Global Bank Equity Specialist, Creative Portfolios

Paul Hollingworth

Global Bank Equity Specialist

Creative Portfolios

Equity Bottom-Up

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/4136" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4136:1">King'S Town Bank (2809 TT)</a> flags up some amber signals with the growth of funding and credit costs, huge asset writedowns on financial assets, and a shrinking bottom line that barely resembles Comprehensive Income.This all may signal a management team getting to grips with some asset problems and navigating the ship into calmer waters. Or is the bank being cleaned up for sale? The bank was rumoured to be interested in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/6756" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6756:1">Entie Commercial Bank (2849 TT)</a>.Our PH Score™ (our fundamental trend and value-quality indicator) though is subpar at 2.5 (bottom quintile globally) and the RSI (14 day) is high at 77. We would prefer to see an elevated PH Score™ and a low RSI. "If a business does well, the stock will follow". We are intrigued.If the bank was trading on a Franchise Valuation of 8% (Asia Pacific median including Japan), shares might be more compelling. But Market Cap./Deposits stands at 20%. The median P/Book in the region (including Japan) stands at 0.8x versus 1.1x at King's Town.

King'S Town Bank (2809 TT) flags up some amber signals with the growth of funding and credit costs, huge asset writedowns on financial assets, and a shrinking bottom line that barely resembles Comprehensive Income.This all may signal a management team getting to grips with some asset problems and navigating the ship into calmer waters. Or is the bank being cleaned up for sale? The bank was rumoured to be interested in Entie Commercial Bank (2849 TT).Our PH Score™ (our fundamental trend and value-quality indicator) though is subpar at 2.5 (bottom quintile globally) and the RSI (14 day) is high at 77. We would prefer to see an elevated PH Score™ and a low RSI. "If a business does well, the stock will follow". We are intrigued.If the bank was trading on a Franchise Valuation of 8% (Asia Pacific median including Japan), shares might be more compelling. But Market Cap./Deposits stands at 20%. The median P/Book in the region (including Japan) stands at 0.8x versus 1.1x at King's Town.

King's Town: "The Night Seems to Fade, but the Moonlight Lingers On"

CTBC Financial Holding / Equity Bottom-Up

Originally founded in 1966 as China Securities Investment Securities and then renamed China Trust Co.,<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/436" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:436:1">Ctbc Financial Holding Co Ltd (2891 TT)</a> has evolved and expanded over the years through corporate activity. CTBC is well positioned to fortify its position in a more consolidated and globalised Banking System. (Investors may be intrigued by recent RSI of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/6756" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6756:1">Entie Commercial Bank (2849 TT)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/16572" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16572:1">Union Bank Of Taiwan (2838 TT)</a>).The Group has an extensive overseas platform (Japan, China, SE Asia) and is always on the lookout for strategic alliances with local partners to extend product coverage. (For example, signing MOUs with Japanese and Chinese banks).Accounting for 22% of Net Profit, the Life business offers upside via cross-selling across branches in Taiwan and overseas. The Group is focused on streamlining operating process in order to improve efficiency and customer satisfaction.Excluding the life operation, fast-expanding fee income accounts for 36% of revenues. This segment includes the (prioritized) wealth management arm which incorporates bancassurance and the vibrant mutual funds business. There is also a lottery operation.The Group, which is still dominated by the bank, continues to strengthen its digital proposition to support innovation. Management targets digitalisation of end-to-end process and existing product in order to enhance customer experience as well as extending new business by adopting nascent technology and forming cross-industry alliances.Group results at Q118 show positive trends in profitability, efficiency, asset quality, and capitalization while liquidity remains high and provisioning continues to be extremely healthy.We view Taiwanese banks as quite low-risk, defensive, investments. Management is conservative and on the whole prudent. Transparency is a plus too once one gets to the bottom of idiosyncratic complexities. Consolidation and deregulation add a tailwind as intimated by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/263" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:263">Pranav Rao</a>. <a href="http://www.taipeitimes.com/News/biz/archives/2018/06/12/2003694720" target="_blank">http://www.taipeitimes.com/News/biz/archives/2018/06/12/2003694720</a>  CTBC trades at a relatively low franchise valuation. The earnings and dividend yields are attractive at 10% and 5%, respectively. Sustainable earnings growth when added to the dividend yield is matched by the PER. The combination of its RSI, a lower than average franchise valuation by global standards, and a quintile 1 global fundamental momentum score of 8.2 results in a high (quintile 1) combined ranking from our enhanced PH Score™ (0.54). <div class="content-highlight">The PH Score™ encompasses signals from Profitability, Operating Efficiency, Liquidity, Capital Adequacy, Asset Quality, and Provisioning. Scores lie between 0 and 10, with higher rankings representing more positive signs. We then simply equally weight the backtested PH Score™ with a Franchise Valuation and a RSI to attain an enhanced PH Score™. The enhanced PH Score™ lies between 0.24 and 0.71, with higher rankings representing more positive signs. 1.0 (100%) represents a theoretically perfect score – virtually impossible to attain!</div>

