Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Event-Driven

Orient Overseas International / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The review period for the March review of the HSCI ends on 31 December. There are expected to be a lot more inclusions than deletions at the review.</li>
<li>There are quite a few stocks that should be included following their listing over the last couple of months while others are now potential inclusions after passing the velocity test.</li>
<li>Quite a few of the potential deletions from the HSCI and Stock Connect have large holdings via Southbound Stock Connect and these stock could see some selling.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the March review of the HSCI ends on 31 December. There are expected to be a lot more inclusions than deletions at the review.
There are quite a few stocks that should be included following their listing over the last couple of months while others are now potential inclusions after passing the velocity test.
Quite a few of the potential deletions from the HSCI and Stock Connect have large holdings via Southbound Stock Connect and these stock could see some selling.


HSCI Index Rebalance and Stock Connect: More Inclusions than Exclusions in March

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

In our weekly HK Connect Flow series, we aim to highlight key stocks and sectors which the mainland investors traded via the southbound Hong Kong Connect, as analyzed by our proprietary data engine.Since the opening of Hong Kong Connect scheme in 2014, southbound Chinese money started to play an increasingly important role in the Hong Kong stock market. In 2020, Southbound trading accounted for 22% of the equity market ADT. We split the stocks eligible for the Hong Kong Connect trade into three groups: HSCEI component stocks, stocks with a market capitalization between USD 1 billion and USD 5 billion, and stocks with a market capitalization between USD 500 million and USD 1 billion.In this insight, we will highlight inflows into Pop Mart International Group Limited (9992 HK), Great Wall Motor Company Limited (2333 HK), Byd Company Limited (1211 HK), as well as outflows from Gcl-Poly Energy Holdings Limited (3800 HK), and Xiaomi Corporation (1810 HK).

In our weekly HK Connect Flow series, we aim to highlight key stocks and sectors which the mainland investors traded via the southbound Hong Kong Connect, as analyzed by our proprietary data engine.Since the opening of Hong Kong Connect scheme in 2014, southbound Chinese money started to play an increasingly important role in the Hong Kong stock market. In 2020, Southbound trading accounted for 22% of the equity market ADT. We split the stocks eligible for the Hong Kong Connect trade into three groups: HSCEI component stocks, stocks with a market capitalization between USD 1 billion and USD 5 billion, and stocks with a market capitalization between USD 500 million and USD 1 billion.In this insight, we will highlight inflows into Pop Mart International Group Limited (9992 HK), Great Wall Motor Company Limited (2333 HK), Byd Company Limited (1211 HK), as well as outflows from Gcl-Poly Energy Holdings Limited (3800 HK), and Xiaomi Corporation (1810 HK).

Hong Kong Connect Flows: Southbound Selling on GCL Poly upon Trading Resumption

Hang Seng Indexes Company (HSIL) reviews the constituents of the Hang Seng Composite Index (HSCI) on a half yearly basis in March and September with data cut-off dates as of the end of December and June. The review announcement for the September 2021 review should be made on 13 August and will be effective after the close of trading on 3 September.Although there are almost no assets indexed to the HSCI, the index forms the basis of stocks that are eligible for Southbound Stock Connect. Stocks that are included in the HSCI and subsequently included in the Stock Connect program get inflows from mainland investors.We see 28 potential inclusions to the HSCI at the rebalance and 15 potential deletions, plus another 7 close deletions. Only 10 of the potential deletions will be removed from Southbound Stock Connect buy list since the other deletions are either not a part of Stock Connect currently or have listed A-shares.The inclusions to the HSCI outperformed the deletions at the March rebalance from review cut-off to announcement of the changes before giving by some of the gains to implementation and then some more for the 1 month post the implementation of the changes.

