Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Funding squeeze evident in HK's HIBOR market and reported in Australia too</li>
<li>Even where not visible, this must be expected globally, as banks reign in risk</li>
<li>MQG has low levels of deposits and high levels of securities</li>
</ul>


Funding squeeze evident in HK's HIBOR market and reported in Australia too
Even where not visible, this must be expected globally, as banks reign in risk
MQG has low levels of deposits and high levels of securities


Financials & FinTech research, Galliano’s Financials Research

Victor Galliano

Financials & FinTech research

Financials & FinTech, EM & Developed Markets

Galliano’s Financials Research

Galliano's Financials Research provides fundamental research in Emerging Markets financials, including FinTech, as well as financials in select Developed Markets.

The investment style applied is generally value oriented, although Growth At Reasonable Price (GARP) strategies can also be used where appropriate. 

Our investment research approach aim is often contrarian, looking to capitalise on overly sceptical or optimistic consensus views. In terms of valuation techniques, the focus is on PBV ratio to ROE, PE multiples and dividend yield, as well as the application of PEG ratios and, where appropriate, Sum of the Parts (SOTP) valuations.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The UBS acquisition of Credit Suisse includes the write-off of CHF15.8bn (USD17bn) of Additional Tier 1 (AT1) bonds, despite there being residual equity value for CS shareholders in the deal</li>
<li>AT1s are the most junior, loss absorbing of bonds; precedent exists for the zeroing of AT1s in Spain’s Banco Popular 2017 failure, but importantly this also included shareholders being zeroed</li>
<li>The Credit Suisse AT1 write-off is by far the biggest so far and this unconventional treatment of shareholders versus junior bondholders should lead European banks’ cost of equity to rise</li>
</ul>


The UBS acquisition of Credit Suisse includes the write-off of CHF15.8bn (USD17bn) of Additional Tier 1 (AT1) bonds, despite there being residual equity value for CS shareholders in the deal
AT1s are the most junior, loss absorbing of bonds; precedent exists for the zeroing of AT1s in Spain’s Banco Popular 2017 failure, but importantly this also included shareholders being zeroed
The Credit Suisse AT1 write-off is by far the biggest so far and this unconventional treatment of shareholders versus junior bondholders should lead European banks’ cost of equity to rise


Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Corruption / Cover Story: China’s sports corruption dragnet casts pall ahead of Paris Olympics</li><li>Euro Cup / Chinese brands intend to triumph at Euro Cup 2024</li><li>Cyberbully / China rolls out new rules for online sites to curb cyberbullying</li></ul>

Corruption / Cover Story: China’s sports corruption dragnet casts pall ahead of Paris OlympicsEuro Cup / Chinese brands intend to triumph at Euro Cup 2024Cyberbully / China rolls out new rules for online sites to curb cyberbullying

CX Daily: China’s Sports Corruption Dragnet Casts Pall Ahead of Paris Olympics 

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

<ul>
<li>UBS merger with Credit Suisse sparks concerns over reduced competition and higher financing costs</li>
<li>EU announces tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles, risking trade tensions with China</li>
<li>Preliminary wage deal at BHP’s Spence copper mine averts potential costly strike</li>
</ul>


UBS merger with Credit Suisse sparks concerns over reduced competition and higher financing costs
EU announces tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles, risking trade tensions with China
Preliminary wage deal at BHP’s Spence copper mine averts potential costly strike


#17Business Buzz: BHP Averts Strike, UBS Market Concerns, EU Tariffs on Chinese EVs

<ul>
<li>Microsoft's $650 million investment in Inflection under FTC investigation for potential undisclosed acquisition.</li>
<li>Texas introduces TXSE Group, backed by BlackRock, challenging NYSE and Nasdaq dominance.</li>
<li>Saudi Aramco's $11.2 billion stock offering supports Saudi Arabia's economic transformation.</li>
</ul>


Microsoft's $650 million investment in Inflection under FTC investigation for potential undisclosed acquisition.
Texas introduces TXSE Group, backed by BlackRock, challenging NYSE and Nasdaq dominance.
Saudi Aramco's $11.2 billion stock offering supports Saudi Arabia's economic transformation.


#14Business Buzz: Microsoft FTC Probe, TXSE Group Challenges NYSE, Aramco Aids Saudi Transformation

Switzerland

Credit Suisse Group AG operates as a wealth management firm. The Company specializes in investment banking and offers wealth management activities aiming to capitalize on both the large pool of wealth within mature markets, as well as the significant growth in wealth in Asia Pacific and other emerging markets. Credit Suisse Group serves customers worldwide.

Price Gauge
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Credit Suisse Group (CS US)

MQG - Funding Squeeze?

Funding squeeze is evident in Hong Kong, and reports suggest the same in Australia, with other markets likely. Banks which rely more on non-deposit...

Daniel Tabbush

AT1 Bonds; Life After Credit Suisse

The CS AT1 write-off due to UBS's acquisition is an unconventional action on bondholders versus shareholders, implying a rising banks' cost of...

Victor Galliano

CX Daily: China’s Sports Corruption Dragnet Casts Pall Ahead of Paris Olympics

Corruption / Cover Story: China’s sports corruption dragnet casts pall ahead of Paris Olympics. An avalanche of corruption investigations continues...

Caixin Global

#17Business Buzz: BHP Averts Strike, UBS Market Concerns, EU Tariffs on Chinese EVs

"UBS-Credit Suisse merger sparks competition fears. EU tariffs on Chinese EVs heighten trade tensions. BHP's Spence mine wage deal averts costly...

Nimish Maheshwari

#14Business Buzz: Microsoft FTC Probe, TXSE Group Challenges NYSE, Aramco Aids Saudi Transformation

Microsoft's investment in Inflection faces FTC scrutiny, Texas launches TXSE Group to rival NYSE and Nasdaq, Saudi Aramco's stock offering aids...

Nimish Maheshwari

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

MQG - Funding Squeeze?

Funding squeeze is evident in Hong Kong, and reports suggest the same in Australia, with other markets likely. Banks which rely more on non-deposit...

Daniel Tabbush

AT1 Bonds; Life After Credit Suisse

The CS AT1 write-off due to UBS's acquisition is an unconventional action on bondholders versus shareholders, implying a rising banks' cost of...

Victor Galliano

CX Daily: China’s Sports Corruption Dragnet Casts Pall Ahead of Paris Olympics

Corruption / Cover Story: China’s sports corruption dragnet casts pall ahead of Paris Olympics. An avalanche of corruption investigations continues...

Caixin Global

#17Business Buzz: BHP Averts Strike, UBS Market Concerns, EU Tariffs on Chinese EVs

"UBS-Credit Suisse merger sparks competition fears. EU tariffs on Chinese EVs heighten trade tensions. BHP's Spence mine wage deal averts costly...

Nimish Maheshwari

#14Business Buzz: Microsoft FTC Probe, TXSE Group Challenges NYSE, Aramco Aids Saudi Transformation

​Microsoft's investment in Inflection faces FTC scrutiny, Texas launches TXSE Group to rival NYSE and Nasdaq, Saudi Aramco's stock offering aids...

Nimish Maheshwari

Microsoft's investment in Inflection faces FTC scrutiny, Texas launches TXSE Group to rival NYSE and Nasdaq, Saudi Aramco's stock offering aids...