Asia and Global Semiconductor and Tech Research

Andrew Lu

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<h2>Summary</h2><ul>
<li>
<strong>BB ratio down to 0.91 for the first time in four-year and below parity in 11 months</strong>: North America-based manufacturers of semiconductor equipment posted $1.49 billion in orders worldwide in October 2016 (three-month average basis) and a book-to-bill ratio of 0.91, according to SEMI.</li>
<li>
<strong>Sign of a downturn</strong>? For the time being, we identify the downturn as a seasonal one.  However, we would be cautious after Philadelphia and Taiwan Semiconductor index both reached record high levels.</li>
<li>
<strong>Checkpoint</strong>…</li>
</ul>

Summary

BB ratio down to 0.91 for the first time in four-year and below parity in 11 months: North America-based manufacturers of semiconductor equipment posted $1.49 billion in orders worldwide in October 2016 (three-month average basis) and a book-to-bill ratio of 0.91, according to SEMI.

Sign of a downturn? For the time being, we identify the downturn as a seasonal one.  However, we would be cautious after Philadelphia and Taiwan Semiconductor index both reached record high levels.

Checkpoint…


N.A. Semiconductor Equipment BB Ratio to Four Year Low - Sign of a Downturn?

Thematic Investing in Tech and Media, CM Research

Cyrus Mewawalla

Thematic Investing in Tech and Media

Thematic TMT investing

CM Research

CM Research is an independent research house based in London, England. We provide global thematic research in the Technology, Media and Telecoms (TMT) sectors. 

Our focus is on disruptive technologies: how will they unfold; which industries will be impacted; and who will be the ultimate winners and losers. 

Our aim is to help investors predict share prices and corporate executives stay one step ahead of the technology trends that are shaping their industry. 

We research technology investment themes in detail and then feed the results into a scorecard system to quantify the impact of several conflicting themes on individual stocks. 

Recent themes covered include internet TV, the Internet of Things, Big Data, Mobile payments, crowdfunding, artificial intelligence, the cloud, software defined networking and Generation Hashtag.

We cover the top 500 global TMT stocks by market capitalisation and several technology start-ups and pre-IPO companies too. 

In 2015, CM Research analysts outperformed the Bloomberg Benchmark Analyst Index - which measures how good analysts are at predicting stock prices - by 7.1%.

<p>By 2020, the global cybersecurity market is expected to be worth $170bn, up from $77bn in 2015. But the core issue is that companies need “better” rather than “more” security.</p><p>Most cybersecurity companies sell an imperfect product. The common joke in the industry is that no cybersecurity company can really protect you against the latest threats out there. In a sense, they all overpromise and underdeliver.</p><p>If this is true, should investors steer clear of the sector altogether?</p><p>To help investors answer that question we look at three areas:</p><p>- industry growth drivers</p><p>- corporate governance trends</p><p>- wider cybersecurity industry trends</p>

By 2020, the global cybersecurity market is expected to be worth $170bn, up from $77bn in 2015. But the core issue is that companies need “better” rather than “more” security.Most cybersecurity companies sell an imperfect product. The common joke in the industry is that no cybersecurity company can really protect you against the latest threats out there. In a sense, they all overpromise and underdeliver.If this is true, should investors steer clear of the sector altogether?To help investors answer that question we look at three areas:- industry growth drivers- corporate governance trends- wider cybersecurity industry trends

Cybersecurity as an Investment Theme (Part 2)

Founder and Strategist, Entext Economics & Strategy

Sean Maher

Founder and Strategist

Entext Economics & Strategy

Entext provides institutional investors with distinctive, actionable asset allocation and thematic research, which typically challenges the market consensus. Our clients range from credit, equity and multi-asset hedge and pension funds to family offices and sovereign funds. 
 
We focus on identifying key inflection points in macro data and relative asset performance amid the 'groupthink'  and confirmation bias that characterizes most investment bank analysis.

Macro Driven Investment Insight

<ul>
<li><div>Gold miners have crashed about a third since the August 25<sup>th</sup> note warning they were vulnerable to real yields (with which gold inversely correlates) heading higher – the worst looks over.</div></li>
<li><div><span lang="EN-US">With the USD index testing the 100 level, a new consensus has rapidly formed around loose US fiscal policy coinciding with tighter monetary policy in a re-run of the 1980s-dollar bull market.</span></div></li>
<li><div>
<span lang="EN-US">The US 10-yr yield on a currency hedged basis is attractive again to European/Japanese investors -renewed inflows should</span>…</div></li>
</ul>


Gold miners have crashed about a third since the August 25th note warning they were vulnerable to real yields (with which gold inversely correlates) heading higher – the worst looks over.
With the USD index testing the 100 level, a new consensus has rapidly formed around loose US fiscal policy coinciding with tighter monetary policy in a re-run of the 1980s-dollar bull market.

