Investment Strategist, Transparently.AI

Mark Jolley

Investment Strategist

AI detection of accounting fraud and manipulation

Transparently.AI

Fraud and manipulation of their numbers see companies lose USD1 trillion+ per year for their stakeholders. Transparently.AI has developed an AI system that determines:

1. The likelihood that a company is committing fraud/serious manipulation of their books;
2. Whether it is serious enough to result in total corporate failure;
3. Estimated $ losses to stakeholders;
4. How that manipulation/fraud evolves through time; and
5. Detailed analytics on the forms of manipulation/fraud (e.g. which parts of the accounts, what tricks of the trade, questions for analysts to ask management, where/how to investigate further, etc.).

This is effectively automating the analysis of forensic accountants, activist short sellers, credit analysts, etc to do work that would typically take weeks per company, and instead run it in seconds and for thousands of companies simultaneously.

Critically, this solution frequently alerts users to the presence of serious manipulation risk up to 2-3 years in advance of the wider market and short sellers becoming aware of problems.

Forensic Accounting

Satyam Computer Services / Forensic Accounting

<ul>
<li>Satyam's chairman and founder confessed in January 2009 to misappropriating about $1.5 billion of company funds</li>
<li>Scandal shook confidence in Indian corporate governance and the country's IT services industry</li>
<li>Transparently.ai's AI tools detected accounting red flags in Satyam as early as 1998</li>
</ul>


Satyam's chairman and founder confessed in January 2009 to misappropriating about $1.5 billion of company funds
Scandal shook confidence in Indian corporate governance and the country's IT services industry
Transparently.ai's AI tools detected accounting red flags in Satyam as early as 1998


The Satyam Scandal: Inside India’s Enron

<ul>
<li>Learn about India’s worst accounting fraud, including Yes Bank, Satyam Computer, Kingfisher and others in this report.</li>
<li>Misappropriation features prominently in these scandals, in addition to fraudulent reporting and corporate governance failure.</li>
<li>Siphoning of funds from bank loans, in particular, has been a common feature of Indian corporate malfeasance.</li>
</ul>


Learn about India’s worst accounting fraud, including Yes Bank, Satyam Computer, Kingfisher and others in this report.
Misappropriation features prominently in these scandals, in addition to fraudulent reporting and corporate governance failure.
Siphoning of funds from bank loans, in particular, has been a common feature of Indian corporate malfeasance.


Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

Aster DM Healthcare Ltd / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aster-dm-healthcare-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23662:1" rel="noopener">Aster DM Healthcare Ltd (ASTERDM IN)</a> reported stellar performance in Q3FY25. Revenue achieved 11% YoY growth to INR10.5B, driven by increased patient volumes and growth in ARPOB. </li>
<li>Consistent growth across core businesses, combined with strategic cost optimization, operational efficiencies, and optimized service mix, have significantly strengthened margins, with Q3FY25 operating EBITDA margins standing at 19.3% (Q3FY24: 17.7%).</li>
<li>Our original investment thesis is intact. Margin levers are working well. Expansion plan is on track. Macro trend is favorable. Merger with Quality Care can be a game changer.</li>
</ul>



Aster DM Healthcare Ltd (ASTERDM IN) reported stellar performance in Q3FY25. Revenue achieved 11% YoY growth to INR10.5B, driven by increased patient volumes and growth in ARPOB. 
Consistent growth across core businesses, combined with strategic cost optimization, operational efficiencies, and optimized service mix, have significantly strengthened margins, with Q3FY25 operating EBITDA margins standing at 19.3% (Q3FY24: 17.7%).
Our original investment thesis is intact. Margin levers are working well. Expansion plan is on track. Macro trend is favorable. Merger with Quality Care can be a game changer.


