asia-style foods for a wide variety of targeted customer segments.  Skylark also sells food and provides delivery servies.

Jubilant Foodworks Ltd. owns and operates fast food chains. The Company offers donuts, baked goods, coffee, bagels, muffin, fruit milkshakes, smoothies, tea, sandwiches, pizza, and beverages. Jubilant Foodworks serves its products to customers throughout India.

Jollibee Foods Corporation owns, franchises and manages a network of fast food restaurants under the trade name Jollibee. The Company was incorporated in 1978.

Minor International PCL is a global company focused on three primary businesses including restaurants, hotels and lifestyle brands distribution.

The Wendy's Company operates fast-food restaurants. The Company owns, operates, and franchises fast-food restaurants located throughout countries that include the United States, Singapore, the Middle East and North Africa, the Russian Federation, the Eastern Caribbean, Argentina, the Philippines and Japan.

Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation is a worldwide developer, marketer, seller and manager of vacation ownership resorts and vacation club, destination club and exchange programs, principally under the "Marriott" and "Ritz-Carlton" brands and trademarks, which we license from Marriott International and Ritz-Carlton.

Travel + Leisure Co. operates as a hospitality company. The Company focuses on providing vacation ownership, managed rental, and exchange services, as well as owns vacation resorts and exchange properties. Travel + Leisure serves customers worldwide.

Mandarin Oriental International Limited is an owner and operator of luxury hotels, resorts, and residences. The Group now operates, or has under development, hotels in the Americas, Europe, Middle East, and North Africa. Mandarin Oriental International also operates, or has under development, residences at Mandarin Oriental.

Mandarin Oriental International (MAND SP)

Penn National Gaming, Inc. owns and operates Charles Town Races in West Virginia which features slot machines, casinos in Mississippi, and a riverboat gaming facility in Louisiana.  The Company also owns racetracks and off-track wagering facilities in Pennsylvania, as well as manages a gaming facility in the Province of Ontario, Canada.

Genting Berhad is an investment holding company.  The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides leisure and hospitality, gaming, and entertainment businesses. Genting also operates plantations, develops and manages property, provides tours and travel related services, manufactures and trades paper, explores oil and gas, and provides money lending services.

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Genting Bhd (GENT MK)

Genting Berhad - Event Flash - Resorts World Las Vegas To Issue USD 300 Mn 7Y Notes - Lucror Analytics

Genting Berhad’s subsidiary, Resorts World Las Vegas LLC (RWLV), is holding roadshows to market an issuance of USD 300 mn Reg-S/144A 7-year...

Lucror Analytics

StubWorld: Genting Berhad Is Cheap

The market is assigning nearly RM12bn less for GENT's stub ops since the onset of Covid, despite improving deconsolidated EBITDA. Set up the stub...

David Blennerhassett

StubWorld: Macau Plays Need To Up Non-Gaming Game

Reportedly Macau authorities are not satisfied with some concessionaire proposals and now require them to increase investment into non-gambling...

David Blennerhassett

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - Astra International, Ace Hardware, and DTAC's Merger

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity...

Angus Mackintosh

Genting's Suprise Bid for Macau Casino Not Resonating with Investors Seeing Uncertainties Ahead

Genting's suprise bid for a Macau license probably will not resonate with investors given its problems ino her markets. Overall the move is not a...

Howard J Klein

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