Independent Investment Research, The IDEA!

The IDEA!

Independent Investment Research

The Idea-Driven Equities Analyses company (the IDEA!) is an employee-owned boutique providing independent investment research and financial consultancy services with a clear focus on the Benelux countries. The company was founded in the summer of 2007 by Henk Slotboom and Maarten Verbeek, both with more than 35 years of professional experience in the financial sector. The IDEA! differentiates itself by focusing on adding value through self-initiated in-depth, idea-driven investment research, as well as by bespoke research assignments for institutional investors, hedge funds and private equity. In addition, we provide market intelligence, strategic research and – together with our business partners – consultancy services to businesses. In case you are interested in receiving more information, a sample of our products or an introductory meeting, please send a message to info@theidea.nl.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>In today's edition: • AkzoNobel | no major surprises, yet slightly improving underlying trends • BE Semiconductor Industries | order intake remains depressed • Randstad | modest beat of consensus – valuation at attractive level due to share price decline • Corbion | strongly beating consensus – reiterates FY25 guidance • Corbion | another letter from Inclusive Capital • InPost | signs multi-year contact with Vinted • Just Eat TakeAway.com | reiterates FY25 guidance, expects offer to commence in 2Q25 • PostNL/DHL | DHL deploys first APMs at Praxis DIY stores • Corporate agenda | week 17 - 21</li></ul>

In today's edition: • AkzoNobel | no major surprises, yet slightly improving underlying trends • BE Semiconductor Industries | order intake remains depressed • Randstad | modest beat of consensus – valuation at attractive level due to share price decline • Corbion | strongly beating consensus – reiterates FY25 guidance • Corbion | another letter from Inclusive Capital • InPost | signs multi-year contact with Vinted • Just Eat TakeAway.com | reiterates FY25 guidance, expects offer to commence in 2Q25 • PostNL/DHL | DHL deploys first APMs at Praxis DIY stores • Corporate agenda | week 17 - 21

US-EU Index Rebalances / Quantitative Researcher, ORTEX

Dimitris Ioannidis

US-EU Index Rebalances / Quantitative Researcher

Global Financial Data and Analytics Platform

ORTEX

ORTEX is a global financial data and analytics platform providing real-time securities lending and short interest data, index rebalance data, holdings and insider transactions, trading signals, corporate actions and news,  stock machine learning and factor scores and other analytics. The majority of the data are downloadable and accessible through APIs.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/deutsche-post-ag" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21608:1" rel="noopener">Deutsche Post (DHL GR)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/reckitt-benckiser-group-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22105:1" rel="noopener">Reckitt Benckiser (RKT LN)</a> are the top two candidates for deletion with 7-9% below the exit threshold. Forecasted supply is $200m and 2 ADV.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/intesa-sanpaolo-spa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21200:1" rel="noopener">Intesa Sanpaolo (ISP IM)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/london-stock-exchange-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22034:1" rel="noopener">London Stock Exchange (LSEG LN)</a> are the top two candidates for addition by replacement. Forecasted demand is $330m and 1-2 ADV.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/banco-bilbao-vizcaya-argentari" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21251:1" rel="noopener"></a>The highest ranked between <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/banco-bilbao-vizcaya-argentari" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21251:1" rel="noopener">Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria (BBVA SM)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/industria-de-diseno-textil-sa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21278:1" rel="noopener">Industria De Diseno Textil (ITX SM)</a> could become the third addition, conditional on the deletion of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/basf-se" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21585:1" rel="noopener">BASF (BAS GR)</a>.</li>
</ul>



Deutsche Post (DHL GR) and Reckitt Benckiser (RKT LN) are the top two candidates for deletion with 7-9% below the exit threshold. Forecasted supply is $200m and 2 ADV.

Intesa Sanpaolo (ISP IM) and London Stock Exchange (LSEG LN) are the top two candidates for addition by replacement. Forecasted demand is $330m and 1-2 ADV.

The highest ranked between Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria (BBVA SM) and Industria De Diseno Textil (ITX SM) could become the third addition, conditional on the deletion of BASF (BAS GR).


STOXX Europe 50: DHL's $200M Departure, ISP and LSEG Deliver Instead

<ul><li>In this edition: • Basic-Fit | urged by Impactive Capital to commence share buyback • InPost / DHL | DHL enters transformative deal on Iberic Peninsula with Portugal’s CTT • SBM Offshore | sells FPSO Liza Destiny to ExxonMobil for USD 535m</li></ul>

In this edition: • Basic-Fit | urged by Impactive Capital to commence share buyback • InPost / DHL | DHL enters transformative deal on Iberic Peninsula with Portugal’s CTT • SBM Offshore | sells FPSO Liza Destiny to ExxonMobil for USD 535m

What's New(s) in Amsterdam - 20 December 2024 (Basic-Fit | InPost / DHL | SBM Offshore)

