Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The S&amp;P 500 index tracks the 500 largest names listed in the US and it is one of the most highly-tracked indices in the world.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the upcoming constituent changes in the run up to the December 2024 index rebal event.</li>
<li>We expect two regular changes in December 2024. There are also several live spin-off and M&amp;A events which could trigger intra-review index changes in the late-2024/early-2025.</li>
</ul>


The S&amp;P 500 index tracks the 500 largest names listed in the US and it is one of the most highly-tracked indices in the world.
In this insight, we take a look at the upcoming constituent changes in the run up to the December 2024 index rebal event.
We expect two regular changes in December 2024. There are also several live spin-off and M&amp;A events which could trigger intra-review index changes in the late-2024/early-2025.


Quiddity Leaderboard S&P 500 Dec 24: Two ADDs (One Biggie), Two DELs, Possible Big Intrareview Moves

Selected Quarterly & Annual Newsletters from Funds, Fund Newsletters

Fund Newsletters

Selected Quarterly & Annual Newsletters from Funds

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Long Cast Advisers, LLC, is an independent registered investment adviser investing on behalf of individuals, family offices and endowments. It is concentrated on long-term investing, focused on small-cap companies.</li><li>For the 3Q22 quarter (ended Sept 30, 2022), cumulative net returns increased 14%. YTD returns are down 16%.</li><li>Since inception in November 2015 through quarter end 3Q22, LCA has returned a cumulative 130% net of fees, or 13% CAGR.</li><li>I continue the effort to upgrade our portfolio by consolidating around whatI believe will be the highest IRR ideas.</li></ul>

Long Cast Advisers, LLC, is an independent registered investment adviser investing on behalf of individuals, family offices and endowments. It is concentrated on long-term investing, focused on small-cap companies.For the 3Q22 quarter (ended Sept 30, 2022), cumulative net returns increased 14%. YTD returns are down 16%.Since inception in November 2015 through quarter end 3Q22, LCA has returned a cumulative 130% net of fees, or 13% CAGR.I continue the effort to upgrade our portfolio by consolidating around whatI believe will be the highest IRR ideas.

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>In last week's Macro Vision report, we noted breaks below 3900 on the SPX and $293 on the QQQ opened the door for a test of YTD lows, or worse.</li>
<li>We are now getting a test of the YTD lows of 3636 on the S&amp;P 500 and $269 on QQQ</li>
<li>With so many indexes and key Sectors currently oversold and testing support, we could certainly see a bounce/pause at current levels.</li>
</ul>


In last week's Macro Vision report, we noted breaks below 3900 on the SPX and $293 on the QQQ opened the door for a test of YTD lows, or worse.
We are now getting a test of the YTD lows of 3636 on the S&amp;P 500 and $269 on QQQ
With so many indexes and key Sectors currently oversold and testing support, we could certainly see a bounce/pause at current levels.


Bloomberg Commodity Index Breaks 2.5-Year Uptrend; Key Indexes/Sectors Testing Support at YTD Lows

High Quality Stock Setups, Weekly Stock Bull Finder

Weekly Stock Bull Finder

High Quality Stock Setups

Finding high potential stock setups on quality companies

<ul>
<li>This upcoming week, stock market and business news is anticipated to be dominated by the U.S. Federal Reserve and global central banks racing to hike interest rates in coordinated fashion in attempts to constrain demand and reel in inflation back to central bank target levels. </li>
<li>Already, Wall St. Journal reported and Fed “whisperer” Nick Timiraos has indicated that yet another outsized interest rate hike of 75bps appears to be on the way as the Fed plays catch up to the 2 year Treasury yield. </li>
<li>Fed Chair Jay Powell’s press conference commentary on Wednesday will again be scrutinized for any hints of the Fed’s plans to either slow or stop the pace of the current monetary policy tightening cycle.</li>
</ul>


This upcoming week, stock market and business news is anticipated to be dominated by the U.S. Federal Reserve and global central banks racing to hike interest rates in coordinated fashion in attempts to constrain demand and reel in inflation back to central bank target levels. 
Already, Wall St. Journal reported and Fed “whisperer” Nick Timiraos has indicated that yet another outsized interest rate hike of 75bps appears to be on the way as the Fed plays catch up to the 2 year Treasury yield. 
Fed Chair Jay Powell’s press conference commentary on Wednesday will again be scrutinized for any hints of the Fed’s plans to either slow or stop the pace of the current monetary policy tightening cycle.


<ul>
<li>We continue to view the price action over the past month as a bear market bounce in the S&amp;P 500, Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), and Russell 2000 (IWM).</li>
<li>Each index appears to be forming a bearish flag pattern. Until the S&amp;P 500, QQQ, and IWM can break above their YTD downtrends, we remain bearish.</li>
<li>We continue to believe that this bear market is being fueled by the rising U.S. dollar (DXY), rising 10-yr Treasury yield, and the move higher in WTI crude oil.</li>
</ul>


We continue to view the price action over the past month as a bear market bounce in the S&amp;P 500, Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), and Russell 2000 (IWM).
Each index appears to be forming a bearish flag pattern. Until the S&amp;P 500, QQQ, and IWM can break above their YTD downtrends, we remain bearish.
We continue to believe that this bear market is being fueled by the rising U.S. dollar (DXY), rising 10-yr Treasury yield, and the move higher in WTI crude oil.


U.S. Indexes Form Bear Flag Patterns Within Downtrends; Opportunities Within Health Care

United States

Cross Country Healthcare, Inc. provides healthcare staffing services in the United States.  The Company provides travel nurse and allied health staffing, per diem nurse staffing, and clinical research trials staffing.  Cross Country's other staffing services include the placement of allied healthcare professionals, such as radiology technicians and rehabilitation therapists.

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Cross Country Healthcare, Inc (CCRN US)

Quiddity Leaderboard S&P 500 Dec 24: Two ADDs (One Biggie), Two DELs, Possible Big Intrareview Moves

There are currently two expected ADDs and two expected DELs for the SP500 Dec24 Rebalance. There could be more from spinoffs and mergers. One big...

Travis Lundy

Long Cast Advisers Q3 2022 Letter

Long Cast Advisers, LLC, is an independent registered investment adviser investing on behalf of individuals, family offices and endowments. It is...

Fund Newsletters

Bloomberg Commodity Index Breaks 2.5-Year Uptrend; Key Indexes/Sectors Testing Support at YTD Lows

Bloomberg Commodity index $DJP violating 2.5-yr uptrend; a break below $32.50 would send commodity prices much lower, & would be deflationary. $SPX...

Vermilion Research

Weekly Stock Bullfinder - Week of 9/19

This upcoming week, stock market and business news is anticipated to be dominated by the U.S. Federal Reserve and global central banks racing to...

Weekly Stock Bull Finder

U.S. Indexes Form Bear Flag Patterns Within Downtrends; Opportunities Within Health Care

We continue to view the price action over the past month as a bear market bounce in the S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), and Russell 2000 (IWM), as each...

Vermilion Research

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