Hang Seng Indexes Company (HSIL) reviews the constituents of the Hang Seng Composite Index (HSCI) on a half yearly basis in March and September with data cut-off dates as of the end of December and June. The review announcement for the September 2021 review should be made on 13 August and will be effective after the close of trading on 3 September.Although there are almost no assets indexed to the HSCI, the index forms the basis of stocks that are eligible for Southbound Stock Connect. Stocks that are included in the HSCI and subsequently included in the Stock Connect program get inflows from mainland investors.We see 28 potential inclusions to the HSCI at the rebalance and 15 potential deletions, plus another 7 close deletions. Only 10 of the potential deletions will be removed from Southbound Stock Connect buy list since the other deletions are either not a part of Stock Connect currently or have listed A-shares.The inclusions to the HSCI outperformed the deletions at the March rebalance from review cut-off to announcement of the changes before giving by some of the gains to implementation and then some more for the 1 month post the implementation of the changes.

HSCI Index Rebalance & Stock Connect: Expected Changes in September

EDP - Energias de Portugal SA / Event-Driven

The changes to the S&amp;P Global Clean Energy Index have been announced. There are 52 additions to the index to take the number of index constituents up to 82. The changes are effective after the close of trading on 16 April.The 52 additions and capping changes will result in a one-way turnover of close to 55% and will require the ETFs tracking the index to trade US$12bn to rebalance their portfolios.The largest buying impact in terms of ADV to trade will be on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/edp-energias-de-portugal-sa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21362:1" rel="noopener">Edp - Energias De Portugal Sa (EDP PL)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22163:1" rel="noopener">SSE PLC (SSE LN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/northland-power-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25480:1" rel="noopener">Northland Power (NPI CN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/enel-americas-sa-c3a67f8a-ad13-45ff-a676-cbc513b8c458" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25965:1" rel="noopener">Enel Americas SA (ENIA US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/drax-group-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21911:1" rel="noopener">Drax Group PLC (DRX LN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meyer-burger-technology-ag" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25013:1" rel="noopener">Meyer Burger Technology Ag (MBTN SW)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/centrais-eletricas-br-sp-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28638:1" rel="noopener">Centrais Eletricas Br-Sp Adr (EBR US)</a>.The largest selling impact will be on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meridian-ener-partly-paid-sh" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4327:1" rel="noopener">Meridian Energy (MEL NZ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/contact-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13136:1" rel="noopener">Contact Energy (CEN NZ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/verbund-ag" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22563:1" rel="noopener">Verbund AG (VER AV)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/innergex-renewable-energy-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25479:1" rel="noopener">Innergex Renewable Energy (INE CN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cia-energetica-de-spon-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28644:1" rel="noopener">Cia Energetica De-Spon Adr (CIG US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/boralex-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25478:1" rel="noopener">Boralex Inc (BLX CN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/scatec-solar-asa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25120:1" rel="noopener">Scatec Solar ASA (SSO NO)</a>.Among the current index constituents, there will be buying on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/orsted-a-s" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24765:1" rel="noopener">Orsted A/S (ORSTED DC)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vestas-wind-systems-a-s" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22524:1" rel="noopener">Vestas Wind Systems A/S (VWS DC)</a>.We recommend buying the surprise inclusions and unwinding the positions by implementation date. A lot of the stocks that will have a reduction in index weight have been sold off over the last few months and the active positions will be covered leading up to implementation date - we recommend buying these stocks in the days leading up to implementation date since the stocks could rally once the overhang of passive selling has been removed.

