European Event-Driven Analyst

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/deutsche-boerse-ag" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21604:1" rel="noopener">Deutsche Boerse (DB1 GR)</a> offered a (full) price of DKK 735/share for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/simcorp-a-s" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22483:1" rel="noopener">SimCorp A/S (SIM DC)</a> to grow in data &amp; analytics. I recommend long. Acceptances total roughly 93.65% of share capital.</li>
<li>All conditions and approvals, including minimum acceptance of 50%+1 share have been fulfilled. Final results should be announced on 22 September and settlement should take place on 29 September.</li>
<li>Deutsche Börse will as soon as possible seek to initiate and complete a <strong>compulsory acquisition</strong>. After a recent dip, the shares trade again at the offer price.</li>
</ul>



Deutsche Boerse (DB1 GR) offered a (full) price of DKK 735/share for SimCorp A/S (SIM DC) to grow in data &amp; analytics. I recommend long. Acceptances total roughly 93.65% of share capital.
All conditions and approvals, including minimum acceptance of 50%+1 share have been fulfilled. Final results should be announced on 22 September and settlement should take place on 29 September.
Deutsche Börse will as soon as possible seek to initiate and complete a compulsory acquisition. After a recent dip, the shares trade again at the offer price.


Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELETEs for the SE600 and EURSTX Indices for the September 2023 Rebalance.</li>
<li>I currently expect 6 ADDs and 6 DELETEs for the SE600 index in the September 2023 rebalance but these rankings could change prior to the base date.</li>
<li>After the September 2023 rebalance, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/simcorp-a-s" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22483:1" rel="noopener">SimCorp A/S (SIM DC)</a> could get deleted from the SE600 index and trigger an intra-review index change.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELETEs for the SE600 and EURSTX Indices for the September 2023 Rebalance.
I currently expect 6 ADDs and 6 DELETEs for the SE600 index in the September 2023 rebalance but these rankings could change prior to the base date.
After the September 2023 rebalance, SimCorp A/S (SIM DC) could get deleted from the SE600 index and trigger an intra-review index change.


Quiddity Leaderboard SE600 Sep 23: 6 ADDs/DELs As Things Stand; More Possible

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for the SE600 and EURSTX Indices for the September 2023 Rebalance.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/simcorp-a-s" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22483:1" rel="noopener">SimCorp A/S (SIM DC)</a> could trigger an intra-review ADD prior to the September 2023 Rebalance.</li>
<li>Apart from that, I expect four other changes during the regular rebalance in September 2023. These expected ADDs and DELs are different from those in my last insight.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for the SE600 and EURSTX Indices for the September 2023 Rebalance.

SimCorp A/S (SIM DC) could trigger an intra-review ADD prior to the September 2023 Rebalance.
Apart from that, I expect four other changes during the regular rebalance in September 2023. These expected ADDs and DELs are different from those in my last insight.


Quiddity Leaderboard SE600 Sep 23: CD Projekt Could Become an Intra-Review ADD

Financials & FinTech research, Galliano’s Financials Research

Victor Galliano

Financials & FinTech research

Financials & FinTech, EM & Developed Markets

Galliano’s Financials Research

Galliano's Financials Research provides fundamental research in Emerging Markets financials, including FinTech, as well as financials in select Developed Markets.

The investment style applied is generally value oriented, although Growth At Reasonable Price (GARP) strategies can also be used where appropriate. 

Our investment research approach aim is often contrarian, looking to capitalise on overly sceptical or optimistic consensus views. In terms of valuation techniques, the focus is on PBV ratio to ROE, PE multiples and dividend yield, as well as the application of PEG ratios and, where appropriate, Sum of the Parts (SOTP) valuations.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Exchanges, especially in developed markets, continue to seek revenue streams outside of the traditional trading and transaction-based fees which has led to a mini-boom in exchange-driven M&amp;A targeting diversification</li>
<li>We use data and IT revenues as a proxy for “stickier” potentially recurring revenues in four DM and three EM exchanges, concluding that DM exchanges are under more diversification pressure</li>
<li>We identify three buy opportunities in exchanges; we like Hong Kong Exchange, Deutsche Borse and we add Nasdaq, whilst we are negative on Coinbase which remains the exchange to avoid</li>
</ul>


Exchanges, especially in developed markets, continue to seek revenue streams outside of the traditional trading and transaction-based fees which has led to a mini-boom in exchange-driven M&amp;A targeting diversification
We use data and IT revenues as a proxy for “stickier” potentially recurring revenues in four DM and three EM exchanges, concluding that DM exchanges are under more diversification pressure
We identify three buy opportunities in exchanges; we like Hong Kong Exchange, Deutsche Borse and we add Nasdaq, whilst we are negative on Coinbase which remains the exchange to avoid


Global Exchanges – Pace of Revenue Diversification Differs Between DM and EM Exchanges

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for the SE600 and EURSTX Indices for the September 2023 Rebalance.</li>
<li>There could be one intra-review deletion for the SE600 index in July or August.</li>
<li>I see 4 ADDs and 4 DELs for the SE600 index in the September 2023 Rebalance.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for the SE600 and EURSTX Indices for the September 2023 Rebalance.
There could be one intra-review deletion for the SE600 index in July or August.
I see 4 ADDs and 4 DELs for the SE600 index in the September 2023 Rebalance.


Quiddity Leaderboard SE600 Sep 23: One Intra-Review Change and 4 Regular ADDs/DELs Likely

Germany

Deutsche Boerse AG provides a variety of stock exchange introduction, trading, and operational services to institutions and private investors. The Company offers electronic trading systems for buying and selling of securities on stock exchanges in Europe.  Deutsche Boerse offers indices such as DAX, MDAX, SDAX, and XTF, as well as trading in options and futures.

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Deutsche Boerse (DB1 GR)

Deutsche Boerse Gets >90% of SimCorp

All conditions and approvals have been fulfilled. As acceptances are above 90%, Deutsche Börse will initiate a squeeze-out as soon as possible.

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Quiddity Leaderboard SE600 Sep 23: 6 ADDs/DELs As Things Stand; More Possible

Purely from a momentum angle, the top 10 potential ADDs could outperform the top 10 potential DELs until the announcement which is expected after...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard SE600 Sep 23: CD Projekt Could Become an Intra-Review ADD

CD Projekt (CDR PW) is leading the race to become an intra-review ADD if Simcorp gets deleted but the final choice would depend on FFMC rankings as...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Global Exchanges – Pace of Revenue Diversification Differs Between DM and EM Exchanges

We select, as our buys, Nasdaq for its focused diversification strategy, Deutsche Boerse for its relative value versus peers and HKEX for its GARP...

Victor Galliano

Quiddity Leaderboard SE600 Sep 23: One Intra-Review Change and 4 Regular ADDs/DELs Likely

In the June 2023 Rebal Trade, the suggested SHORTs have generated an average return of around -5.0% and the SE600 index has generated a return of ...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

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