Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Qingdao Haier Biomedical  Lt / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The review period for the March rebalance ends today. We forecast 2 changes using a 12-month minimum listing history, and 5 changes using a 6-month minimum listing history.</li>
<li>We expect the index committee to continue using a 6-month minimum listing history. The impact on the potential deletes is a lot higher than the impact on the potential adds.</li>
<li>With 5 changes to the index, estimated one-way turnover is 5.1% resulting in a one-way trade of CNY 4,549m. There is a reasonably large reverse funding trade.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the March rebalance ends today. We forecast 2 changes using a 12-month minimum listing history, and 5 changes using a 6-month minimum listing history.
We expect the index committee to continue using a 6-month minimum listing history. The impact on the potential deletes is a lot higher than the impact on the potential adds.
With 5 changes to the index, estimated one-way turnover is 5.1% resulting in a one-way trade of CNY 4,549m. There is a reasonably large reverse funding trade.


STAR50 Index Rebalance Preview: 5 Changes Forecast as Review Period Ends

<ul>
<li>Nearly 85% of the way through the review period, we see 2 changes using a 12-month minimum listing history, and 5 changes using a 6-month minimum listing history.</li>
<li>Given the significantly higher market cap of the inclusions using a 6-month minimum listing history, we expect the index committee will continue to use the shorter listing history requirement.</li>
<li>With 5 changes a side, one-way turnover is estimated at 5.15% and will result in a one-way trade of CNY 3,994m. Impact on some deletions is quite high.</li>
</ul>


Nearly 85% of the way through the review period, we see 2 changes using a 12-month minimum listing history, and 5 changes using a 6-month minimum listing history.
Given the significantly higher market cap of the inclusions using a 6-month minimum listing history, we expect the index committee will continue to use the shorter listing history requirement.
With 5 changes a side, one-way turnover is estimated at 5.15% and will result in a one-way trade of CNY 3,994m. Impact on some deletions is quite high.


STAR50 Index Rebalance Preview: Another Five Potential Changes in March

Shanghai United Imaging Health / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The index committee has continued to use a 6-month minimum listing history leading to five changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX)</a> in December.</li>
<li>All changes are in line with our forecasts and there appears to be some pre-positioning over the last week as the deletes have sold off hard.</li>
<li>One-Way turnover is estimated at 5.34% and will result in a one-way trade of CNY 3,766m. The estimated impact on the deletes is higher than that on the adds.</li>
</ul>


The index committee has continued to use a 6-month minimum listing history leading to five changes to the SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX) in December.
All changes are in line with our forecasts and there appears to be some pre-positioning over the last week as the deletes have sold off hard.
One-Way turnover is estimated at 5.34% and will result in a one-way trade of CNY 3,766m. The estimated impact on the deletes is higher than that on the adds.


STAR50 Index Rebalance: Adds Outperform Deletes in the Last Week

<ul>
<li>With the review period nearly complete, there could be 4 changes using a 12-month minimum listing history, and 5 changes using a 6-month minimum listing history.</li>
<li>The market cap of potential adds using a 6-month minimum listing history is higher and there is a higher probability of a 6-month minimum listing history being used.</li>
<li>The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes and the index. Similar to the last few rebalances, we could see the adds outperform post the end of the review period.</li>
</ul>


With the review period nearly complete, there could be 4 changes using a 12-month minimum listing history, and 5 changes using a 6-month minimum listing history.
The market cap of potential adds using a 6-month minimum listing history is higher and there is a higher probability of a 6-month minimum listing history being used.
The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes and the index. Similar to the last few rebalances, we could see the adds outperform post the end of the review period.


STAR50 Index Rebalance Preview: Stable Long/Short Performance in a Volatile Market

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

<ul>
<li>In the past 24 hours, there have been many news flow about numerous US airports that have been cyber attacked by suspects from Russia. </li>
<li>The increasing media attention on cyberattack threat could result in greater concerns about cybersecurity inducing higher global spending on software and other services that help to protect against cyber attacks. </li>
<li>Global cybersecurity stocks that could benefit from greater media attention on cyberattacks include Palo Alto Networks (PANW US)  Crowdstrike Holdings Inc (CRWD US)  CloudFlare (NET US).  </li>
</ul>


In the past 24 hours, there have been many news flow about numerous US airports that have been cyber attacked by suspects from Russia. 
The increasing media attention on cyberattack threat could result in greater concerns about cybersecurity inducing higher global spending on software and other services that help to protect against cyber attacks. 
Global cybersecurity stocks that could benefit from greater media attention on cyberattacks include Palo Alto Networks (PANW US)  Crowdstrike Holdings Inc (CRWD US)  CloudFlare (NET US).  


Cyberattacks at Numerous US Airports by Suspects from Russia

China

Bejing Henghua Albert Technology Co,. Ltd. conducts software services, software sales, technical services and hardware sales. The company's main products include resource management platform (FRP), the graphics resource platform (GRP) and enterprise information integration services platform (EISP).

