Founder-CEO & Chief Analyst, Real Estate Foresight

Robert Ciemniak

Founder-CEO & Chief Analyst

Real Estate Foresight

Since 2012, REF has been helping investors with market research, project due diligence, and strategy development. This has ranged from detailed assessments and estimates on distressed developers' project portfolios to market due diligence on specific projects to macro-level questions linked to demand for commodities. The unique combination of the housing markets and developer data from data partner China Index Academy in Beijing, primary research, and technology-powered alternative data collection from public sources result in a valuable content set used in REF analytics and reports.

Predictive Analytics for China Property

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>A weekly curated selection of Chinese news articles and company announcements focused on developers in distress</li>
<li>We look for their deals, updates, specific project progress news ('local signals'), as well as relevant local research commentaries about the market</li>
<li>We do not verify the underlying data or provide any opinion, we only select and summarize the information; see direct links to sources</li>
</ul>


A weekly curated selection of Chinese news articles and company announcements focused on developers in distress
We look for their deals, updates, specific project progress news ('local signals'), as well as relevant local research commentaries about the market
We do not verify the underlying data or provide any opinion, we only select and summarize the information; see direct links to sources


China Property Developers In Distress - Weekly News & Announcements Tracker | 4-10 August 2023

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Mortgages /In Depth: Chinese banks balk at regulatory support for rate cuts to existing mortgages</li><li>Floods /: Beijing floods’ death toll rises to 33</li><li>Wanda /Exclusive: Three Wanda executives under police investigation</li></ul>

Mortgages /In Depth: Chinese banks balk at regulatory support for rate cuts to existing mortgagesFloods /: Beijing floods’ death toll rises to 33Wanda /Exclusive: Three Wanda executives under police investigation

CX Daily: Chinese Banks Balk at Regulatory Support for Rate Cuts to Existing Mortgages

China Property Developers In Distress - Weekly News & Announcements Tracker | 14-20 July 2023

<ul><li>Delisting /In Depth: As China’s property crisis deepens, sinking shares spark delisting threat</li><li>Carbon /: Xi calls for adopting ‘dual control’ system for carbon emissions and intensity</li><li>Corruption /: Top Shanghai lawmaker under graft investigation</li></ul>

Delisting /In Depth: As China’s property crisis deepens, sinking shares spark delisting threatCarbon /: Xi calls for adopting ‘dual control’ system for carbon emissions and intensityCorruption /: Top Shanghai lawmaker under graft investigation

CX Daily: As China’s Property Crisis Deepens, Sinking Shares Spark Delisting Threat

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>It's often not what it seems when it comes to reading China's official data for new home sales, and the construction indicators for New Starts, Completions, and Under-Construction area</li>
<li>From a demand-supply perspective, the Under-Construction figures seem heavily over-estimated, given the way new starts are counted, industry practices, and 'dead supply'; closer to 4bn rather than 7bn sqm</li>
<li>The gap between sales and completions has more to do with data collection and definitions than the actual 'gap' - a much smaller problem than publicized</li>
</ul>


It's often not what it seems when it comes to reading China's official data for new home sales, and the construction indicators for New Starts, Completions, and Under-Construction area
From a demand-supply perspective, the Under-Construction figures seem heavily over-estimated, given the way new starts are counted, industry practices, and 'dead supply'; closer to 4bn rather than 7bn sqm
The gap between sales and completions has more to do with data collection and definitions than the actual 'gap' - a much smaller problem than publicized


China Housing: Demand-Supply Fundamentals - Part #3: Solving The Construction Indicators Puzzle

China

Dalian Wanda Commercial Management Group Co., Ltd. operates as a commercial property developer, owner, and operator. The Company develops and manages mixed-use property projects including retail, office, hotel, residential, restaurant, entertainment, and other projects. Dalian Wanda Commercial Management Group conducts businesses in China.

Dalian Wanda Commercial Properties (1567411D HK)

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Dalian Wanda Commercial Properties (1567411D HK)

China Property Developers In Distress - Weekly News & Announcements Tracker | 4-10 August 2023

A weekly curated selection of local Chinese news articles and company announcements - focused on distressed developers.

Robert Ciemniak

CX Daily: Chinese Banks Balk at Regulatory Support for Rate Cuts to Existing Mortgages

Mortgages /In Depth: Chinese banks balk at regulatory support for rate cuts to existing mortgages Floods /: Beijing floods’ death toll rises to...

Caixin Global

China Property Developers In Distress - Weekly News & Announcements Tracker | 14-20 July 2023

A weekly curated set of summaries of select local Chinese news articles, posts, and company announcements focused on developers in distress.

Robert Ciemniak

CX Daily: As China’s Property Crisis Deepens, Sinking Shares Spark Delisting Threat

Delisting /In Depth: As China’s property crisis deepens, sinking shares spark delisting threat Carbon /: Xi calls for adopting ‘dual control’...

Caixin Global

China Housing: Demand-Supply Fundamentals - Part #3: Solving The Construction Indicators Puzzle

China Property: Why Is the Under-Construction GFA so high and the Sales-Completions gap so large? We dig into the data definitions and industry...

Robert Ciemniak

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)