2025 High Conviction Update: Aster DM Healthcare (ASTERDM IN) Q3 Result- Margin Expansion Continues

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Daiichi Sankyo has announced that Dato-DXd has been recommended for approval in EU. Astellas Pharma has submitted new drug application for conditional approval of Izervay for Geographic Atrophy in Japan.</li>
<li>SanBio has successfully secured the planned production yield for the second commercial production run to meet the approval conditions for the shipment of Akuugo suspension for intracranial implantation.</li>
<li>IHH Healthcare is seeking compensation of INR109.3B from Daiichi Sankyo for its stake buy in Fortis Healthcare. Dr. Reddy’s Laboratories entered licensing agreement with Shanghai Henlius Biotech for Darzalex biosimilar.</li>
</ul>


Daiichi Sankyo has announced that Dato-DXd has been recommended for approval in EU. Astellas Pharma has submitted new drug application for conditional approval of Izervay for Geographic Atrophy in Japan.
SanBio has successfully secured the planned production yield for the second commercial production run to meet the approval conditions for the shipment of Akuugo suspension for intracranial implantation.
IHH Healthcare is seeking compensation of INR109.3B from Daiichi Sankyo for its stake buy in Fortis Healthcare. Dr. Reddy’s Laboratories entered licensing agreement with Shanghai Henlius Biotech for Darzalex biosimilar.


APAC Healthcare Weekly (Feb 9)- Daiichi Sankyo, Astellas, SanBio, IHH, Henlius Biotech, Dr. Reddy’s

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Akshat Shah

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Dr Agarwal's Health Care Ltd / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dr-agarwal-s-health-care-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43984:1" rel="noopener">Dr Agarwal's Health Care Ltd (8140044Z IN)</a> raised around US$350m in its India IPO.</li>
<li>Dr Agarwal’s Health Care is a healthcare/hospital chain in India providing eyecare services, including surgeries; consultations, diagnoses, non-surgical treatments; and sells opticals, contact lens, accessories and eyecare related pharmaceutical products.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance and valuations in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Dr Agarwal's Health Care Ltd (8140044Z IN) raised around US$350m in its India IPO.
Dr Agarwal’s Health Care is a healthcare/hospital chain in India providing eyecare services, including surgeries; consultations, diagnoses, non-surgical treatments; and sells opticals, contact lens, accessories and eyecare related pharmaceutical products.
We have looked at the company’s past performance and valuations in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics.


Dr Agarwal’s Healthcare IPO Trading - Decent Anchor Demand but Subdued Overall Coverage

India

Fortis Healthcare Ltd. is a health care provider.  The Company operates multi- specialty hospitals, a boutique-style hospital, and various satellite and heart command centers.

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Fortis Healthcare (FORH IN)

The Satyam Scandal: Inside India’s Enron

Satyam scandal shook confidence in Indian corporate governance. Find out how Transparently.ai's AI tools detected red flags in Satyam's accounts...

Mark Jolley

India's Worst Accounting Scandals

Report documents India's major accounting fraud cases including Yes Bank, Satyam Computer and others. Misappropriation features prominently, with...

Mark Jolley

2025 High Conviction Update: Aster DM Healthcare (ASTERDM IN) Q3 Result- Margin Expansion Continues

Aster DM achieved 11% revenue growth to INR10.5B in Q3FY25, with operating EBITDA margins standing at 19.3% (vs. Q3FY24: 17.7%). The company aims...

Tina Banerjee

APAC Healthcare Weekly (Feb 9)- Daiichi Sankyo, Astellas, SanBio, IHH, Henlius Biotech, Dr. Reddy’s

APAC healthcare companies continued to get approvals for new products and initiates clinical trials. The companies continued with acquisitions and...

Tina Banerjee

Dr Agarwal’s Healthcare IPO Trading - Decent Anchor Demand but Subdued Overall Coverage

Dr Agarwal’s Healthcare raised around US$350m in its India IPO. In this note, we will talk about the demand and trading dynamics.

Akshat Shah

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52-week Range

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