Leading Independent Investment Research, Morningstar, Inc.

Morningstar

Leading Independent Investment Research

Morningstar, Inc.

Morningstar, Inc. is a leading provider of independent investment research in North America, Europe, Australia, and Asia. We offer an extensive line of products and services for individual investors, financial advisors, asset managers, and retirement plan providers and sponsors. 

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Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Despite improving power demand, China’s coal-fired independent power producers’, or IPPs’, fourth-quarter profits are set to be hit by surging coal prices. We estimate the operating margins for major coal-fired IPPs will be just around breakeven in the fourth quarter. For 2017, while the government’s confirmation that power tariffs will be unchanged is a little disappointing, we think government’s easing in coal supply restrictions will dampen coal prices, leading to margins recovery for coal-fired IPPs.We have reflected our slightly positive 2017 outlook into our earnings estimates and maintain our fair value estimates of HKD 7.40, HKD 2.54 and HKD 17.00 for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/28" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28:1">Huaneng Power Intl Inc H (902 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/3664" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3664:1">Datang Intl Power Gen Co H (991 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/5385" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5385:1">China Resources Power Holdings Co. Ltd. (836 HK)</a>, respectively, ahead of the full-year earnings results in March.Analysts: Jennifer Song and Lorraine Tan, CFA

Despite improving power demand, China’s coal-fired independent power producers’, or IPPs’, fourth-quarter profits are set to be hit by surging coal prices. We estimate the operating margins for major coal-fired IPPs will be just around breakeven in the fourth quarter. For 2017, while the government’s confirmation that power tariffs will be unchanged is a little disappointing, we think government’s easing in coal supply restrictions will dampen coal prices, leading to margins recovery for coal-fired IPPs.We have reflected our slightly positive 2017 outlook into our earnings estimates and maintain our fair value estimates of HKD 7.40, HKD 2.54 and HKD 17.00 for Huaneng Power Intl Inc H (902 HK), Datang Intl Power Gen Co H (991 HK), and China Resources Power Holdings Co. Ltd. (836 HK), respectively, ahead of the full-year earnings results in March.Analysts: Jennifer Song and Lorraine Tan, CFA

Softening Coal Prices and Improving Demand Will Drive a Better 2017 Outlook for Coal-Fired IPPs.

After extending our explicit forecast periods to 10 years from five years, w e have raised our fair value estimate for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/14315" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14315:1">China Gas Holdings Ltd (384 HK)</a>, or CGH, to HKD 11.40 from HKD 10.30; that for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/20525" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20525:1">China Resources Gas Group Ltd (1193 HK)</a>, or CRG, to HKD 27.50 from HKD 22.50; and that for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/316" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:316:1">Enn Energy Holdings Ltd (2688 HK)</a>, or ENN, to HKD 50.00 from HKD 44.00.We think CGH, CRG, and ENN still have further room to grow, as their penetration rates, at 52%, 45%, and 55%, respectively, are still relatively low compared with the average level of 70% in developed markets. At current price levels, CRG and ENN look attractive, while CGH is fairly valued, in our view.Analyst: Jennifer Song &amp; Chokwai Lee

After extending our explicit forecast periods to 10 years from five years, w e have raised our fair value estimate for China Gas Holdings Ltd (384 HK), or CGH, to HKD 11.40 from HKD 10.30; that for China Resources Gas Group Ltd (1193 HK), or CRG, to HKD 27.50 from HKD 22.50; and that for Enn Energy Holdings Ltd (2688 HK), or ENN, to HKD 50.00 from HKD 44.00.We think CGH, CRG, and ENN still have further room to grow, as their penetration rates, at 52%, 45%, and 55%, respectively, are still relatively low compared with the average level of 70% in developed markets. At current price levels, CRG and ENN look attractive, while CGH is fairly valued, in our view.Analyst: Jennifer Song &amp; Chokwai Lee

Raising Fair Value Estimates for City Gas Operators After Extending Our Forecast Periods

China

Dalian Thermal Power Co., Ltd. operates thermal electric stations in the city of Dalian.  The Company generates electricity and distributes and sells steam to residential, commercial, and industrial customers.

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Dalian Thermal Power Co A (600719 CH)

Softening Coal Prices and Improving Demand Will Drive a Better 2017 Outlook for Coal-Fired IPPs.

Despite improving power demand, China’s coal-fired independent power producers’, or IPPs’, fourth-quarter profits are set to be hit by surging coal...

Morningstar, Inc.

Raising Fair Value Estimates for City Gas Operators After Extending Our Forecast Periods

After extending our explicit forecast periods to 10 years from five years, w e have raised our fair value estimate for China Gas Holdings Ltd (384...

Morningstar, Inc.

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