The changes to the S&amp;P Global Clean Energy Index have been announced. There are 52 additions to the index to take the number of index constituents up to 82. The changes are effective after the close of trading on 16 April.The 52 additions and capping changes will result in a one-way turnover of close to 55% and will require the ETFs tracking the index to trade US$12bn to rebalance their portfolios.The largest buying impact in terms of ADV to trade will be on Edp - Energias De Portugal Sa (EDP PL), SSE PLC (SSE LN), Northland Power (NPI CN), Enel Americas SA (ENIA US), Drax Group PLC (DRX LN), Meyer Burger Technology Ag (MBTN SW) and Centrais Eletricas Br-Sp Adr (EBR US).The largest selling impact will be on Meridian Energy (MEL NZ), Contact Energy (CEN NZ), Verbund AG (VER AV), Innergex Renewable Energy (INE CN), Cia Energetica De-Spon Adr (CIG US), Boralex Inc (BLX CN) and Scatec Solar ASA (SSO NO).Among the current index constituents, there will be buying on Orsted A/S (ORSTED DC) and Vestas Wind Systems A/S (VWS DC).We recommend buying the surprise inclusions and unwinding the positions by implementation date. A lot of the stocks that will have a reduction in index weight have been sold off over the last few months and the active positions will be covered leading up to implementation date - we recommend buying these stocks in the days leading up to implementation date since the stocks could rally once the overhang of passive selling has been removed.

Global Clean Energy Index: 52 Adds, 55% Index Turnover, US$12bn to Trade

Earlier today, S&amp;P Dow Jones announced that all the proposals of the latest market consultation would be implemented at the close of trading on 16 April to reduce constituent concentration, ease liquidity limitations, and improve index replication further than would have been achieved from the result of the prior market consultation.We expect there will be 37 additions to the index taking the number of index constituents up to 67. This number will increase over the next few rebalances as the target is to get up to at least 100 constituent stocks.With index weight dependent on free float market cap and turnover, plus capping of index weight dependent on exposure scores, this is going to be a large rebalance. We expect a one-way turnover of 48.1% with our expected changes.Stocks that could see passive buying (sorted in terms of days of ADV) are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/drax-group-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21911:1" rel="noopener">Drax Group PLC (DRX LN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/enel-americas-sa-c3a67f8a-ad13-45ff-a676-cbc513b8c458" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25965:1" rel="noopener">Enel Americas Sa (ENIA US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fortum-oyj" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21762:1" rel="noopener">Fortum OYJ (FUM1V FH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/erg-spa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21186:1" rel="noopener">ERG SpA (ERG IM)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/terna-rete-elettrica-nazionale" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21232:1" rel="noopener">Terna Rete Elettrica Nazionale (TRN IM)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-longyuan-power-group-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14215:1" rel="noopener">China Longyuan Power Group Corp (916 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nordex-se" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21682:1" rel="noopener">Nordex SE (NDX1 GR)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/acciona-sa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21248:1" rel="noopener">Acciona SA (ANA SM)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/avista-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17178:1" rel="noopener">Avista Corp (AVA US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/idacorp-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15190:1" rel="noopener">Idacorp Inc (IDA US)</a>.Stocks that could see passive selling (sorted in terms of days of ADV) are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meridian-ener-partly-paid-sh" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4327:1" rel="noopener">Meridian Energy (MEL NZ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/contact-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13136:1" rel="noopener">Contact Energy (CEN NZ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/verbund-ag" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22563:1" rel="noopener">Verbund AG (VER AV)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/edp-renovaveis-sa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21363:1" rel="noopener">EDP Renovaveis SA (EDPR PL)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/scatec-solar-asa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25120:1" rel="noopener">Scatec Solar ASA (SSO NO)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/innergex-renewable-energy-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25479:1" rel="noopener">Innergex Renewable Energy (INE CN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/boralex-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25478:1" rel="noopener">Boralex Inc (BLX CN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/siemens-gamesa-renewable-energy-s-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21270:1" rel="noopener">Siemens Gamesa Renewable Energy, S.A. (SGRE SM)</a>.Among existing constituents, there will be passive inflows on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/orsted-a-s" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24765:1" rel="noopener">Orsted A/S (ORSTED DC)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vestas-wind-systems-a-s" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22524:1" rel="noopener">Vestas Wind Systems A/S (VWS DC)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/solaredge-technologies-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27981:1" rel="noopener">SolarEdge Technologies Inc (SEDG US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sunrun-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19726:1" rel="noopener">Sunrun Inc (RUN US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/enphase-energy-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8872:1" rel="noopener">Enphase Energy (ENPH US)</a>.

