Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A/H premium on 140 stocks over the last week.</li>
<li>Weekly A-H premium change of -0.7ppt was led by the consumer staple, consumer discretionary, and utilities sector.</li>
<li>We highlight stocks including Remegen, CNOOC, COSCO Shipping, Cansino, Nanjing Panda, Shenzhen Hepalink, SH Fudan, SH Haohai, China Telecom, and Sinotrans.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A/H premium on 140 stocks over the last week.
Weekly A-H premium change of -0.7ppt was led by the consumer staple, consumer discretionary, and utilities sector.
We highlight stocks including Remegen, CNOOC, COSCO Shipping, Cansino, Nanjing Panda, Shenzhen Hepalink, SH Fudan, SH Haohai, China Telecom, and Sinotrans.


A-H Premium Weekly: Remegen, CNOOC, COSCO Shipping

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Infrastructure, new energy, consumer discretionary and, to a lesser extent, transportation and logistics are sectors that will benefit from extensive government economic supportive policies over the last few days. </li>
<li>Acceleration of special purpose bonds will drive <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-communications-construction-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:265:1" rel="noopener">China Communications Construction (1800 HK)</a>. We see <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-longyuan-power-group-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14215:1" rel="noopener">China Longyuan Power (916 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dongfang-electric-corporation-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1251:1" rel="noopener">Dongfang Electric (1072 HK)</a> benefit from new energy initiatives.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/li-ning-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6047:1" rel="noopener">Li Ning (2331 HK)</a> will be the near-term winner in the consumer discretionary space and so as <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haier-smart-home-co-ltd-b3ef445f-0f54-4586-8c58-9073de98d60e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31105:1" rel="noopener">Haier Smart Home Co Ltd (6690 HK)</a>.</li>
</ul>


Infrastructure, new energy, consumer discretionary and, to a lesser extent, transportation and logistics are sectors that will benefit from extensive government economic supportive policies over the last few days. 
Acceleration of special purpose bonds will drive China Communications Construction (1800 HK). We see China Longyuan Power (916 HK) and Dongfang Electric (1072 HK) benefit from new energy initiatives.

Li Ning (2331 HK) will be the near-term winner in the consumer discretionary space and so as Haier Smart Home Co Ltd (6690 HK).


Roundup of Government Economic Supportive Policies: Key Winners

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outlfows, and holding by mainland investors.</li>
<li>Inflows last month amounted to USD 5.7bn which marks sixth months of inflows. Top three stocks southbound investors bought were Meituan, CNOOC, and Tencent.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.
We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outlfows, and holding by mainland investors.
Inflows last month amounted to USD 5.7bn which marks sixth months of inflows. Top three stocks southbound investors bought were Meituan, CNOOC, and Tencent.


Hong Kong Connect Flows Monthly (May): Meituan, CNOOC, Tencent

Equity Bottom-Up

Cosco Shipping Energy Transportation Co. Ltd. (H) / Equity Bottom-Up

Cosco Shipping Energy Transportation Co. Ltd. (H)

<ul>
<li>Share price of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cosco-shipping-energy-tran-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:646:1" rel="noopener">Cosco Shipping Energy Transportation Co. Ltd. (H) (1138 HK)</a> has rallied 55.7% over the last four months, and we believe it is now prudent to trim position.</li>
<li>P/B valuation is almost at 5-year high and over 2SD above historical average, but ROE for FY22F is still shy of the peak level achieved in such period. </li>
<li>There is downgrade risk for FY22F consensus profit of Rmb1.6bn given 1Q22 profit of just Rmb25m, and near-term retreat in spot rate does not bode well for CSET. </li>
</ul>


Share price of Cosco Shipping Energy Transportation Co. Ltd. (H) (1138 HK) has rallied 55.7% over the last four months, and we believe it is now prudent to trim position.
P/B valuation is almost at 5-year high and over 2SD above historical average, but ROE for FY22F is still shy of the peak level achieved in such period. 
There is downgrade risk for FY22F consensus profit of Rmb1.6bn given 1Q22 profit of just Rmb25m, and near-term retreat in spot rate does not bode well for CSET. 


COSCO Shipping Energy (1138 HK): Ahead of the Curve...but Too Much

<ul>
<li>The trend of Rmb depreciation is generally negative to China companies, but we think the shipping companies present an interesting angle given their USD revenue stream and partial Rmb costs.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-cosco-holdings-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:286:1" rel="noopener">COSCO Shipping Holdings (1919 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cosco-shipping-energy-tran-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:646:1" rel="noopener">Cosco Shipping Energy Transportation (H) (1138 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sitc-international-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15301:1" rel="noopener">SITC International (1308 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pacific-basin-shipping-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:929:1" rel="noopener">Pacific Basin Shipping (2343 HK)</a> are some names that can realise benefits.<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cosco-capital-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10665:1" rel="noopener"></a>
</li>
<li>We think <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-cosco-holdings-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:286:1" rel="noopener">COSCO Shipping Holdings (1919 HK)</a> is the most attractive one, given its USD revenue, partial Rmb cost base, reporting in Rmb, low net debt and potentially better volume. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cosco-shipping-holdings-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27590:1" rel="noopener"></a>
</li>
</ul>


The trend of Rmb depreciation is generally negative to China companies, but we think the shipping companies present an interesting angle given their USD revenue stream and partial Rmb costs.

COSCO Shipping Holdings (1919 HK), Cosco Shipping Energy Transportation (H) (1138 HK), SITC International (1308 HK) and Pacific Basin Shipping (2343 HK) are some names that can realise benefits.

We think COSCO Shipping Holdings (1919 HK) is the most attractive one, given its USD revenue, partial Rmb cost base, reporting in Rmb, low net debt and potentially better volume. 



Rmb Depreciation: An Angle for the Shipping Names?

China

COSCO SHIPPING Energy Transportation Co., Ltd. offers marine shipping services. The Company provides refined oil transportation, crude oil transportation, and other services. COSCO SHIPPING Energy Transportation also ships iron ores, dry bulks, coal, and other products.

Cosco Shipping Energy Transportation Co. Ltd. (H) (1138 HK)

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Cosco Shipping Energy Transportation Co. Ltd. (H) (1138 HK)

A-H Premium Weekly: Remegen, CNOOC, COSCO Shipping

We highlight A-H premium changes for stocks including Remegen, CNOOC, COSCO Shipping, Cansino, Nanjing Panda, Shenzhen Hepalink, SH Fudan, SH...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Roundup of Government Economic Supportive Policies: Key Winners

We expect the government economic supportive policies released in the last few days to drive the infrastructure, new energy, consumer discretionary...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Hong Kong Connect Flows Monthly (May): Meituan, CNOOC, Tencent

Inflows last month amounted to USD 5.7bn which marks sixth months of inflows. Top three stocks southbound investors bought were Meituan, CNOOC, and...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

COSCO Shipping Energy (1138 HK): Ahead of the Curve...but Too Much

CSET's sharp rally has brought its P/B to 2SD above historical average and more than reflected its earnings recovery. Risk exists for profit...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Rmb Depreciation: An Angle for the Shipping Names?

Shipping companies present an interesting angle to look at under the current trend of Rmb depreciation. USD revenue stream and partial Rmb costs...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)