Fundamental Short Selling Research

Eric Fernandez, CFA

TwoRiversAnalytics

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Liquidity shorts can be great short candidates.  The key characteristic is that the company may not be viable, economically, given their cash flows and cash requirements. </li>
<li>Liquidity shorts have built-in catalysts, have moderate to higher betas,  and can have strong down moves if a crisis develops.  They can go bankrupt, pushing the stock price near zero.</li>
<li>Today we are flagging Carvana, Exact Sciences, Inspire Med, Freshpet, Enviva .</li>
</ul>


Liquidity shorts can be great short candidates.  The key characteristic is that the company may not be viable, economically, given their cash flows and cash requirements. 
Liquidity shorts have built-in catalysts, have moderate to higher betas,  and can have strong down moves if a crisis develops.  They can go bankrupt, pushing the stock price near zero.
Today we are flagging Carvana, Exact Sciences, Inspire Med, Freshpet, Enviva .


Liquidity Risk Short Candidates: Carvana, Exact Sciences, Inspire Med, Freshpet, Enviva

Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>In June of 2024, GRAIL, a market leader in early cancer detection, spun off from Illumina into an independent publicly traded company.</li>
<li>Following the spin-off, Illumina retains up to ~15% ownership interest in GRAIL and continues to fund GRAIL’s operations and R&amp;D with disposal funding of ~$974M.</li>
<li>I view GRAIL as a market leader in the MCED testing market and uniquely positioned to be very effective in detecting some of the most aggressive early-stage cancers.</li>
</ul>


In June of 2024, GRAIL, a market leader in early cancer detection, spun off from Illumina into an independent publicly traded company.
Following the spin-off, Illumina retains up to ~15% ownership interest in GRAIL and continues to fund GRAIL’s operations and R&amp;D with disposal funding of ~$974M.
I view GRAIL as a market leader in the MCED testing market and uniquely positioned to be very effective in detecting some of the most aggressive early-stage cancers.


GRAIL: Detecting Early-Stage Cancers With Galleri Test, A Significant Market Opportunity

Independent Investment Research & Investor, Maverick Equity Research

Maverick Equity Research

Independent Investment Research & Investor

Independent Investment Research & Investor: value, dividend and growth stocks. Risk management & hedging for an all weather portfolio.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>All 6 ETFs positive in 2023 while ARKW ARKF ARKK ARKQ booming with 35%, 27%, 25% &amp; 17% respectively.</li><li>Risk appetite for the Innovation/Hyper Growth thematic is on!</li><li>Enhanced Price Action view: Ark 6 ETFs 2023 Returns &amp; Rebounders from their 52-week low + I added S&amp;P 500 (SPY) and the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) for comparison</li></ul>

All 6 ETFs positive in 2023 while ARKW ARKF ARKK ARKQ booming with 35%, 27%, 25% &amp; 17% respectively.Risk appetite for the Innovation/Hyper Growth thematic is on!Enhanced Price Action view: Ark 6 ETFs 2023 Returns &amp; Rebounders from their 52-week low + I added S&amp;P 500 (SPY) and the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) for comparison

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

<ul><li>EXACT Sciences delivered an all-around beat in the previous quarter.</li><li>Core revenue grew and screening revenue increased.</li><li>Gross margin furthered from the fixed cost leverage in EXACT Sciences' lab, the Cologuard patient compliance program, and the billing systems.</li></ul>

EXACT Sciences delivered an all-around beat in the previous quarter.Core revenue grew and screening revenue increased.Gross margin furthered from the fixed cost leverage in EXACT Sciences' lab, the Cologuard patient compliance program, and the billing systems.

EXACT Sciences Corporation: Pipeline Advancements & Cologuard Adoption Catalyzing Its Growth? – Key Drivers

<ul><li>Exact Sciences Corporation delivered strong results in the quarter, with fourth quarter revenue increased by 17%, or 28%, excluding COVID testing, to $553 million.</li><li>The company delivered an all-around beat in the quarter as 10,000 new healthcare professionals ordered Cologuard, bringing the total to over 302,000.</li><li>Besides that, Precision Oncology's revenue fell 4% to $143 million, excluding the loss of the company's prostate business and a $2 million forex headwind increase of 1%.</li></ul>

Exact Sciences Corporation delivered strong results in the quarter, with fourth quarter revenue increased by 17%, or 28%, excluding COVID testing, to $553 million.The company delivered an all-around beat in the quarter as 10,000 new healthcare professionals ordered Cologuard, bringing the total to over 302,000.Besides that, Precision Oncology's revenue fell 4% to $143 million, excluding the loss of the company's prostate business and a $2 million forex headwind increase of 1%.

Exact Sciences Corporation: Collaboration With VieCure & Other Drivers

United States

Exact Sciences Corp., is focused on developing and commercializing a non-invasive molecular screening test for the early detection and prevention of colorectal cancer. The Company's test is a stool-based DNA test that identifies both pre-cancer and cancer by detecting genetic mutations in colorectal cancer cells.

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Exact Sciences (EXAS US)

Liquidity Risk Short Candidates: Carvana, Exact Sciences, Inspire Med, Freshpet, Enviva

Liquidity risk short candidates may not be economically viable given cash flows and capital requirements. This week we flag Carvana, Exact...

Eric Fernandez, CFA

GRAIL: Detecting Early-Stage Cancers With Galleri Test, A Significant Market Opportunity

GRAIL, a fast-growing Galleri test maker, spun off from Illumina in June. The population-scale MCED screening test identifies 50+ types of cancer...

Andrei Zakharov

ARK Invest Short & Squeeze - Edition #3

All 6 ETFs positive in 2023 while ARKW ARKF ARKK ARKQ booming with 35%, 27%, 25% & 17% respectively. Risk appetite for the Innovation/Hyper Growth...

Maverick Equity Research

EXACT Sciences Corporation: Pipeline Advancements & Cologuard Adoption Catalyzing Its Growth? – Key Drivers

EXACT Sciences delivered an all-around beat in the previous quarter. Core revenue grew and screening revenue increased. Gross margin furthered...

Baptista Research

Exact Sciences Corporation: Collaboration With VieCure & Other Drivers

Exact Sciences Corporation delivered strong results in the quarter, with fourth quarter revenue increased by 17%, or 28%, excluding COVID testing,...

Baptista Research

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