External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

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Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Discretionary categories to clock another healthy quarter: Our discretionary universe is expected to grow by ~14/% YoY (revenue) in Q3FY23 (three-year revenue/EBITDA CAGRs of 17/12% resp)</li><li>Ticket sizes in retail remain elevated, courtesy of higher ASP vis-à-vis pre-pandemic levels. Footfall density is normalising too</li><li>Jewellery, paints, apparel, and footwear are expected to clock 22%, 17%, 12%, and 6% (three-year CAGRs).</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Discretionary categories to clock another healthy quarter: Our discretionary universe is expected to grow by ~14/% YoY (revenue) in Q3FY23 (three-year revenue/EBITDA CAGRs of 17/12% resp)Ticket sizes in retail remain elevated, courtesy of higher ASP vis-à-vis pre-pandemic levels. Footfall density is normalising tooJewellery, paints, apparel, and footwear are expected to clock 22%, 17%, 12%, and 6% (three-year CAGRs).Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Consumer Discretionary (Q3FY23 Results Preview) - Healthy Quarter!

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Avenue Supermarts: Revenue grew 24.7% (three-year CAGR: 18.7%), while sales density remained lower than the pre-pandemic level (~INR35.9k/sq ft vs INR38.7k/sq ft in Q3FY20; in-line)</li><li>Low discretionary purchases keep underlying profitability/unit economics subdued</li><li>FMCG/staples continued to outpace the GM &amp; apparel category</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Avenue Supermarts: Revenue grew 24.7% (three-year CAGR: 18.7%), while sales density remained lower than the pre-pandemic level (~INR35.9k/sq ft vs INR38.7k/sq ft in Q3FY20; in-line)Low discretionary purchases keep underlying profitability/unit economics subduedFMCG/staples continued to outpace the GM &amp; apparel categoryContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Avenue Supermarts - Underlying Profitability Disappoints

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<div><div><div><div><ul><li>The lower salience of the high-margin general merchandise and apparel category impacted its overall profitability growth in Q3FY23.</li><li>We believe the company’s overall quality of sales and margin profile is likely to recover in FY24 as the company passes on the RM benefits through price reduction and increase grammage as well as due to the RBI’s intervention to curtail overall inflation which will lead to the overall improvement in throughput.</li><li>We recommend a wait-and-watch approach as we look for demand recovery triggers</li></ul></div></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

The lower salience of the high-margin general merchandise and apparel category impacted its overall profitability growth in Q3FY23.We believe the company’s overall quality of sales and margin profile is likely to recover in FY24 as the company passes on the RM benefits through price reduction and increase grammage as well as due to the RBI’s intervention to curtail overall inflation which will lead to the overall improvement in throughput.We recommend a wait-and-watch approach as we look for demand recovery triggersContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Avenue Supermarts (DMART) - Discretionary Yet to Recover Fully

<ul><li>Avenue Supermarts: Higher bill sizes + lower footfalls aid FMCG profitability/productivity but are a sign of more targeted shopping with little room for discovery-based purchases (courtesy inflationary pressures), which in turn make a dent on the more profitable GM &amp; apparel sales (constituted &lt;25% vs a typical run-rate of 28%).</li><li>L&amp;T Infotech: L&amp;T Infotech’s (LTI) revenue and margin came in line in Q2FY23.</li><li>ICICI Prudential Life: ICICI Prudential Life (IPRU) reported a weak APE growth (+1.7% 3-year CAGR, in line with estimates); however, VNB margins, at 31%, surprised (200bps ahead of estimates), translating into 21% YoY VNB growth.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Avenue Supermarts: Higher bill sizes + lower footfalls aid FMCG profitability/productivity but are a sign of more targeted shopping with little room for discovery-based purchases (courtesy inflationary pressures), which in turn make a dent on the more profitable GM &amp; apparel sales (constituted &lt;25% vs a typical run-rate of 28%).L&amp;T Infotech: L&amp;T Infotech’s (LTI) revenue and margin came in line in Q2FY23.ICICI Prudential Life: ICICI Prudential Life (IPRU) reported a weak APE growth (+1.7% 3-year CAGR, in line with estimates); however, VNB margins, at 31%, surprised (200bps ahead of estimates), translating into 21% YoY VNB growth.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Avenue Supermarts, L&T Infotech, ICICI Prudential Life, Angel One

<div><div><div><div><ul><li>DMART Q2FY23 reported consolidated revenue growth of ~37% YoY (21% on a 3-Year CAGR basis) to Rs 10,683 Cr, a trend which we continue to see for three quarters.</li><li>The growth was primarily led by FMCG and staples segment, while the general merchandise and apparel segment grew slower.</li><li>The management highlighted that the recovery in the discretionary items in the non- FMCG segment was still below pre-Covid levels as inflationary pressure is more acute at lower price points of the discretionary non-FMCG category. </li></ul></div></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

DMART Q2FY23 reported consolidated revenue growth of ~37% YoY (21% on a 3-Year CAGR basis) to Rs 10,683 Cr, a trend which we continue to see for three quarters.The growth was primarily led by FMCG and staples segment, while the general merchandise and apparel segment grew slower.The management highlighted that the recovery in the discretionary items in the non- FMCG segment was still below pre-Covid levels as inflationary pressure is more acute at lower price points of the discretionary non-FMCG category. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Avenue Supermarts (DMART) - Discretionary Yet To Recover Fully; Maintain HOLD

India

Avenue Supermarts Ltd. (ASL) owns and operates hypermarkets and supermarkets. The Company offers products such as garments, footwears, toys and games, bed and bath linen, stationery, grocery, household, and electronic products. ASL operates throughout India.

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Avenue Supermarts Ltd (DMART IN)

Consumer Discretionary (Q3FY23 Results Preview) - Healthy Quarter!

Our discretionary universe is expected to grow by ~14/% YoY (revenue) in Q3FY23 (three-year revenue/EBITDA CAGRs of 17/12% resp)

HDFC Securities

Avenue Supermarts - Underlying Profitability Disappoints

Revenue grew 24.7% (three-year CAGR: 18.7%), while sales density remained lower than the pre-pandemic level (~INR35.9k/sq ft vs INR38.7k/sq ft in...

HDFC Securities

Avenue Supermarts (DMART) - Discretionary Yet to Recover Fully

The lower salience of the high-margin general merchandise and apparel category impacted its overall profitability growth in Q3FY23.

Axis Direct

HSIE Results Daily: Avenue Supermarts, L&T Infotech, ICICI Prudential Life, Angel One

Higher bill sizes + lower footfalls aid FMCG profitability/productivity but are a sign of more targeted shopping with little room for discovery...

HDFC Securities

Avenue Supermarts (DMART) - Discretionary Yet To Recover Fully; Maintain HOLD

DMART Q2FY23 reported consolidated revenue growth of ~37% YoY (21% on a 3-Year CAGR basis) to Rs 10,683 Cr, a trend which we continue to see for...

Axis Direct

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