Energy Transition | AI | Shifting World Order, Mint Finance

Suhas Reddy

Energy Transition | AI | Shifting World Order

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Commodities

<ul>
<li>US crude oil inventory declined by 12.2 million barrels as of the week ending on 28/Jun, the biggest drawdown since July 2023.</li>
<li>Henry Hub prices continued to decline from last week due to increased production and cooler weather forecasts.</li>
<li>Saudi Aramco awarded over USD 25 billion in contracts for gas expansion. Goldman Sachs lowered its target price on Saudi Aramco but maintained its “Neutral” rating.</li>
</ul>


US crude oil inventory declined by 12.2 million barrels as of the week ending on 28/Jun, the biggest drawdown since July 2023.
Henry Hub prices continued to decline from last week due to increased production and cooler weather forecasts.
Saudi Aramco awarded over USD 25 billion in contracts for gas expansion. Goldman Sachs lowered its target price on Saudi Aramco but maintained its “Neutral” rating.


[ETP 27/2024] Oil Prices Surge While Natural Gas Slides; Energy Majors' Gains Slowdown

Equity Capital Markets and Advisory Business, Auctus Advisors

Auctus Advisors

Equity Capital Markets and Advisory Business

Auctus Advisors is a specialist Equity Capital Markets and Advisory business with a focus in the Energy Sector. The partners have complementary skill sets, with decades of experience across Equity Capital Markets, Investment Banking and the Energy industry. We have worked at Société Générale, Canaccord Capital, BMO Capital Markets and Schlumberger. Most recently we have worked together for many years at GMP FirstEnergy. Auctus has been set up at the beginning of a new decade in which we see significant opportunities in the Energy space. Globally, demand for energy is at record levels and continues to grow. Conversely, investment in traditional energy sources has been severely constrained. We believe this imbalance creates opportunities for both companies and investors. Auctus provides Corporate Broking, Equity Research and Investment Banking services.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Chariot (CHAR LN)C: target price of £0.50 per share: Key step towards developing future gas to industry business onshore Morocco – Chariot has signed Heads of Terms with Vivo Energy for the future offtake from the Loukos onshore licence where natural gas has been encountered at Dartois.</li>
<li>Up to 3 mmcf/d would be initially sold to the CNG midstream business under a long-term gas sales agreement.</li>
<li>Vivo intends to design, fund, construct and operate a CNG plant and virtual distribution network to transport natural gas from a number of sources to existing and new industrial customers in Morocco.</li>
</ul>


Chariot (CHAR LN)C: target price of £0.50 per share: Key step towards developing future gas to industry business onshore Morocco – Chariot has signed Heads of Terms with Vivo Energy for the future offtake from the Loukos onshore licence where natural gas has been encountered at Dartois.
Up to 3 mmcf/d would be initially sold to the CNG midstream business under a long-term gas sales agreement.
Vivo intends to design, fund, construct and operate a CNG plant and virtual distribution network to transport natural gas from a number of sources to existing and new industrial customers in Morocco.


<ul>
<li>An unexpected increase in US crude oil and gasoline inventories pushed oil prices down but the ongoing conflicts capped the downside.</li>
<li>Growing natural gas output dampens Henry Hub’s uptrend. Europe will ban transshipments of Russian LNG in its ports from March 2025.</li>
<li>Chevron's Wheatstone LNG facility in Australia resumed full production. Wells Fargo lowered its target price on Shell but raised it on Occidental.</li>
</ul>


An unexpected increase in US crude oil and gasoline inventories pushed oil prices down but the ongoing conflicts capped the downside.
Growing natural gas output dampens Henry Hub’s uptrend. Europe will ban transshipments of Russian LNG in its ports from March 2025.
Chevron's Wheatstone LNG facility in Australia resumed full production. Wells Fargo lowered its target price on Shell but raised it on Occidental.


[ETP 26/2024] Oil Prices Drop on Surprise Inventory Build; Oil Majors Slide but Retain Gains

<ul>
<li>Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C: target price of £0.65 per share: Flow rate of high impact horizontal well above expectations – The first CN Horizontal well (CNB HZ-1) from the Carrizales Norte B pad has been on production since 14 June at a rate of 3,150 bbl/d (~1.6 mbbl/d net) with less than 1% water cut while still recovering load fluid.</li>
<li>The flow rate is currently constrained with the ESP operating on the minimum setting.</li>
<li>The flow rate is above expectations.</li>
</ul>


Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C: target price of £0.65 per share: Flow rate of high impact horizontal well above expectations – The first CN Horizontal well (CNB HZ-1) from the Carrizales Norte B pad has been on production since 14 June at a rate of 3,150 bbl/d (~1.6 mbbl/d net) with less than 1% water cut while still recovering load fluid.
The flow rate is currently constrained with the ESP operating on the minimum setting.
The flow rate is above expectations.


<ul>
<li>Chariot (CHAR LN) C: target price of £0.50 per share: High impact well offshore Morocco on track to spud in August – The FY23 financials were in line with our forecasts.</li>
<li>The high impact Anchois East well is expected to spud in August.</li>
<li>A drilling success could increase the size of Anchois to over 1 tcf (300 bcf net to Chariot).</li>
</ul>


Chariot (CHAR LN) C: target price of £0.50 per share: High impact well offshore Morocco on track to spud in August – The FY23 financials were in line with our forecasts.
The high impact Anchois East well is expected to spud in August.
A drilling success could increase the size of Anchois to over 1 tcf (300 bcf net to Chariot).


Norway

Equinor ASA operates as an energy company. The Company develops oil, gas, wind, and solar energy projects, as well as focuses on offshore operations and exploration services. Equinor serves customers worldwide.

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Equinor (EQNR NO)

[ETP 27/2024] Oil Prices Surge While Natural Gas Slides; Energy Majors' Gains Slowdown

US crude oil inventory sees the biggest drawdown since July 2023. TotalEnergies exits South Africa to focus on Namibia. Jefferies cuts Chevron's...

Mint Finance

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 28/06/2024

Chariot has signed Heads of Terms with Vivo Energy for the future offtake from the Loukos onshore licence where natural gas has been encountered at...

Auctus Advisors

[ETP 26/2024] Oil Prices Drop on Surprise Inventory Build; Oil Majors Slide but Retain Gains

Inventory build-up in the US points to signs of weaker-than-expected summer demand, Nat-gas prices hit by rising output. Uptrend in oil & gas...

Mint Finance

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 21/06/2024

Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C: target price of £0.65 per share: Flow rate of high impact horizontal well above expectations

Auctus Advisors

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 14/06/2024

Chariot (CHAR LN) C: target price of £0.50 per share: High impact well offshore Morocco on track to spud in August – The FY23 financials were in...

Auctus Advisors

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