Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Last week we discussed potential for a 2-5% rally to the 1.5-month downtrend on SPX, or even the 4165-4200 range, which would set up an opportunity to get more defensive.</li>
<li>As long as the S&amp;P 500 is below Wednesdays high of 4040 we continue to believe the bears are in control -- stay defensive.</li>
<li>Even if there is a reversal, we still expect 4165-4200 on SPX to cap upside for 2023. We highlight many buy opportunities within Consumer Staples</li>
</ul>


Last week we discussed potential for a 2-5% rally to the 1.5-month downtrend on SPX, or even the 4165-4200 range, which would set up an opportunity to get more defensive.
As long as the S&amp;P 500 is below Wednesdays high of 4040 we continue to believe the bears are in control -- stay defensive.
Even if there is a reversal, we still expect 4165-4200 on SPX to cap upside for 2023. We highlight many buy opportunities within Consumer Staples


S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, DJIA All Testing Resistance; Downgrading Financials to Underweight; Buy Staples

Value Investing

Vladimir Dimitrov, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>e.l.f. Beauty's operating profitability is at a significant risk, even though the company's valuation is suggesting otherwise.</li>
<li>Topline growth accelerated over the past year on the back of recent acquisitions and a jump in retail sales, but this is likely to change.</li>
<li>At the same time insider selling activity is accelerating which confirms that 2022 might prove to be a challenging period for the company.</li>
</ul>


e.l.f. Beauty's operating profitability is at a significant risk, even though the company's valuation is suggesting otherwise.
Topline growth accelerated over the past year on the back of recent acquisitions and a jump in retail sales, but this is likely to change.
At the same time insider selling activity is accelerating which confirms that 2022 might prove to be a challenging period for the company.


e.l.f. Beauty: Both Profitability And Topline Growth Are At Risk

United States

e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. operates as a cosmetic company. The Company offers beauty products for eyes, lips, and face. e.l.f. Beauty provides eyeliners, lipsticks, lip care and brushes, powder, and skin care products.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

elf Beauty Inc (ELF US)

S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, DJIA All Testing Resistance; Downgrading Financials to Underweight; Buy Staples

Last week (3/21) we discussed the potential for a 2-5% rally to the 1.5-month downtrend on the $SPX, or even the 4165-4200 range, which we noted...

Vermilion Research

e.l.f. Beauty: Both Profitability And Topline Growth Are At Risk

e.l.f. Beauty's operating profitability is at a significant risk, even though the company's valuation is suggesting otherwise. Topline growth...

Vladimir Dimitrov, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)