Earlier today, S&amp;P Dow Jones announced that all the proposals of the latest market consultation would be implemented at the close of trading on 16 April to reduce constituent concentration, ease liquidity limitations, and improve index replication further than would have been achieved from the result of the prior market consultation.We expect there will be 37 additions to the index taking the number of index constituents up to 67. This number will increase over the next few rebalances as the target is to get up to at least 100 constituent stocks.With index weight dependent on free float market cap and turnover, plus capping of index weight dependent on exposure scores, this is going to be a large rebalance. We expect a one-way turnover of 48.1% with our expected changes.Stocks that could see passive buying (sorted in terms of days of ADV) are Drax Group PLC (DRX LN), Enel Americas Sa (ENIA US), Fortum OYJ (FUM1V FH), ERG SpA (ERG IM), Terna Rete Elettrica Nazionale (TRN IM), China Longyuan Power Group Corp (916 HK), Nordex SE (NDX1 GR), Acciona SA (ANA SM), Avista Corp (AVA US) and Idacorp Inc (IDA US).Stocks that could see passive selling (sorted in terms of days of ADV) are Meridian Energy (MEL NZ), Contact Energy (CEN NZ), Verbund AG (VER AV), EDP Renovaveis SA (EDPR PL), Scatec Solar ASA (SSO NO), Innergex Renewable Energy (INE CN), Boralex Inc (BLX CN) and Siemens Gamesa Renewable Energy, S.A. (SGRE SM).Among existing constituents, there will be passive inflows on Orsted A/S (ORSTED DC), Vestas Wind Systems A/S (VWS DC), SolarEdge Technologies Inc (SEDG US), Sunrun Inc (RUN US) and Enphase Energy (ENPH US). 

Global Clean Energy Index: All Proposals to Be Implemented; 48% One-Way Turnover

Hong Kong

ASM Pacific Technology Limited manufactures semiconductor back end equipment. The Company produces assembly equipment, packaging equipment, surface mount technology equipment, and other equipment. ASM Pacific Technology supplies its products in microelectronics, semiconductor, optoelectronics, and other fields.

BOE Varitronix Limited designs, manufactures, and sells small-to-medium sized LCDs (liquid crystal displays) and related products. The Company offers displays for dashboards, clock, rear seat, power meter, washing machines, ovens, blood glucose meters, dental instruments, and label printers. BOE Vanitronix markets its products worldwide.

Solomon Systech International Limited designs, develops, and sells proprietary Integrated Circuit (IC) solutions that enable display applications such as cellular phones and handheld displays.  The Company's products are used by cellular phone brand owners such as Motorola and Sony Ericsson and display module makers such as ALPS Electric Co., Ltd. and RiTDisplay Corporation.

Solargiga Energy Holdings Limited operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and processes monocrystalline, multicrystalline silicon solar ingots, and wafers. Solargiga Energy Holdings operates worldwide.

Landing International Development Limited operates as an investment holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, develops and operates integrated resorts, gaming clubs, entertainment facilities, and properties. Landing International Development mainly operates business in Korea.

Wai Chi Holdings Company Limited engages in the manufacture and trading of light -emitting diode (LED) backlight and lighting products. The company manufactures its products on original equipment manufacturer and original design manufacturer basis.

PacMOS Technologies Holdings Ltd, through its subsidiaries, designs and trades integrated circuits products.  The Company also provides agency services.

CDW Holding Limited manufactures and supplies precision components. The Company offers metal and plastic LCD frames, LCD backlight units, and related components. CDW Holding serves customers in worldwide.

China Soft Power Technology Holdings Limited is an investment holding company. The Company markets and sells self-developed semiconductor processing chips and core architecture for China's mobile device market. China Soft also trades and distribute electronic products and other merchandise and are engaged in securities investment and trading.