Shenzhen ZQGAME Co Ltd is an online game company.  The Company's business includes research, operation and provision of agency service of online games.

Surfilter Network Technology Company Limited develops, produces and sells website network and content monitoring products and services. It also provides website security integrating and auditing services.

Guangzhou Haoyun Security Technologies Co Ltd is a financial security company. The Company provides security solutions and other financial related platforms to facilitate business transactions within the banking sector.

Inspur Software Co., Ltd. develops communication and enterprise management software, as well as provides network engineering technology services. The Company also operates in import and export trading and provides cable transportation for the Tai Mountain in Shandong province.

Wisesoft Co., Ltd. is a software and heavy equipment provider. The Company's major products include air traffic management (ATM) products, including ATM real-time strategic command systems and ATM simulation training systems, and surface intelligent traffic management products, including traffic management application systems for vehicle automatic recognition.

MYCG is a software solution provider in China with a focus on real estate. The company provides enterprise resource planning (ERP) solutions and SaaS products to property developers and other industry participants in the real estate value chain in China.

ShenZhen TianYuan DIC Information Technology Co.,Ltd. develops, manufactures and sells telecommunication industry and public security industry software. The Company's products include real-time online billing software, quasi real-time billing software, and customer relationship software for the telecommunications industry.

Shenzhen Tianyuan Dic Infrmtn Tech Co (300047 CH)

Shenzhen Ysstech Info-tech Co., Ltd provides software solutions for the financial industry in the PRC.

Shenzhen Hirisun Technology Incorporated provides information technology solutions to the electric power industry. The Company's services include system integration, software development and technical advisory services.

Gamania Digital Entertainment Co., Ltd. develops and publishes online games for the Internet and wireless applications as well as PC (Personal Computer) game software.  The Company develops an Internet-based interactive games platform capable of hosting numerous players simultaneously and charges players by time through pre-paid game card.

Digital Arts Inc. develops Internet filtering software for business, private, and educational use.  Its product protects users and network from harmful Internet contents and prevents inappropriate usages.

Fukui Computer Holdings Inc. develops and sells construction and engineering CAD(Computer-Aided Design) software.  The Company also provides maintenance services for CAD software and hardware.

COMPUTER ENGINEERING & CONSULTING LTD. is an independent computer software development company.  The Company also installs, manages, and provides maintenance services for network systems.  Computer Engineering & Consulting also develops and sells packaged software.

Fixstars Corporation provides software products and computer programming services. The Company was founded in 2002.

Inspur International Limited, through its subsidiaries, distributes, sources, and resells IT (Information Technology) products in Hong Kong, China, and overseas markets.

Infomedia Limited develops and supplies electronic parts catalogues for the automotive industry. The Company's catalogues are used by various car dealers worldwide allowing them to find replacement parts required by a customer or service mechanic.  The Company also provides dealer management systems for the automotive industry.

Broadleaf Co., Ltd. provides a variety of IT services including business software development, sales as well as technical support. The company's productivity software targets automobile, mobile phone retail stores, and travel agencies.

Hancom Inc. specializes in developing, publishing, and marketing Korean word (Hangul) processing software.  The Company also produces office software, such as spreadsheet and presentation tools.  Haansoft also provides Internet portal services, including free homepage, free e-mail, free download, instant messaging, and chatting services.

Brogent Technologies Inc. provides software development services. The Company offers software-based solutions including user interfaces, and multimedia applications for Internet, telecommunication, consumer electronics and entertainment applications. Brogent develops and implements multimedia into devices such as smart phones, digital cameras, and digital music players.

DBAPPSecurity Ltd. provides network security solution. The Company offers cloud computing security, internet application security, big data security, smart city security, and other services. DBAPPSecurity provides services in China.

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DBAPP Security (688023 CH)

STAR50 Index Rebalance Preview: 5 Changes Forecast as Review Period Ends

There could be 5 index changes in March if the index committee continues using a 6-month minimum listing history. One-way turnover will be over 5%....

Brian Freitas

STAR50 Index Rebalance Preview: Another Five Potential Changes in March

There could be 5 changes using a 6-month minimum listing history. One-way turnover will be 5%+ resulting in a one-way trade of CNY4bn. Impact on...

Brian Freitas

STAR50 Index Rebalance: Adds Outperform Deletes in the Last Week

There are 5 changes for the STAR50 in Dec. The changes were forecast; the adds have outperformed the deletes in the last week. Historically, a long...

Brian Freitas

STAR50 Index Rebalance Preview: Stable Long/Short Performance in a Volatile Market

We expect the index committee to continue using a 6-month minimum listing history. That means 5 changes in December. The potential adds have...

Brian Freitas

Cyberattacks at Numerous US Airports by Suspects from Russia

In the past 24 hours, there have been many news flow about numerous US airports that have been cyber attacked by suspects from Russia. This could...

Douglas Kim

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