External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

CreditAccess Grameen Ltd / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>CreditAccess Grameen (CREDAG) has emerged as the largest NBFC-MFI (~6% market share) on the back of its strong parentage, conservative underwriting, and a calibrated approach to building scale (partly inorganic) with inherently strong cross-cycle profitability (~3.6% RoA) and growth outcomes (&gt;30% AUM CAGR)</li><li>With the RBI hinting at its discomfort with super-normal margins enjoyed by NBFC-MFIs, we argue that peak growth and profitability for the MFI sector are behind on the back of rising competitive intensity and increasing consumer leverage</li><li>In this backdrop, CREDAG’s current valuation (3.6x Mar-25 ABVPS), post a near-doubling in the stock price during CY23, offers limited margin of safety.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

CreditAccess Grameen (CREDAG) has emerged as the largest NBFC-MFI (~6% market share) on the back of its strong parentage, conservative underwriting, and a calibrated approach to building scale (partly inorganic) with inherently strong cross-cycle profitability (~3.6% RoA) and growth outcomes (&gt;30% AUM CAGR)With the RBI hinting at its discomfort with super-normal margins enjoyed by NBFC-MFIs, we argue that peak growth and profitability for the MFI sector are behind on the back of rising competitive intensity and increasing consumer leverageIn this backdrop, CREDAG’s current valuation (3.6x Mar-25 ABVPS), post a near-doubling in the stock price during CY23, offers limited margin of safety.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

CreditAccess Grameen: Priced for Peak Profitability, Downgrade to ADD

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The INR4.2trn microfinance industry (MFI) has witnessed a strong 20% CAGR over FY21-24, driven by a simultaneous increase in borrower count (13% CAGR) and average exposure (6% CAGR)</li><li>We argue that the bureau-reported industry-wide borrower count for FY24 is fraught with data integrity risk and blindsides stakeholders into under-estimating customer leverage</li><li>Our analysis suggests that the pan-India micro-credit penetration stands at &gt;40% (FY12: &lt;12%), with top states such as Bihar (&gt;80%) and Tamil Nadu (&gt;50%) appearing significantly elevated</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The INR4.2trn microfinance industry (MFI) has witnessed a strong 20% CAGR over FY21-24, driven by a simultaneous increase in borrower count (13% CAGR) and average exposure (6% CAGR)We argue that the bureau-reported industry-wide borrower count for FY24 is fraught with data integrity risk and blindsides stakeholders into under-estimating customer leverageOur analysis suggests that the pan-India micro-credit penetration stands at &gt;40% (FY12: &lt;12%), with top states such as Bihar (&gt;80%) and Tamil Nadu (&gt;50%) appearing significantly elevatedContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Leveraged Financials | Microfinance: Positioning for the Down Cycle

Leveraged Financials - Microfinance: Positioning for the Down Cycle

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>The systemic credit growth (as of 20th Sep’24) continued to remain healthy at 13% YoY.</li><li>This growth continues to be led by Retail and SMEs, while corporate credit continues to remain sluggish.</li><li>The deceleration in credit growth is most likely primarily amongst the private sector banks as they aim to reduce their LDR and maintain them at balance levels. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The systemic credit growth (as of 20th Sep’24) continued to remain healthy at 13% YoY.This growth continues to be led by Retail and SMEs, while corporate credit continues to remain sluggish.The deceleration in credit growth is most likely primarily amongst the private sector banks as they aim to reduce their LDR and maintain them at balance levels. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Q2FY25 Earnings Preview - Banks, Financial Services and Insurance

<ul><li>The Axis Top Picks Basket delivered an excellent return of 5.4% in the last three months against the 2.5% return posted by Nifty 50, thereby beating the benchmark by a wide margin of 2.9%.</li><li>Over the last one year, the basket has gained 43.2%.</li><li>Moreover, it gives us immense joy to inform you that our Top Picks Basket has delivered an impressive return of 284% since its inception (May’20), which stands well above the 143% return delivered by the NIFTY 50 index over the same period. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The Axis Top Picks Basket delivered an excellent return of 5.4% in the last three months against the 2.5% return posted by Nifty 50, thereby beating the benchmark by a wide margin of 2.9%.Over the last one year, the basket has gained 43.2%.Moreover, it gives us immense joy to inform you that our Top Picks Basket has delivered an impressive return of 284% since its inception (May’20), which stands well above the 143% return delivered by the NIFTY 50 index over the same period. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Axis Top Picks for the Month of June 2024

India

CreditAccess Grameen Limited provides consumer finance services. The Company offers income generation, home improvement, emergency, and family welfare loans, as well as retail finance, insurance, and healthcare programs. CreditAccess Grameen serves clients in India.

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CreditAccess Grameen Ltd (CREDAG IN)

CreditAccess Grameen: Priced for Peak Profitability, Downgrade to ADD

In this backdrop, CREDAG’s current valuation (3.6x Mar-25 ABVPS), post a near-doubling in the stock price during CY23, offers limited margin of...

HDFC Securities

Leveraged Financials | Microfinance: Positioning for the Down Cycle

The INR4.2trn microfinance industry (MFI) has witnessed a strong 20% CAGR over FY21-24, driven by a simultaneous increase in borrower count (13%...

HDFC Securities

Leveraged Financials - Microfinance: Positioning for the Down Cycle

The INR4.2trn microfinance industry (MFI) has witnessed a strong 20% CAGR over FY21-24, driven by a simultaneous increase in borrower count (13%...

HDFC Securities

Q2FY25 Earnings Preview - Banks, Financial Services and Insurance

Mirroring the systemic credit growth trends, we expect banks under our coverage (incl. SFBs) to register credit growth of ~14/4% YoY/QoQ.

Axis Direct

Axis Top Picks for the Month of June 2024

The Axis Top Picks Basket delivered an excellent return of 5.4% in the last three months against the 2.5% return posted by Nifty 50, thereby...

Axis Direct

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