The US 10-yr yield on a currency hedged basis is attractive again to European/Japanese investors -renewed inflows should…


Reflation Trade Overshooting, as Eurozone Political Tail Risk Revives - 17th Nov 2016

<p>The world has entered the era of the Code War where every digital device, however small and innocuous, can be “weaponised” – as the recent Dyn cyber-attack aptly illustrated – to send “rogue code” deep into the Internet's engine room to create mayhem. Even the spooks are scared.</p><p>New technology cycles such as the Cloud, the Internet of Things, robotics and the latest social media fads all increase cyber risk.</p><p>Below, we summarise the the changing nature of cyber threat and the changing nature of the technology sector's response. In the process, we identify some of the winners and losers for investors.</p>

The world has entered the era of the Code War where every digital device, however small and innocuous, can be “weaponised” – as the recent Dyn cyber-attack aptly illustrated – to send “rogue code” deep into the Internet's engine room to create mayhem. Even the spooks are scared.New technology cycles such as the Cloud, the Internet of Things, robotics and the latest social media fads all increase cyber risk.Below, we summarise the the changing nature of cyber threat and the changing nature of the technology sector's response. In the process, we identify some of the winners and losers for investors.

Cybersecurity as an Investment Theme (Part 1)

Differentiated global TMT & Internet Research

New Street Research Insights

New Street Research

Research is provided by our team of experienced analysts. Our work is idea driven, based on independence of thought, sector expertise, and firmly focused on fundamentals and valuation of telecoms and internet names globally. New Street is headquartered in London with offices in New York, Singapore and Australia. 

New Street Research is an independent, partner-owned, research firm specialising in equity and debt research. Our equity research embraces the following sectors:

Pan European Telecom Services and Cable
US Telecoms, Cable, Satellite and Towers
Global Emerging Market Telecoms
Japan Telecoms
Asian Internet
Pan European Healthcare
US Healthcare
Japanese Healthcare

We also provide debt research on:
Pan European Telecom Services and Cable

<p>With markets trying to make sense of the election of President Trump, we have looked at the implications on the stocks we cover globally (the implications really are global).<br> <br>There are two versions of Trump’s America: one in which he attempts to lead like a CEO, and one in which he attempts to rule like a demagogue.  We have no idea which one will come to pass (we really don’t) but the market implications of each are quite different.<br> <br>In either case, with Trump promising $1tr in infrastructure…</p>

With markets trying to make sense of the election of President Trump, we have looked at the implications on the stocks we cover globally (the implications really are global).   There are two versions of Trump’s America: one in which he attempts to lead like a CEO, and one in which he attempts to rule like a demagogue.  We have no idea which one will come to pass (we really don’t) but the market implications of each are quite different.   In either case, with Trump promising $1tr in infrastructure…

United States

eBay Inc. operates an online trading community.  The Company's service is used by buyers and sellers for the exchange of products and services such as coins, collectibles, computers, memorabilia, stamps and toys, as well as concert and sporting tickets.  eBay also offers, through a subsidiary, secure online payment services.

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Ebay Inc (EBAY US)

N.A. Semiconductor Equipment BB Ratio to Four Year Low - Sign of a Downturn?

Summary BB ratio down to 0.91 for the first time in four-year and below parity in 11 months: North America-based manufacturers of semiconductor...

Andrew Lu

Cybersecurity as an Investment Theme (Part 2)

By 2020, the global cybersecurity market is expected to be worth $170bn, up from $77bn in 2015. But the core issue is that companies need “better”...

CM Research

Reflation Trade Overshooting, as Eurozone Political Tail Risk Revives - 17th Nov 2016

Gold miners have crashed about a third since the August 25th note warning they were vulnerable to real yields (with which gold inversely...

Sean Maher

Cybersecurity as an Investment Theme (Part 1)

The world has entered the era of the Code War where every digital device, however small and innocuous, can be “weaponised” – as the recent Dyn...

CM Research

What Trump Means for Global Telcos

With markets trying to make sense of the election of President Trump, we have looked at the implications on the stocks we cover globally (the...

New Street Research

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