Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>An overview (and output) of our machine learning-driven GEM screening model, which seeks to find the best medium-term long ideas within the top 100 stocks in the MSCI GEM Index.</li>
<li>The model is based on 1) a quantitative multifactor screening model, enhanced by two AI Technology-based approaches; 2) a Deep Neural Network model, and 3) a Recurrent Neural Network model.</li>
<li>Developed over roughly 4 years and implemented in its current state for over 3 years, the model has a solid real-world alpha-generating performance track record, discussed in detail below.</li>
</ul>


An overview (and output) of our machine learning-driven GEM screening model, which seeks to find the best medium-term long ideas within the top 100 stocks in the MSCI GEM Index.
The model is based on 1) a quantitative multifactor screening model, enhanced by two AI Technology-based approaches; 2) a Deep Neural Network model, and 3) a Recurrent Neural Network model.
Developed over roughly 4 years and implemented in its current state for over 3 years, the model has a solid real-world alpha-generating performance track record, discussed in detail below.


Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>After a spike higher in fund ownership in 2021, active Asia Ex-Japan funds are beginning to close out positions.</li>
<li>Funds including T.Rowe Price, LO Funds and Nikko AM have closed out exposure this year.</li>
<li>JD.com remains a very well owned stock among institutional investors, at a time when performance is anything but stellar so far this year.</li>
</ul>


After a spike higher in fund ownership in 2021, active Asia Ex-Japan funds are beginning to close out positions.
Funds including T.Rowe Price, LO Funds and Nikko AM have closed out exposure this year.
JD.com remains a very well owned stock among institutional investors, at a time when performance is anything but stellar so far this year.


Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Key Results This Week: Delta, Elan, ChipMOS, Nuvoton, AU Optronics in Taiwan... Plus Samsung, AMD, and Qualcomm.</li>
<li>Positive signs for the PC &amp; mobile space have come from recent Intel, UMC, Mediatek results.</li>
<li>Top Losers: Macronix Slumps on Weak Results and Outlook, Hon Hai Slumps on China Tax &amp; Land Probe</li>
</ul>


Key Results This Week: Delta, Elan, ChipMOS, Nuvoton, AU Optronics in Taiwan... Plus Samsung, AMD, and Qualcomm.
Positive signs for the PC &amp; mobile space have come from recent Intel, UMC, Mediatek results.
Top Losers: Macronix Slumps on Weak Results and Outlook, Hon Hai Slumps on China Tax &amp; Land Probe


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Wave of Key Taiwan Results; Heavyweights Samsung, AMD, Qualcomm Internationally

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Oct 27th which has an aggregated holding worth USD603.3bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top changes by value for 1 week, one 4 weeks, 1 year and top stocks held by foreign instutions by dollar value.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD1,558mln and highlight foreign changes in Taiwan Cement, TSMC, Hon Hai.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Oct 27th which has an aggregated holding worth USD603.3bn.
We tabulate league table for top changes by value for 1 week, one 4 weeks, 1 year and top stocks held by foreign instutions by dollar value.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD1,558mln and highlight foreign changes in Taiwan Cement, TSMC, Hon Hai.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Oct 27th): Taiwan Cement, TSMC, Hon Hai

Delta Electronics Thailand  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Delta Thailand shares haven't recovered from their sharp drop at the end of September, which happened after the parent Delta Taiwan sold a stake in the Thai subsidiary.</li>
<li>Delta Thailand shares fell to the point that its market cap finally became smaller than Delta Taiwan, for the first time since December 2022.</li>
<li>Delta Thailand's market cap should be substantially smaller than its parent Delta Taiwan. We analyze what history tells us the further relative downside for Delta Thailand could be.</li>
</ul>


Delta Thailand shares haven't recovered from their sharp drop at the end of September, which happened after the parent Delta Taiwan sold a stake in the Thai subsidiary.
Delta Thailand shares fell to the point that its market cap finally became smaller than Delta Taiwan, for the first time since December 2022.
Delta Thailand's market cap should be substantially smaller than its parent Delta Taiwan. We analyze what history tells us the further relative downside for Delta Thailand could be.


Delta Taiwan Vs. Thailand Monitor: Market Cap Metric Breaches Key Level For 1st Time Since Dec 2022

Taiwan

Delta Electronics Inc. manufactures power supplies and video display products. The Company's products include switching power supplies, telecom power systems, uninterrupted power supply (UPS), variable speed alternating current (AC) monitor drives, high resolution color monitors, and projectors.  Delta also manufactures magnetic and networking components.

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Delta Electronics (2308 TT)

Screening for GEMs: November 2023

This insight provides an overview of our, machine learning-driven, proprietary GEM screening model, based on a Multifactor model, a Deep Neural...

Wium Malan, CFA

JD.Com: Losing Its Appeal?

JD.com remains a very well owned stock among institutional investors, at a time when performance is anything but stellar so far this year.

Steven Holden

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Wave of Key Taiwan Results; Heavyweights Samsung, AMD, Qualcomm Internationally

This week's key results in Taiwan include Delta, Elan, ChipMOS, Nuvoton, and AU Optronics. Positive signs for the PC and mobile space have been...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Oct 27th): Taiwan Cement, TSMC, Hon Hai

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlight foreign holding changes in Taiwan Cement, TSMC, Hon Hai.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Delta Taiwan Vs. Thailand Monitor: Market Cap Metric Breaches Key Level For 1st Time Since Dec 2022

Delta Thailand's market cap should be substantially smaller than its parent Delta Taiwan. We analyze what history tells us the further relative...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

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