External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

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Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Sep’23 Wholesale Volumes: The PV domestic sales were led by higher SUV dispatches while entry-level car sales remained under pressure.</li><li>Domestic 2W sales grew by 13% MoM (up 2% YoY, excluding HMSI) as OEMs filled the channel inventory ahead of the festive season.</li><li>2W exports showed early signs of strength (needs monitoring) with industry (excl HMSI) growing 4%/1% on a YoY/QoQ basis. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Sep’23 Wholesale Volumes: The PV domestic sales were led by higher SUV dispatches while entry-level car sales remained under pressure.Domestic 2W sales grew by 13% MoM (up 2% YoY, excluding HMSI) as OEMs filled the channel inventory ahead of the festive season.2W exports showed early signs of strength (needs monitoring) with industry (excl HMSI) growing 4%/1% on a YoY/QoQ basis. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Equity Bottom-Up

Escorts Kubota Limited / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Kubota Ltd (EKL) revenue for Q1FY24 was reported at Rs 2,355 Cr (up 16%/6% YoY/QoQ), which beat our estimates by 2% on higher price realisation in Agri/ECE Business and better than expected growth in the RED segment.</li><li>The company’s EBITDA stood at Rs 331 Cr (up 63%/42% YoY/QoQ) and beat our/consensus estimates by 63%/30% respectively.</li><li>EBITDA Margins (up ~400/350 bps YoY/QoQ) beat estimates by 280 bps mainly on account of the full impact of the price hikes taken in Q4FY23, commodity softening, cost reduction efforts and operating leverage. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Kubota Ltd (EKL) revenue for Q1FY24 was reported at Rs 2,355 Cr (up 16%/6% YoY/QoQ), which beat our estimates by 2% on higher price realisation in Agri/ECE Business and better than expected growth in the RED segment.The company’s EBITDA stood at Rs 331 Cr (up 63%/42% YoY/QoQ) and beat our/consensus estimates by 63%/30% respectively.EBITDA Margins (up ~400/350 bps YoY/QoQ) beat estimates by 280 bps mainly on account of the full impact of the price hikes taken in Q4FY23, commodity softening, cost reduction efforts and operating leverage. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Escorts Kubota Ltd - Overall Beat – Focus on Operational Efficiencies

<div><div><div><div><div><div><div><div><ul><li>In Q1FY24, All OEMs under our coverage are likely to report margin expansion on a YoY basis (+260 bps YoY expansion).</li><li>On a QoQ basis, we forecast margin expansion for TVS/Bajaj in the 2W segment, which will be driven by higher export volume and a better product mix.</li><li>We also foresee margin improvement in Escorts Kubota with a 7% QoQ increase in tractor sales and RM tailwinds.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div>

In Q1FY24, All OEMs under our coverage are likely to report margin expansion on a YoY basis (+260 bps YoY expansion).On a QoQ basis, we forecast margin expansion for TVS/Bajaj in the 2W segment, which will be driven by higher export volume and a better product mix.We also foresee margin improvement in Escorts Kubota with a 7% QoQ increase in tractor sales and RM tailwinds.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

<div><div><div><div><ul><li>May’23 Wholesale Volumes: Domestic 2W dispatches stood strong, PV up YoY (flat MoM) while CV/Tractor sales were mixed: The Domestic 2W industry reported strong growth of ~27% YoY (albeit on a low base), even with some recovery evident on an MoM basis (up 18% MoM).</li><li>2W exports remained weak YoY, but has improved MoM (Bajaj and TVS exports up by 6-7% MoM).</li><li>The domestic PV industry reported a robust 16% YoY growth (flat MoM) despite a few OEMs having reported production constraints (M&amp;M and Maruti pointed towards chip shortages).  </li></ul></div></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

May’23 Wholesale Volumes: Domestic 2W dispatches stood strong, PV up YoY (flat MoM) while CV/Tractor sales were mixed: The Domestic 2W industry reported strong growth of ~27% YoY (albeit on a low base), even with some recovery evident on an MoM basis (up 18% MoM).2W exports remained weak YoY, but has improved MoM (Bajaj and TVS exports up by 6-7% MoM).The domestic PV industry reported a robust 16% YoY growth (flat MoM) despite a few OEMs having reported production constraints (M&amp;M and Maruti pointed towards chip shortages).  Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Monthly Volume Update - Automotive Industry

<ul><li>Escorts Kubota Ltd (EKL) revenues for Q4FY23 were reported at Rs 2,214 Cr (up 17% YoY but down 3% QoQ), which was in line with our estimates.</li><li>The sequential revenue growth was led by lower tractor sales (down 12% QoQ/ up 14% YoY ) on account of the advancement of the festive season in Mar’23 as against Apr’23 in the last year, combined with the unseasonal rainfall.</li><li>The company’s EBITDA stood at Rs 233 Cr (down 6% YoY but up 22% QoQ) and beat our/consensus estimates by 14%/21% respectively.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Escorts Kubota Ltd (EKL) revenues for Q4FY23 were reported at Rs 2,214 Cr (up 17% YoY but down 3% QoQ), which was in line with our estimates.The sequential revenue growth was led by lower tractor sales (down 12% QoQ/ up 14% YoY ) on account of the advancement of the festive season in Mar’23 as against Apr’23 in the last year, combined with the unseasonal rainfall.The company’s EBITDA stood at Rs 233 Cr (down 6% YoY but up 22% QoQ) and beat our/consensus estimates by 14%/21% respectively.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Escorts Kubota Ltd - Long-Term Growth Drivers Intact; Maintain BUY

India

Escorts Kubota Limited is among India's leading engineering conglomerates, operating in the high growth sectors of Agri Machinery, Material Handling, Construction Equipment and Railway Equipment. The Group has earned the trust of over 5 million customers by way of product and process innovations over seven decades.

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Escorts Kubota Limited (ESCORTS IN)

Auto Monthly Volume Sep 2023

Sep’23 Wholesale Volumes: The PV domestic sales were led by higher SUV dispatches while entry-level car sales remained under pressure.

Axis Direct

Escorts Kubota Ltd - Overall Beat – Focus on Operational Efficiencies

EBITDA Margins (up ~400/350 bps YoY/QoQ) beat estimates by 280 bps mainly on account of the full impact of the price hikes taken in Q4FY23

Axis Direct

Auto - Q1FY24 - Earnings Preview

On a QoQ basis, we forecast margin expansion for TVS/Bajaj in the 2W segment, which will be driven by higher export volume and a better product mix.

Axis Direct

Monthly Volume Update - Automotive Industry

The Domestic 2W industry reported strong growth of ~27% YoY (albeit on a low base), even with some recovery evident on an MoM basis (up 18% MoM).

Axis Direct

Escorts Kubota Ltd - Long-Term Growth Drivers Intact; Maintain BUY

Escorts Kubota Ltd (EKL) revenues for Q4FY23 were reported at Rs 2,214 Cr (up 17% YoY but down 3% QoQ), which was in line with our estimates.

Axis Direct

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