Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>A recent shift in momentum has pushed Taiwan to the largest country level underweight in the Asia Ex-Japan region</li>
<li>Taiwan Technology stocks have driven allocations lower, in addition to Consumer Discretionary and Staples, Health Care and Financials.</li>
<li>Taiwan Tech remains the key risk.  Sentiment is starting to waver when funds are close to maximum exposure.  Underperformance here will be costly on both an absolute a relative basis</li>
</ul>


A recent shift in momentum has pushed Taiwan to the largest country level underweight in the Asia Ex-Japan region
Taiwan Technology stocks have driven allocations lower, in addition to Consumer Discretionary and Staples, Health Care and Financials.
Taiwan Tech remains the key risk.  Sentiment is starting to waver when funds are close to maximum exposure.  Underperformance here will be costly on both an absolute a relative basis


Taiwan Moves to Top Underweight, Tech Overweight Risk

Silver Point

Thomas J. Monaco

Independent Insight Provider

Silver Point is a boutique research firm that focuses on the broader financial services sector, with a particular focus on troubled institutions globally. 

Asia Ex Japan

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
Axis Bank (AXSB.IN) [Axis] has become the frontrunner to purchase Citigroup’s (C.US) India [Citi India] consumer business; </li>
<li>The Citi India transaction would represent a negative adjusted net spread of 41 bp for Axis – intimating a negative return on investment of 1.0%; and </li>
<li>As many customers have hit the exit button, we have already witnessed Citi India's retail loan portfolio decline 6.7% YOY prior to FY 2022 COVID-19 protocols. </li>
</ul>



Axis Bank (AXSB.IN) [Axis] has become the frontrunner to purchase Citigroup’s (C.US) India [Citi India] consumer business; 
The Citi India transaction would represent a negative adjusted net spread of 41 bp for Axis – intimating a negative return on investment of 1.0%; and 
As many customers have hit the exit button, we have already witnessed Citi India's retail loan portfolio decline 6.7% YOY prior to FY 2022 COVID-19 protocols. 


<ul>
<li>Another Troubled Bank Deal In Asia Adds Another Managerial Distraction;   </li>
<li>DBS Agreed to Acquire Citigroup’s Taiwan Consumer Franchise for SGD 2.9 bn After Three Taiwan Banks Couldn’t Make This Deal Work; and </li>
<li>In Addition, DBS’ Fundamentals Continue to Weaken, With Lower Fees, Compressed Margins, and Modestly Weaker Credit. </li>
</ul>


Another Troubled Bank Deal In Asia Adds Another Managerial Distraction;   
DBS Agreed to Acquire Citigroup’s Taiwan Consumer Franchise for SGD 2.9 bn After Three Taiwan Banks Couldn’t Make This Deal Work; and 
In Addition, DBS’ Fundamentals Continue to Weaken, With Lower Fees, Compressed Margins, and Modestly Weaker Credit. 


DBS Group Holdings – And Baby Makes Three

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Capital Securities Corp

Capital Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Capital Securities Corp

Capital Securities provides clients with investment services covering diversified financial products. We have outstanding business performance amid intense competition in the domestic securities market. 

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Fubon Financial Holding Co / Equity Bottom-Up

Investment outlook appears promising in FY22; recommend TRADING BUY. Fubon FHC posted 1Q~3Q21 net profit of NTD130.2bn. FY21 earnings may outperform. Fubon FHC positively views market outlook in FY22. Due to a low comparison base in FY21, Taipei Fubon Bank may resume growth in FY22. We recommend TRADING BUY with TP of NTD80 (1.0x FY22 PBR).<div class="content-highlight">Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</div>

Investment outlook appears promising in FY22; recommend TRADING BUY. Fubon FHC posted 1Q~3Q21 net profit of NTD130.2bn. FY21 earnings may outperform. Fubon FHC positively views market outlook in FY22. Due to a low comparison base in FY21, Taipei Fubon Bank may resume growth in FY22. We recommend TRADING BUY with TP of NTD80 (1.0x FY22 PBR).Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Fubon FHC (2881 TT, TRADING BUY, NTD73.10)

Taiwan

Fubon Financial Holding Co., Ltd. is a financial holding company, formed through the merger of Fubon Insurance, Fubon Securities, Fubon Commercial Bank, and Fubon Life Assurance.

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Fubon Financial Holding Co (2881 TT)

Taiwan Moves to Top Underweight, Tech Overweight Risk

A recent shift in momentum has pushed Taiwan to the largest country level underweight in the Asia Ex-Japan region, with the Technology sector one...

Steven Holden

Axis Bank – Lost In The Citi

AXIS: Axis has become the frontrunner to purchase Citi India's consumer business. This deal would result in a negative ROI of 1.0% to Axis.

Thomas J. Monaco

DBS Group Holdings – And Baby Makes Three

DBS: Another troubled bank deal adds another managerial distraction, as DBS has agreed to acquire Citigroup’s Taiwan consumer franchise. Further,...

Thomas J. Monaco

Fubon FHC (2881 TT, TRADING BUY, NTD73.10)

Investment outlook appears promising in FY22; recommend TRADING BUY. Fubon FHC posted 1Q~3Q21 net profit of NTD130.2bn. FY21 earnings may...

Capital Securities

Fubon FHC (2881 TT, TRADING BUY, NTD73.10)

Investment outlook appears promising in FY22; recommend TRADING BUY. Fubon FHC posted 1Q~3Q21 net profit of NTD130.2bn. FY21 earnings may...

Capital Securities

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