Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>Consumer staples and materials sectors led the outflows while energy, communication services and real estate led the inflows.</li>
<li>We highlight stocks with top weekly outflows: Moutai, East Money, Yunnan Energy, CATL, Naura Tech.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.
Consumer staples and materials sectors led the outflows while energy, communication services and real estate led the inflows.
We highlight stocks with top weekly outflows: Moutai, East Money, Yunnan Energy, CATL, Naura Tech.


Northbound Flows: $10bn Outflows in 2 Weeks

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>Information technology, industrials, and material led the inflow while the financials , consumer discretionary  and consumer staple led the outflows.</li>
<li>We highlight inflows into Longi Green, Sungrow, Jiangxi Ganfeng, Zijin Mining, Yangtze Power, and outflows from BYD, Wuliangye, Ping An Insurance, CATL, and East Money.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect flows with our data engine.
Information technology, industrials, and material led the inflow while the financials , consumer discretionary  and consumer staple led the outflows.
We highlight inflows into Longi Green, Sungrow, Jiangxi Ganfeng, Zijin Mining, Yangtze Power, and outflows from BYD, Wuliangye, Ping An Insurance, CATL, and East Money.


Northbound Flows: Longi Green, Sungrow, Jiangxi Ganfeng, Zijin Mining

Equity Bottom-Up

East Money Information / Equity Bottom-Up

<p>East Money is the most actively traded A-share stock in 2020. It just reported its 1H2021 results. Unlike the traditional broker, it has a strong leverage on its online information platform which is well reflected in its latest financial results. As an unconventional broker and a member stock of the MSCI China A50 index, we think investors should follow the company closely.</p>

East Money is the most actively traded A-share stock in 2020. It just reported its 1H2021 results. Unlike the traditional broker, it has a strong leverage on its online information platform which is well reflected in its latest financial results. As an unconventional broker and a member stock of the MSCI China A50 index, we think investors should follow the company closely.

East Money 1H21: The Most Active A-Share that Beat the Market

Forensic Analyst

Jason Yap, CFA

Forensic Accounting

<div>A pandemic fuelled retailed trading frenzy and strong market performance in 2020 enabled <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/futu-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27858:1" rel="noopener">Futu Holdings Ltd (FUTU US)</a> to benefit from unprecedented growth in paying client additions and trading activities.  A recent USD1 trillion selloff of China offshore equities and a shift in investor sentiment however, compounded by escalating regulatory scrutiny, has led to concerns whether the high growth seen in 2020 and early 2021 would persist in coming quarters.  We lay out 4 hypotheses for a potential negative re-rating focused on growth declines, continued investments, regulations, and licensing concerns. </div>

A pandemic fuelled retailed trading frenzy and strong market performance in 2020 enabled Futu Holdings Ltd (FUTU US) to benefit from unprecedented growth in paying client additions and trading activities.  A recent USD1 trillion selloff of China offshore equities and a shift in investor sentiment however, compounded by escalating regulatory scrutiny, has led to concerns whether the high growth seen in 2020 and early 2021 would persist in coming quarters.  We lay out 4 hypotheses for a potential negative re-rating focused on growth declines, continued investments, regulations, and licensing concerns. 

Futu Holdings - An Inflection Point Imminent?

Fintech & EM-focused Analyst, KT Capital Group

Alec Tseung

Fintech & EM-focused Analyst

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<p>This Original aims to identify the key investment opportunities among the listed brokers in the three major East Asian countries - China, Japan, and Korea. </p><p>By looking at the development of the brokerage sectors in these three countries, we observe a general trend where upstart online brokers first compete against the more established brokers based on their cost and technological advantages. This then pushes the more established brokers to either focus on more lucrative wholesale businesses or adopt and invest in tech initiatives in order to stay competitive in the retail market.</p><p>After further establishing themselves in the retail market, these upstart online brokers then also diversify and expand into the more lucrative wealth/asset management or even wholesale businesses.  By gauging at which phase the broker is in this cycle, investors can have a good understanding of its future outlook.</p><p>In our opinion, Korean brokers currently offer the best value, while the Chinese pure-play online brokers offer the highest growth potential. As such, our pecking order, in terms of investment attractiveness, is <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kiwoom-securities-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20418:1" rel="noopener">Kiwoom Securities (039490 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/east-money-information-co-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8075:1" rel="noopener">East Money Information Co A (300059 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/futu-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27858:1" rel="noopener">Futu Holdings Ltd (FUTU US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/monex-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14211:1" rel="noopener">Monex Group Inc (8698 JP)</a> / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/huatai-securities-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:449:1" rel="noopener">Huatai Securities Co Ltd (H) (6886 HK)</a>.  </p><h2>What is Original?</h2><p>In this Original, we look into the competitive landscape of the brokerage sectors in China, Japan, and Korea. 55 listed brokers from these three countries are included in this Original as the company universe for regression analysis. </p><p>Among them, a total of 8 brokers are chosen, with their company profiles separately presented, to further showcase and contrast the impact of competition and technological disruption. Based on this, a pecking order is then developed, both on a country and a company basis.</p>