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nokia-oyj" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21754:1" rel="noopener">Nokia OYJ (NOKIA FH)</a> is currently the lowest ranked security in SX5E but still above the exit threshold. Its potential deletion can cause the addition of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dsm-firmenich-ag" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43730:1" rel="noopener">DSM-Firmenich (DSFIR NA)</a>. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/deutsche-post-ag" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21608:1" rel="noopener">Deutsche Post (DHL GR)</a> &amp; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/reckitt-benckiser-group-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22105:1" rel="noopener">Reckitt Benckiser (RKT LN)</a> are below the SX5P exit threshold. Their deletion can cause the addition of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/intesa-sanpaolo-spa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21200:1" rel="noopener">Intesa Sanpaolo (ISP IM)</a> &amp; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/banco-bilbao-vizcaya-argentari" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21251:1" rel="noopener">Banco Bilbao (BBVA SM)</a> .</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cap-gemini-sa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21411:1" rel="noopener">Cap Gemini SA (CAP FP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/compass-group-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21880:1" rel="noopener">Compass (CPG LN)</a> are examples of companies with significant market caps which are excluded due to supersector coverage. </li>
</ul>



Nokia OYJ (NOKIA FH) is currently the lowest ranked security in SX5E but still above the exit threshold. Its potential deletion can cause the addition of DSM-Firmenich (DSFIR NA). 

Deutsche Post (DHL GR) &amp; Reckitt Benckiser (RKT LN) are below the SX5P exit threshold. Their deletion can cause the addition of Intesa Sanpaolo (ISP IM) &amp; Banco Bilbao (BBVA SM) .

Cap Gemini SA (CAP FP) and Compass (CPG LN) are examples of companies with significant market caps which are excluded due to supersector coverage. 


STOXX 50: First September Forecasts for Europe and Eurozone

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Equity Capital Markets

Hive Box Holdings / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>In this insight we compare Hive Box to InPost, a smart locker specialist</li>
<li>The firms play in different geographies, making apples:apples comps tough</li>
<li>In the absence of better comps, comparing Hive Box to InPost still useful</li>
</ul>


In this insight we compare Hive Box to InPost, a smart locker specialist
The firms play in different geographies, making apples:apples comps tough
In the absence of better comps, comparing Hive Box to InPost still useful


Hive Box Holdings Pre-IPO, Part 3: Hive Box Vs InPost Group: Similarities & (BIG) Differences

Germany

Deutsche Post AG provides mail delivery and other services to the public and businesses. The Company offers domestic mail delivery, international parcel and mail delivery services, and freight delivery and logistics services.

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Deutsche Post (DHL GR)

Akzo Nobel NV - What's News in Amsterdam

In today's edition: • AkzoNobel | no major surprises, yet slightly improving underlying trends • BE Semiconductor Industries | order intake...

The IDEA!

STOXX Europe 50: DHL's $200M Departure, ISP and LSEG Deliver Instead

SX5P September 2024 Announcement: LSEG and ISP were the announced additions. DHL and RKT were the announced deletions. SX5E September 2024...

Dimitris Ioannidis

What's New(s) in Amsterdam - 20 December 2024 (Basic-Fit | InPost / DHL | SBM Offshore)

In this edition: • Basic-Fit | urged by Impactive Capital to commence share buyback • InPost / DHL | DHL enters transformative deal on Iberic...

The IDEA!

STOXX 50: First September Forecasts for Europe and Eurozone

In SX5E, Nokia might be replaced by DSM-Firmenich, while in SX5P Reckitt Benckiser and Deutsche Post may be replaced by Intesa Sanpaolo and Banco...

Dimitris Ioannidis

Hive Box Holdings Pre-IPO, Part 3: Hive Box Vs InPost Group: Similarities & (BIG) Differences

In this insight we compare Hive Box to InPost, a publicly-traded smart locker and e-comm fulfillment specialist based in Poland. It's not a perfect...

Tracking Traffic

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Akzo Nobel NV - What's News in Amsterdam

In today's edition: • AkzoNobel | no major surprises, yet slightly improving underlying trends • BE Semiconductor Industries | order intake...

The IDEA!

STOXX Europe 50: DHL's $200M Departure, ISP and LSEG Deliver Instead

SX5P September 2024 Announcement: LSEG and ISP were the announced additions. DHL and RKT were the announced deletions. SX5E September 2024...

Dimitris Ioannidis

What's New(s) in Amsterdam - 20 December 2024 (Basic-Fit | InPost / DHL | SBM Offshore)

In this edition: • Basic-Fit | urged by Impactive Capital to commence share buyback • InPost / DHL | DHL enters transformative deal on Iberic...

The IDEA!

STOXX 50: First September Forecasts for Europe and Eurozone

​In SX5E, Nokia might be replaced by DSM-Firmenich, while in SX5P Reckitt Benckiser and Deutsche Post may be replaced by Intesa Sanpaolo and Banco...

Dimitris Ioannidis

Hive Box Holdings Pre-IPO, Part 3: Hive Box Vs InPost Group: Similarities & (BIG) Differences

In this insight we compare Hive Box to InPost, a publicly-traded smart locker and e-comm fulfillment specialist based in Poland. It's not a perfect...

Tracking Traffic

In SX5E, Nokia might be replaced by DSM-Firmenich, while in SX5P Reckitt Benckiser and Deutsche Post may be replaced by Intesa Sanpaolo and Banco...