Originally founded in 1966 as China Securities Investment Securities and then renamed China Trust Co.,Ctbc Financial Holding Co Ltd (2891 TT) has evolved and expanded over the years through corporate activity. CTBC is well positioned to fortify its position in a more consolidated and globalised Banking System. (Investors may be intrigued by recent RSI of Entie Commercial Bank (2849 TT) and Union Bank Of Taiwan (2838 TT)).The Group has an extensive overseas platform (Japan, China, SE Asia) and is always on the lookout for strategic alliances with local partners to extend product coverage. (For example, signing MOUs with Japanese and Chinese banks).Accounting for 22% of Net Profit, the Life business offers upside via cross-selling across branches in Taiwan and overseas. The Group is focused on streamlining operating process in order to improve efficiency and customer satisfaction.Excluding the life operation, fast-expanding fee income accounts for 36% of revenues. This segment includes the (prioritized) wealth management arm which incorporates bancassurance and the vibrant mutual funds business. There is also a lottery operation.The Group, which is still dominated by the bank, continues to strengthen its digital proposition to support innovation. Management targets digitalisation of end-to-end process and existing product in order to enhance customer experience as well as extending new business by adopting nascent technology and forming cross-industry alliances.Group results at Q118 show positive trends in profitability, efficiency, asset quality, and capitalization while liquidity remains high and provisioning continues to be extremely healthy.We view Taiwanese banks as quite low-risk, defensive, investments. Management is conservative and on the whole prudent. Transparency is a plus too once one gets to the bottom of idiosyncratic complexities. Consolidation and deregulation add a tailwind as intimated by Pranav Rao. http://www.taipeitimes.com/News/biz/archives/2018/06/12/2003694720  CTBC trades at a relatively low franchise valuation. The earnings and dividend yields are attractive at 10% and 5%, respectively. Sustainable earnings growth when added to the dividend yield is matched by the PER. The combination of its RSI, a lower than average franchise valuation by global standards, and a quintile 1 global fundamental momentum score of 8.2 results in a high (quintile 1) combined ranking from our enhanced PH Score™ (0.54). The PH Score™ encompasses signals from Profitability, Operating Efficiency, Liquidity, Capital Adequacy, Asset Quality, and Provisioning. Scores lie between 0 and 10, with higher rankings representing more positive signs. We then simply equally weight the backtested PH Score™ with a Franchise Valuation and a RSI to attain an enhanced PH Score™. The enhanced PH Score™ lies between 0.24 and 0.71, with higher rankings representing more positive signs. 1.0 (100%) represents a theoretically perfect score – virtually impossible to attain!

CTBC: "Softly This Hand-Crafted News Reaches the Fresh Leaves" - Liu Qiyu

Taiwan

EnTie Commercial Bank accepts various deposits and provides short-term and medium-term loans.  The Bank discounts notes, invests in government bonds, short-term bills, corporate bonds and financial debentures, issues domestic letters of credit, and conducts savings and trust business.  EnTie also provides remittance and guarantee services.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Entie Commercial Bank (2849 TT)

King's Town: "The Night Seems to Fade, but the Moonlight Lingers On"

King'S Town Bank (2809 TT) flags up some amber signals with the growth of funding and credit costs, huge asset writedowns on financial assets, and...

Paul Hollingworth

CTBC: "Softly This Hand-Crafted News Reaches the Fresh Leaves" - Liu Qiyu

Originally founded in 1966 as China Securities Investment Securities and then renamed China Trust Co.,Ctbc Financial Holding Co Ltd (2891 TT) has...

Paul Hollingworth

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)