This Original aims to identify the key investment opportunities among the listed brokers in the three major East Asian countries - China, Japan, and Korea. By looking at the development of the brokerage sectors in these three countries, we observe a general trend where upstart online brokers first compete against the more established brokers based on their cost and technological advantages. This then pushes the more established brokers to either focus on more lucrative wholesale businesses or adopt and invest in tech initiatives in order to stay competitive in the retail market.After further establishing themselves in the retail market, these upstart online brokers then also diversify and expand into the more lucrative wealth/asset management or even wholesale businesses.  By gauging at which phase the broker is in this cycle, investors can have a good understanding of its future outlook.In our opinion, Korean brokers currently offer the best value, while the Chinese pure-play online brokers offer the highest growth potential. As such, our pecking order, in terms of investment attractiveness, is Kiwoom Securities (039490 KS), East Money Information Co A (300059 CH), Futu Holdings Ltd (FUTU US), Monex Group Inc (8698 JP) / Huatai Securities Co Ltd (H) (6886 HK).  What is Original?In this Original, we look into the competitive landscape of the brokerage sectors in China, Japan, and Korea. 55 listed brokers from these three countries are included in this Original as the company universe for regression analysis. Among them, a total of 8 brokers are chosen, with their company profiles separately presented, to further showcase and contrast the impact of competition and technological disruption. Based on this, a pecking order is then developed, both on a country and a company basis.

Asian Brokers: A Competition Between Value and Growth

China

East Money Information Co., Ltd. operates online financial information platform.  The Company's products include internet advertising and financial data.

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East Money Information (300059 CH)

Northbound Flows: $10bn Outflows in 2 Weeks

We highlight two weeks of big outflows from A-share by northbound investors, and stocks with top weekly outflows including Moutai, East Money,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows: Longi Green, Sungrow, Jiangxi Ganfeng, Zijin Mining

We highlight weekly Northbound inflows into Longi Green, Sungrow, Jiangxi Ganfeng, Zijin Mining, Yangtze Power, and outflows from BYD, Wuliangye,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Futu Holdings - An Inflection Point Imminent?

Strong retail participation and market performance enabled Futu Holdings to benefit from strong growth. Given a shift in investor sentiment, we...

Jason Yap, CFA

Asian Brokers: A Competition Between Value and Growth

The Original looks into the current competitive landscape of the brokerage sectors in China, Japan, and Korea, with a view to developing a list of...

Alec Tseung

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Northbound Flows: $10bn Outflows in 2 Weeks

We highlight two weeks of big outflows from A-share by northbound investors, and stocks with top weekly outflows including Moutai, East Money,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows: Longi Green, Sungrow, Jiangxi Ganfeng, Zijin Mining

We highlight weekly Northbound inflows into Longi Green, Sungrow, Jiangxi Ganfeng, Zijin Mining, Yangtze Power, and outflows from BYD, Wuliangye,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

East Money 1H21: The Most Active A-Share that Beat the Market

We highlight the strong set of results for East Money. As an unconventional broker and a member stock of the MSCI China A50 index, we think...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Futu Holdings - An Inflection Point Imminent?

Strong retail participation and market performance enabled Futu Holdings to benefit from strong growth. Given a shift in investor sentiment, we...

Jason Yap, CFA

Asian Brokers: A Competition Between Value and Growth

The Original looks into the current competitive landscape of the brokerage sectors in China, Japan, and Korea, with a view to developing a list of...

Alec Tseung