Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>During 1Q2024, the 200 largest weighted companies in the GEM index reported average EPS growth of +8.7%y/y, down slightly from the +10.1% reported during 4Q2023.</li>
<li>Only 47% of companies delivered positive EPS surprises, and only 44% delivered positive Sales surprises, a sharp correction from the positive trend witnessed during 2023.</li>
<li>Historically, there has been a significant difference in relative share price performance between the largest positive versus negative surprise generators, for 3 months after the reporting date.</li>
</ul>


During 1Q2024, the 200 largest weighted companies in the GEM index reported average EPS growth of +8.7%y/y, down slightly from the +10.1% reported during 4Q2023.
Only 47% of companies delivered positive EPS surprises, and only 44% delivered positive Sales surprises, a sharp correction from the positive trend witnessed during 2023.
Historically, there has been a significant difference in relative share price performance between the largest positive versus negative surprise generators, for 3 months after the reporting date.


Global Emerging Markets: Reporting Season Summary, 1Q2024

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Jan 19th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD13.5bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Acer, Yageo, Quanta Computer, Faraday Tech, Asia Vital, Gigabyte Tech.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Jan 19th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD13.5bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Acer, Yageo, Quanta Computer, Faraday Tech, Asia Vital, Gigabyte Tech.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Jan 19th): Acer, Yageo, Quanta Computer, Faraday Tech, Asia Vital

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Dec 15th which has an aggregated holding worth USD701.6bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top changes by value for 1 week, one 4 weeks, 1 year and top stocks held by foreign instutions by dollar value.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD2,114mln and highlight foreign changes in TSMC, Largan Precision, Evergreen Marine, Far Eastone Telecom.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Dec 15th which has an aggregated holding worth USD701.6bn.
We tabulate league table for top changes by value for 1 week, one 4 weeks, 1 year and top stocks held by foreign instutions by dollar value.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD2,114mln and highlight foreign changes in TSMC, Largan Precision, Evergreen Marine, Far Eastone Telecom.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Dec 15th): TSMC, Largan Precision, Evergreen Marine

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Dec 8th which has an aggregated holding worth USD681.7bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top changes by value for 1 week, one 4 weeks, 1 year and top stocks held by foreign instutions by dollar value.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD563mln and highlight foreign changes in Umc.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Dec 8th which has an aggregated holding worth USD681.7bn.
We tabulate league table for top changes by value for 1 week, one 4 weeks, 1 year and top stocks held by foreign instutions by dollar value.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD563mln and highlight foreign changes in Umc.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Dec 8th): Umc

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Using data from the close on 20 November, there could be 6 adds and 5 deletes to the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in December.</li>
<li>There will also be capping and funding flows that will lead to a one-way turnover of 17.8% and a one-way trade of US$1.37bn.</li>
<li>There are 16 stocks with at least 3 days ADV to trade from passive trackers and another 10 stocks that have at least 1-day ADV to trade.</li>
</ul>


Using data from the close on 20 November, there could be 6 adds and 5 deletes to the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in December.
There will also be capping and funding flows that will lead to a one-way turnover of 17.8% and a one-way trade of US$1.37bn.
There are 16 stocks with at least 3 days ADV to trade from passive trackers and another 10 stocks that have at least 1-day ADV to trade.


Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance Preview: 18% One-Way Turnover & US$2.74bn Trade

Taiwan

Formosa Plastics Corporation manufactures and markets plastics materials and chemical fiber products. The Company's products include PVC (Polyvinyl Chloride) resins, high density polyethylene, tairylan acrylic fiber, acrylic acid and ester, carbon fiber, caustic soda, PVC modifier, and calcium carbonate.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Formosa Plastics (1301 TT)

Global Emerging Markets: Reporting Season Summary, 1Q2024

In this quarterly insight, we analyse recent GEM reporting trends by looking at Sales and EPS growth, size and percentage of positive surprises,...

Wium Malan, CFA

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Jan 19th): Acer, Yageo, Quanta Computer, Faraday Tech, Asia Vital

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Acer, Yageo, Quanta Computer, Faraday Tech, Asia...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Dec 15th): TSMC, Largan Precision, Evergreen Marine

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlight foreign holding changes in TSMC, Largan Precision, Evergreen Marine, Far...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Dec 8th): Umc

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and we highlighted the foreign holding weekly and yearly changes in Umc.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance Preview: 18% One-Way Turnover & US$2.74bn Trade

There should be 6 adds, 5 deletes and capping changes leading to 1-way turnover of 17.8% and 1-way trade of US$1.37bn. 16 stocks could have over 3x...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Global Emerging Markets: Reporting Season Summary, 1Q2024

In this quarterly insight, we analyse recent GEM reporting trends by looking at Sales and EPS growth, size and percentage of positive surprises,...

Wium Malan, CFA

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Jan 19th): Acer, Yageo, Quanta Computer, Faraday Tech, Asia Vital

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Acer, Yageo, Quanta Computer, Faraday Tech, Asia...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Dec 15th): TSMC, Largan Precision, Evergreen Marine

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlight foreign holding changes in TSMC, Largan Precision, Evergreen Marine, Far...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Dec 8th): Umc

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and we highlighted the foreign holding weekly and yearly changes in Umc.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance Preview: 18% One-Way Turnover & US$2.74bn Trade

There should be 6 adds, 5 deletes and capping changes leading to 1-way turnover of 17.8% and 1-way trade of US$1.37bn. 16 stocks could have over 3x...

Brian Freitas

Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance Preview: 18% One-Way Turnover & US$2.74bn Trade