HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The Government Work Report as revealed in the NPC has put increased emphasis on the agricultural sector and heightened the need to support the industry in the 2022 Work Plan.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/first-tractor-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24643:1" rel="noopener">First Tractor (601038 CH)</a> is a potential beneficiary as the government strives to increase the farmland area, improve well-being of farmers and upgrade agricultural machinery and equipment. </li>
<li>Russia-Ukraine war has caused a surge in fertiliser prices, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-bluechemical-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:894:1" rel="noopener">China Bluechemical H (3983 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sinofert-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:893:1" rel="noopener">Sinofert (297 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-xlx-fertiliser-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5679:1" rel="noopener">China Xlx Fertiliser (1866 HK)</a> may benefit in the near term. </li>
</ul>


The Government Work Report as revealed in the NPC has put increased emphasis on the agricultural sector and heightened the need to support the industry in the 2022 Work Plan.

First Tractor (601038 CH) is a potential beneficiary as the government strives to increase the farmland area, improve well-being of farmers and upgrade agricultural machinery and equipment. 
Russia-Ukraine war has caused a surge in fertiliser prices, and China Bluechemical H (3983 HK), Sinofert (297 HK) and China Xlx Fertiliser (1866 HK) may benefit in the near term. 


China Agricultural Sector: Implications of NPC and Russia-Ukraine War

<ul>
<li>CSRC's Market Value Management Guidelines will indirectly benefit the H-share stocks with their A-share counterparts with a P/B of below 1x.  </li>
<li>Chinese banks dominated the list with below-book A-shares. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-everbright-bank-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16221:1" rel="noopener">China Everbright Bank (6818 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-citic-bank-corp-ltd-ea6c25fd-4b20-45cb-a4a6-df7a60136f03" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:653:1" rel="noopener">China Citic Bank H (998 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/industrial-and-commercial-bank-of-china-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1119:1" rel="noopener">ICBC (H) (1398 HK)</a> are the prime beneficiaries.</li>
<li>Infrastructure construction companies <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-railway-construction-corp-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:263:1" rel="noopener">China Railway Cons Corp (1186 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-railway-group-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:264:1" rel="noopener">China Railway Group H (390 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-communications-construction-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:265:1" rel="noopener">China Comm Cons (1800 HK)</a> are also well-positioned to gain.</li>
</ul>


CSRC's Market Value Management Guidelines will indirectly benefit the H-share stocks with their A-share counterparts with a P/B of below 1x.  
Chinese banks dominated the list with below-book A-shares. China Everbright Bank (6818 HK), China Citic Bank H (998 HK), and ICBC (H) (1398 HK) are the prime beneficiaries.
Infrastructure construction companies China Railway Cons Corp (1186 HK), China Railway Group H (390 HK), and China Comm Cons (1800 HK) are also well-positioned to gain.


China & HK Strategy: Names to Watch for Market Value Management

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 150 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 103.7% as of Nov 22nd.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -1.0ppt week-on-week, led by communication services, industrials, financials and offset by consumer staples, health care, utilities.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for InnoCare, Shanghai Pharma, First Tractor, Air China.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 150 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 103.7% as of Nov 22nd.
The average A-H premium changed by -1.0ppt week-on-week, led by communication services, industrials, financials and offset by consumer staples, health care, utilities.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for InnoCare, Shanghai Pharma, First Tractor, Air China.


A-H Premium Weekly (Nov 22nd): InnoCare, Shanghai Pharma, First Tractor, Air China

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 149 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 98.3% as of Oct 18th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 3.8ppt week-on-week, led by consumer discretionary, consumer staples, financials and offset by health care.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for TSINGTAO, Goldwind, HAITONG, Guotai Junan Securities, Haohai, FMSH.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 149 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 98.3% as of Oct 18th.
The average A-H premium changed by 3.8ppt week-on-week, led by consumer discretionary, consumer staples, financials and offset by health care.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for TSINGTAO, Goldwind, HAITONG, Guotai Junan Securities, Haohai, FMSH.


A-H Premium Weekly (Oct 18th):TSINGTAO, Goldwind, HAITONG, Guotai Junan Securities, Haohai, FMSH

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of September 6th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for HSI ETF (2800 HK), HSCEI ETF (2828 HK), Li Auto (2015 HK), Tencent (700 HK). </li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of September 6th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for HSI ETF (2800 HK), HSCEI ETF (2828 HK), Li Auto (2015 HK), Tencent (700 HK). 


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Sep 6th): Inflows into ETF, Li Auto, Tencent

China

First Tractor Company Limited manufactures and sells agricultural tractors, road rollers, and other construction machines.  The Company also manufactures and sells harvesting machines and biochemical products as well as provides financial services.

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First Tractor (601038 CH)

China Agricultural Sector: Implications of NPC and Russia-Ukraine War

NPC reveals support for better well-being of farmers and upgrade of agricultural equipment, while the Russia-Ukraine war have escalated prices of...

Osbert Tang, CFA

China & HK Strategy: Names to Watch for Market Value Management

SASAC issued "Several opinions on improving and strengthening the market value management of listed companies controlled by central enterprises"...

Osbert Tang, CFA

A-H Premium Weekly (Nov 22nd): InnoCare, Shanghai Pharma, First Tractor, Air China

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for InnoCare, Shanghai Pharma, First Tractor, Air China.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Oct 18th):TSINGTAO, Goldwind, HAITONG, Guotai Junan Securities, Haohai, FMSH

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for TSINGTAO, Goldwind, HAITONG, Guotai Junan Securities,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Sep 6th): Inflows into ETF, Li Auto, Tencent

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for HSI ETF (2800 HK), HSCEI ETF (2828 HK), Li Auto (2015...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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