Kingboard Laminates Holdings Limited operates as a vertically-integrated electronic materials manufacturing company. Its laminate products include glass epoxy laminates, paper laminates, and composite epoxy material laminates.

Flat Glass Group Co., Ltd is a PV glass manufacturer. The Company also markets float glass, household glass and architectural glass.

Axcelis Technologies, Inc. manufactures components for the semiconductor industry. The Company designs, manufactures and services ion implantation, dry strip, thermal processing and curing equipment used in the fabrication of semiconductor chips. Axcelis Technologies sells their products to semiconductor chip manufacturers worldwide.

Faraday Technology Corp. designs and manufactures application specific integrated circuits (ASICs) and wafers.

Diodes Incorporated manufactures and supplies discrete, logic, and analog semiconductor devices to consumers in the electronics, computing, industrial, communications, and automotive markets. The Company's products include diodes, transistors, MOSFETs, single gate logic, LED drivers, and USB switches.

Sino-American Silicon Products Inc. supplies silicon-based products, including silicon lapped wafer, silicon diffusion wafer, silicon ingot, silicon diffused diode chip, and automobile rectifier.  The Company sells its products worldwide.

King Yuan Electronics Co., Ltd. provides integrated circuit (IC) testing services to semiconductor manufacturers.  The Company tests the logic, memory, and burn-in functions of ICs.  King Yuan also specializes in IC reeling, packaging, and wafer grinding.

Tianjin Zhonghuan Semiconductor Co., Ltd. manufactures discrete semiconductor devices. The Company's main products are High Voltage Diode, Silicon Rectifier Diode, Silicon Bridge Rectifier, MWO High Voltage Silicon Diode and special High Voltage Silicon Diode .

Tianjin Zhonghuan Semiconductor (002129 CH)

Hua Hong Semiconductor Limited manufactures semiconductors on 200mm wafers for specialty applications. The Company's products are used in the consumer electronic, communication, computing and industrial, and automotive industries.

TongFu Microelectronics Co., Ltd. manufactures integrated chips. The Company provides assembling and testing service for memory, microprocessor, micro-controller, hybrid circuit, analog circuit, and other related services throughout China.

Winbond Electronics Corporation designs, manufactures, and sells integrated circuits (IC) and related products.  The Company sells its products in Taiwan, the United States, and Hong Kong.

GCL-Poly Energy Holdings Ltd is a Chinese power company that produces solar grade polysilicon and operates cogeneration plants and in China.

Gcl Poly Energy Holdings Limited (3800 HK)

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Gcl Poly Energy Holdings Limited (3800 HK)

HSCI Index Rebalance and Stock Connect: More Inclusions than Exclusions in March

We expect there will be a lot more inclusions than exclusions at the March rebalance of the HSCI. The changes to the index will result in changes...

Brian Freitas

Hong Kong Connect Flows: Southbound Selling on GCL Poly upon Trading Resumption

We highlight weekly Hong Kong Connect inflows into Pop Mart (9992 HK), Great Wall Motor(2333 HK), Byd (1211 HK), and outflows from Gcl-Poly (3800...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HSCI Index Rebalance & Stock Connect: Expected Changes in September

Currently we see 28 potential inclusions & 22 deletions from the HSCI at the Sep rebalance. Most of the inclusions will join Stock Connect while...

Brian Freitas

Global Clean Energy Index: 52 Adds, 55% Index Turnover, US$12bn to Trade

There are 52 additions to the S&P Global Clean Energy Index. One-way turnover is nearly 55% and the ETF benchmarked to the index will need to trade...

Brian Freitas

Global Clean Energy Index: All Proposals to Be Implemented; 48% One-Way Turnover

S&P will implement all proposals of the market consultation at the close on 16 April. This will create trading opportunities. One-way turnover is...

Brian Freitas

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