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Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

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Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Banking / Cover Story: 2008 Redux? SVB collapse raises questions about banking oversight</li><li>Research / China launches campaign to tackle pressing domestic challenges</li><li>Taiwan / Beijing welcomes ex-Taiwan leader’s visit to the mainland</li></ul>

Banking / Cover Story: 2008 Redux? SVB collapse raises questions about banking oversightResearch / China launches campaign to tackle pressing domestic challengesTaiwan / Beijing welcomes ex-Taiwan leader’s visit to the mainland

CX Daily: 2008 Redux? SVB Collapse Raises Questions About Banking Oversight

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Weaker OECD demand, diversification of supply chain out of China, lesser room for Rmb depreciation and high base effects all suggest challenging export environment for China in 2023. </li>
<li>We expect 5-10% drop in China's export in next year, against consensus of 0.2% growth. Except ASEAN, exports to all major trading partners are already deep in negative in Nov.</li>
<li>Long-Haul container shipping is the most disastrous, while port and logistics sectors are less vulnerable. We think <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sitc-international-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15301:1" rel="noopener">SITC International (1308 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sinotrans-limited-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1321:1" rel="noopener">Sinotrans (598 HK)</a> will fare better than others.</li>
</ul>


Weaker OECD demand, diversification of supply chain out of China, lesser room for Rmb depreciation and high base effects all suggest challenging export environment for China in 2023. 
We expect 5-10% drop in China's export in next year, against consensus of 0.2% growth. Except ASEAN, exports to all major trading partners are already deep in negative in Nov.
Long-Haul container shipping is the most disastrous, while port and logistics sectors are less vulnerable. We think SITC International (1308 HK) and Sinotrans (598 HK) will fare better than others.


China's Export Outlook 2023: How Port, Shipping and Logistics Fare?

<ul>
<li>
In Depth: Indonesian sovereign wealth fund’s blueprint for growth 
</li>
<li>
Shanghai plans to build $221 million permanent quarantine center on island
</li>
<li>
Communist Party appoints new head of publicity department
</li>
</ul>



In Depth: Indonesian sovereign wealth fund’s blueprint for growth 


Shanghai plans to build $221 million permanent quarantine center on island


Communist Party appoints new head of publicity department



CX Daily: Indonesian Sovereign Wealth Fund’s Blueprint for Growth

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

Xiamen International Port H / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xiamen-international-port-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5390:1" rel="noopener">Xiamen International Port H (3378 HK)</a>'s composite document is out with the H Shareholders’ class meeting scheduled for 16 September. The IFA considers the offer to be fair and reasonable. </li>
<li>The key conditions are approval by at least 75% of independent H Shareholders (&lt;10% of all independent H Shareholders' rejection). There is no minimum acceptance condition.</li>
<li>This is a done deal. At last close and for a 6 October payment, the gross and annualised spread to the offer is 0.9% and 7.6%, respectively. </li>
</ul>



Xiamen International Port H (3378 HK)'s composite document is out with the H Shareholders’ class meeting scheduled for 16 September. The IFA considers the offer to be fair and reasonable. 
The key conditions are approval by at least 75% of independent H Shareholders (&lt;10% of all independent H Shareholders' rejection). There is no minimum acceptance condition.
This is a done deal. At last close and for a 6 October payment, the gross and annualised spread to the offer is 0.9% and 7.6%, respectively. 


Xiamen Port’s H Share Class Meeting on 16 September

<ul>
<li>The pre-condition for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xiamen-international-port-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5390:1" rel="noopener">Xiamen International Port H (3378 HK)</a>’s privatisation offer from Xiamen Port Holding is satisfied. The offer is HK$2.25 per H share. </li>
<li>The key conditions are approval by at least 75% of independent H Shareholders (&lt;10% of all independent H Shareholders' rejection). There is no minimum acceptance condition.</li>
<li>The offer is attractive. At last close and for a 21 October payment, the gross and annualised spread to the offer is 2.7% and 16.0%, respectively.</li>
</ul>


The pre-condition for Xiamen International Port H (3378 HK)’s privatisation offer from Xiamen Port Holding is satisfied. The offer is HK$2.25 per H share. 
The key conditions are approval by at least 75% of independent H Shareholders (&lt;10% of all independent H Shareholders' rejection). There is no minimum acceptance condition.
The offer is attractive. At last close and for a 21 October payment, the gross and annualised spread to the offer is 2.7% and 16.0%, respectively.


Hong Kong

COSCO Shipping Ports Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides shipping container leasing services worldwide.  The Company also operates container terminals and provides container handling, storage, transportation and management services, as well as depot handling and stevedoring services.

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Cosco Shipping Ports (1199 HK)

CX Daily: 2008 Redux? SVB Collapse Raises Questions About Banking Oversight

Cover Story: 2008 Redux? SVB collapse raises questions about banking oversight. China launches campaign to tackle pressing domestic challenges.

Caixin Global

China's Export Outlook 2023: How Port, Shipping and Logistics Fare?

We are cautious on China's export outlook in 2023, and operating environment of port, container shipping and logistics sectors will be challenging....

Osbert Tang, CFA

CX Daily: Indonesian Sovereign Wealth Fund’s Blueprint for Growth

In Depth: Indonesian sovereign wealth fund’s blueprint for growth. Shanghai plans to build $221 million permanent quarantine center on island

Caixin Global

Xiamen Port’s Pre-Condition Satisfied

The pre-condition is satisfied. Interims are on 26 August. At last close and for a 21 October payment, the annualised spread to the offer is 16.0%....

Arun George

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

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CX Daily: 2008 Redux? SVB Collapse Raises Questions About Banking Oversight

Cover Story: 2008 Redux? SVB collapse raises questions about banking oversight. China launches campaign to tackle pressing domestic challenges.

Caixin Global

China's Export Outlook 2023: How Port, Shipping and Logistics Fare?

We are cautious on China's export outlook in 2023, and operating environment of port, container shipping and logistics sectors will be challenging....

Osbert Tang, CFA

CX Daily: Indonesian Sovereign Wealth Fund’s Blueprint for Growth

In Depth: Indonesian sovereign wealth fund’s blueprint for growth. Shanghai plans to build $221 million permanent quarantine center on island

Caixin Global

Xiamen Port’s H Share Class Meeting on 16 September

This is a done deal. At the last close price of HK$2.23 per H Share and for a 6 October payment, the annualised spread to the offer is 7.6%.

Arun George

Xiamen Port’s Pre-Condition Satisfied

The pre-condition is satisfied. Interims are on 26 August. At last close and for a 21 October payment, the annualised spread to the offer is 16.0%....

Arun George