TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst, Obex Capital Research

Aaron Gabin

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research

Obex Capital Research

“Obex” is Latin for Barriers to Entry. Obex Capital Management’s investment philosophy is driven by an intense focus on which business model’s Barriers to Entry are able to withstand the ever increasing competitive disruption in the TMT and Consumer Sectors.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Gitlab is down 61% since its IPO and trades at 16x forward sales, now reasonable for years of 40% like growth expected.</li>
<li>At $6B valuation, would make an attractive acquisition candidate for Google/Amazon or some of the growing DevSecOps players like Datadog.</li>
<li>Dynamic TAM with long runway ahead, very underpenetrated, strong secular tailwinds.</li>
</ul>


Gitlab is down 61% since its IPO and trades at 16x forward sales, now reasonable for years of 40% like growth expected.
At $6B valuation, would make an attractive acquisition candidate for Google/Amazon or some of the growing DevSecOps players like Datadog.
Dynamic TAM with long runway ahead, very underpenetrated, strong secular tailwinds.


US Tech Company Research, MT Capital

MT Capital

US Tech Company Research

I demystify the world's most interesting tech companies, providing in-depth, no-nonsense, un-biased analysis on the most interesting Tech Companies available for investment today. I am a Mechanical Engineer by education, Software Engineer by trade and a self-trained Financial Analyst.

<ul><li>The origin story of the company I am delving into today arguably started more than 10 years ago, when Oliver Pomel and his co-founder Alexis Lê-Quôc were working at Wireless Generation</li><li>The company is likely to benefit from the continued digital transformation, mainly spurred by further cloud penetration</li><li>Observability and IT Operations Management is a significant opportunity for Datadog to capitalize on</li></ul>

The origin story of the company I am delving into today arguably started more than 10 years ago, when Oliver Pomel and his co-founder Alexis Lê-Quôc were working at Wireless GenerationThe company is likely to benefit from the continued digital transformation, mainly spurred by further cloud penetrationObservability and IT Operations Management is a significant opportunity for Datadog to capitalize on

Datadog ($DDOG): The Dog in the SaaS Fight

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul><li>DataDog was one of the many pricey SaaS players that recently went through a minor correction after increasing investor fears associated with rising interest rates.</li><li>These customers accounted for roughly 80% of the company’s ARR which is a good sign as its focus is on high-value clients.</li><li>While we are optimistic about Datadog's future, we believe its current valuation is still pricey despite the recent correction, which is why we give it a 'Hold' rating.</li></ul>

DataDog was one of the many pricey SaaS players that recently went through a minor correction after increasing investor fears associated with rising interest rates.These customers accounted for roughly 80% of the company’s ARR which is a good sign as its focus is on high-value clients.While we are optimistic about Datadog's future, we believe its current valuation is still pricey despite the recent correction, which is why we give it a 'Hold' rating.

DataDog: A Hyper-Growth SaaS Stock (12/2021)

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are 6 inclusions and 6 exclusions for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nasdaq-100-stock-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26197:1" rel="noopener">Nasdaq-100 Stock Index (NDX INDEX)</a> at the annual December reconstitution. The estimated one-way trade is US$11.05bn.</li>
<li>Impact on the inclusions ranges from 0.25-2.22 days of ADV to buy, while the impact on the deletions varies from 1.4-3.38 days of ADV to sell.</li>
<li>There will be large inflows on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meta-platforms-inc-class-a-facebook" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:665:1" rel="noopener">Meta Platforms (FB US)</a> and large outflows on Tesla, Apple, NVidia, Amazon and Google.</li>
</ul>


There are 6 inclusions and 6 exclusions for the Nasdaq-100 Stock Index (NDX INDEX) at the annual December reconstitution. The estimated one-way trade is US$11.05bn.
Impact on the inclusions ranges from 0.25-2.22 days of ADV to buy, while the impact on the deletions varies from 1.4-3.38 days of ADV to sell.
There will be large inflows on Meta Platforms (FB US) and large outflows on Tesla, Apple, NVidia, Amazon and Google.


NASDAQ 100 Index Rebalance: Six Changes at the Annual Reconstitution

Palantir Technologies  / Equity Bottom-Up

<p>We continue to be baffled by Palantir. Rampant obfuscation in conference call answers, investor presentations, and the 10Q. The company is targeting $400MM in "adjusted free cash flow this year"...we have it about $530MM lower.</p><p>We remain short.</p><div class="content-highlight"><p>Obex’s fundamental research process is focused on secular change in the TMT and Consumer sectors. We seek to differentiate between fundamental business analysis and security analysis. Before deciding if a security’s pricing and positioning merit a long or short position, we analyze the four pillars of business fundamentals (Secular Factors, TAM, Competitive Advantage, Business Model) in order to determine if this is a “good” or “not so good” opportunity.</p></div>

We continue to be baffled by Palantir. Rampant obfuscation in conference call answers, investor presentations, and the 10Q. The company is targeting $400MM in "adjusted free cash flow this year"...we have it about $530MM lower.We remain short.Obex’s fundamental research process is focused on secular change in the TMT and Consumer sectors. We seek to differentiate between fundamental business analysis and security analysis. Before deciding if a security’s pricing and positioning merit a long or short position, we analyze the four pillars of business fundamentals (Secular Factors, TAM, Competitive Advantage, Business Model) in order to determine if this is a “good” or “not so good” opportunity.

United States

Datadog, Inc. provides software solutions. The Company offers cloud-based monitoring and analytics platform which integrates and automates infrastructure monitoring, application performance monitoring, and log management for real-time observability of customers. Datadog operates worldwide.

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Datadog (DDOG US)

Recent IPO Insights: Gitlab

Gitlab is down 61% since its IPO and trades at 16x forward sales, reasonable for 40% like growth expected. At $6B , would be acquisition candidate...

Aaron Gabin

Datadog ($DDOG): The Dog in the SaaS Fight

The origin story of the company I am delving into today arguably started more than 10 years ago, when Oliver Pomel and his co-founder Alexis Lê...

MT Capital

DataDog: A Hyper-Growth SaaS Stock (12/2021)

DataDog was one of the many pricey SaaS players that recently went through a minor correction after increasing investor fears associated with...

Baptista Research

NASDAQ 100 Index Rebalance: Six Changes at the Annual Reconstitution

There are 6 changes for the NASDAQ-100 index at the annual December reconstitution. Apart from the flows on the adds and deletes, there will be...

Brian Freitas

Palantir 3Q21 Earnings: We Buy Growth

We continue to be baffled by Palantir. The company is targeting $400MM in "adjusted free cash flow this year"...we have it about $530MM lower. We...

Aaron Gabin

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