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<ul><li>Demand fails to pick up in Q2FY25: The slowdown in construction activities during Q1FY25 (general elections, heat waves) continued in Q2FY25 due to demand sluggishness (elections impact and heavy rains all around)</li><li>At the industry level, we estimate demand contracted by 2% YoY in Q2FY25, as against ~4% YoY growth in Q1FY25</li><li>We estimate the aggregate volumes of our coverage universe will decline 1% YoY in Q2, implying a 14% QoQ volume decline</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Demand fails to pick up in Q2FY25: The slowdown in construction activities during Q1FY25 (general elections, heat waves) continued in Q2FY25 due to demand sluggishness (elections impact and heavy rains all around)At the industry level, we estimate demand contracted by 2% YoY in Q2FY25, as against ~4% YoY growth in Q1FY25We estimate the aggregate volumes of our coverage universe will decline 1% YoY in Q2, implying a 14% QoQ volume declineContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Cement (Q2FY25 Results Preview): Demand Contracts and Pricing Slip Further in Q2

<ul><li>Demand growth slows in Q1FY25: The slowdown in construction activities during the general elections in April and May has adversely impacted cement sales in these months</li><li>The scorching heat further dented demand during Q1FY25 and the industry demand growth is expected to slow down to low single digit YoY</li><li>We estimate the aggregate volumes of our coverage universe will deliver 5% YoY volume growth, implying 8% QoQ volume decline.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Demand growth slows in Q1FY25: The slowdown in construction activities during the general elections in April and May has adversely impacted cement sales in these monthsThe scorching heat further dented demand during Q1FY25 and the industry demand growth is expected to slow down to low single digit YoYWe estimate the aggregate volumes of our coverage universe will deliver 5% YoY volume growth, implying 8% QoQ volume decline.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Cement (Q1FY25 Results Preview): Weak Pricing Continues to Offset Cost Gains

<ul><li>Growth tapers after six consecutive quarters of robust show: We estimate cement demand cooled off to ~7% YoY in Q3FY24, after delivering ~9-16% growth rate (average 12%) in the preceding six quarters</li><li>While demand remained strong in Oct, it slipped off in Nov/Dec—attributable to multiple reasons: elections in four states, flooding in the southern region, sand issues in certain states, and festivals</li><li>Thus, as against general expectations of demand firming up post-monsoon by ~10-15% QoQ, cement sales recovered a modest 4% QoQ, leading to demand tapering.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Growth tapers after six consecutive quarters of robust show: We estimate cement demand cooled off to ~7% YoY in Q3FY24, after delivering ~9-16% growth rate (average 12%) in the preceding six quartersWhile demand remained strong in Oct, it slipped off in Nov/Dec—attributable to multiple reasons: elections in four states, flooding in the southern region, sand issues in certain states, and festivalsThus, as against general expectations of demand firming up post-monsoon by ~10-15% QoQ, cement sales recovered a modest 4% QoQ, leading to demand tapering.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Cement (Q3FY24 Results Preview): Industry Margin Surges to a Nine-Quarter High

<ul><li>We expect industry volume to grow by ~9% YoY in FY24</li><li>We expect fuel prices to further correct by at least ~INR 100 per MT QoQ each in Q2/Q3FY24</li><li>So, we expect realisation to fall 1-2% YoY in FY24, as the industry would partially pass on the cost savings</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We expect industry volume to grow by ~9% YoY in FY24We expect fuel prices to further correct by at least ~INR 100 per MT QoQ each in Q2/Q3FY24So, we expect realisation to fall 1-2% YoY in FY24, as the industry would partially pass on the cost savingsContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Cement: Demand stays strong; fuel costs cool off further

<ul>
<li>JK Cement: We maintain our REDUCE rating on JK Cement (JKCE), with a revised TP of INR 2,755 (11x Mar-25E consolidated EBITDA)</li>
<li>In Q4FY23, JKCE reported 16% YoY consolidated volume growth led by the fast ramp-up of Panna IU in the central region</li>
<li>Consolidated unitary EBITDA recovered ~INR 150/MT QoQ on fuel cost reduction and op-lev gains</li>
</ul>
Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.


JK Cement: We maintain our REDUCE rating on JK Cement (JKCE), with a revised TP of INR 2,755 (11x Mar-25E consolidated EBITDA)
In Q4FY23, JKCE reported 16% YoY consolidated volume growth led by the fast ramp-up of Panna IU in the central region
Consolidated unitary EBITDA recovered ~INR 150/MT QoQ on fuel cost reduction and op-lev gains

Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: JK Cement, KNR Constructions, NOCIL, Heidelberg Cement, Deccan Cements

India

Deccan Cements Limited manufactures and sells cement. The Company also works with wind and hydel power generation.

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Deccan Cements (DECM IN)

Cement (Q2FY25 Results Preview): Demand Contracts and Pricing Slip Further in Q2

Demand fails to pick up in Q2FY25: The slowdown in construction activities during Q1FY25 (general elections, heat waves) continued in Q2FY25 due to...

HDFC Securities

Cement (Q1FY25 Results Preview): Weak Pricing Continues to Offset Cost Gains

Demand growth slows in Q1FY25: The slowdown in construction activities during the general elections in April and May has adversely impacted cement...

HDFC Securities

Cement (Q3FY24 Results Preview): Industry Margin Surges to a Nine-Quarter High

We estimate cement demand cooled off to ~7% YoY in Q3FY24, after delivering ~9-16% growth rate (average 12%) in the preceding six quarters

HDFC Securities

Cement: Demand stays strong; fuel costs cool off further

We expect industry volume to grow by ~9% YoY in FY24. We expect fuel prices to further correct by at least ~INR 100 per MT QoQ each in Q2/Q3FY24

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: JK Cement, KNR Constructions, NOCIL, Heidelberg Cement, Deccan Cements

JK Cement: We maintain our REDUCE rating on JK Cement (JKCE), with a revised TP of INR 2,755 (11x Mar-25E consolidated EBITDA)

HDFC Securities

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