Junior Finance Analyst, Steno Research

Ulrik Simmelholt

Junior Finance Analyst

Macro and Geopolitical Research House

Steno Research

Steno Research is a new macro and geopolitical research house. We are based out of Copenhagen, Denmark, but have an international team and a strong network of sources and partners around the world. The team is lead by Andreas Steno, previous global head of strategy at Nordea Bank, and Mikkel Rosenvold, former chief consultant in the Danish Ministry of Finance.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>We’ve received loads of feedback from our clients regarding our Trump versus Biden basket.</li><li>As a result, we will provide a detailed breakdown of both baskets and explain the rationale behind each.</li><li>We are updating the baskets regularly based on the political proposals of the two candidates.</li></ul>

We’ve received loads of feedback from our clients regarding our Trump versus Biden basket.As a result, we will provide a detailed breakdown of both baskets and explain the rationale behind each.We are updating the baskets regularly based on the political proposals of the two candidates.

Equity Watch: The Trump versus Biden Basket

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Mega-Cap growth names such as AMZN, TSLA, MSFT, GOOGL, and META have picked up the slack as semiconductors (SMH, SOXX, NVDA, AVGO, etc.) are simply consolidating after getting extended.</li>
<li>This was a possibility we discussed in last week's Compass (6/25/24), which means we are not seeing any lasting rotation away from large-cap growth.</li>
<li>We remain bullish on all names listed (including the semiconductors), and we continue to recommend an overweight to large-cap growth (relative to value) as initially discussed in our 5/29/24 Compass</li>
</ul>


Mega-Cap growth names such as AMZN, TSLA, MSFT, GOOGL, and META have picked up the slack as semiconductors (SMH, SOXX, NVDA, AVGO, etc.) are simply consolidating after getting extended.
This was a possibility we discussed in last week's Compass (6/25/24), which means we are not seeing any lasting rotation away from large-cap growth.
We remain bullish on all names listed (including the semiconductors), and we continue to recommend an overweight to large-cap growth (relative to value) as initially discussed in our 5/29/24 Compass


Remain Overweight Large-Cap Growth; Downgrading Materials to Underweight; Software Buys $MSTR $CRWD

Independent Asian Credit Research, Bondcritic

Warut Promboon

Independent Asian Credit Research

Asian Fixed Income/Frontier Market Research

Bondcritic

Bondcritic, established in 2009, is designed to be an independent credit research voice that helps investors gain insights and unbiased analyses on Asian fixed income market. Our mission is to discover deep-value Asian high-yield and distressed bonds with a bottom-up approach, together with the help of our proprietary ESG (Environmental, Social Development, and Governance) model. At the same time, we focus on bringing investment cases of unrated and unloved issuers to the general public.

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>The security token market, though, has slowly developed mainly due to declining risk appetites sparked by COVID-19 in 2020 and the Russian invasion of Ukraine on 24-February 2022.</li>
<li>What has changed that led us to update readers on tokenization is the approval of Bitcoin ETFs</li>
<li>The Bitcoin ETFs will be the first step to allow institutional investors to invest in cryptocurrencies. Next, we expect more ETFs of other well-known cryptocurrencies such as Ethereum (ETH).</li>
</ul>


The security token market, though, has slowly developed mainly due to declining risk appetites sparked by COVID-19 in 2020 and the Russian invasion of Ukraine on 24-February 2022.
What has changed that led us to update readers on tokenization is the approval of Bitcoin ETFs
The Bitcoin ETFs will be the first step to allow institutional investors to invest in cryptocurrencies. Next, we expect more ETFs of other well-known cryptocurrencies such as Ethereum (ETH).


Security Token Journal: Bitcoins to the Mass

Energy Transition | AI | Shifting World Order, Mint Finance

Srinidhi Raghavendra

Energy Transition | AI | Shifting World Order

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

<ul>
<li>Financial majors – Goldman, Morgan, HDFC, and Interactive Brokers announce results. Charles Schwab reports on 17/Jan and Schlumberger reports on 19/Jan.</li>
<li>On economic data, data from USA, China, and Japan will provide strong insight into the health of consumers and businesses there.</li>
<li>An iPhone that got sucked out of Alaskan Air when the door of a Boeing jet came unstuck fell 5,000m but landed without a single crack on the screen.</li>
</ul>


Financial majors – Goldman, Morgan, HDFC, and Interactive Brokers announce results. Charles Schwab reports on 17/Jan and Schlumberger reports on 19/Jan.
On economic data, data from USA, China, and Japan will provide strong insight into the health of consumers and businesses there.
An iPhone that got sucked out of Alaskan Air when the door of a Boeing jet came unstuck fell 5,000m but landed without a single crack on the screen.


[TW2] Japanese Equities Soar, Spot BTC ETF Goes Live, & Rising Red Sea Tensions (W/E 12th Jan 2024)

Pranay Yadav

<ul>
<li>SEC narrowly approves listing of spot Bitcoin ETF citing high correlation between CME futures and spot bitcoin price and adequacy of CME surveillance sharing.</li>
<li>New ETFs offer highly competitive expense ratios. ETFs also offer discount to expense ratio during a discount period.</li>
<li>ETFs see strong trading activity on day 1 but much of it likely came from outflows from GBTC to lower cost ETFs.</li>
</ul>


SEC narrowly approves listing of spot Bitcoin ETF citing high correlation between CME futures and spot bitcoin price and adequacy of CME surveillance sharing.
New ETFs offer highly competitive expense ratios. ETFs also offer discount to expense ratio during a discount period.
ETFs see strong trading activity on day 1 but much of it likely came from outflows from GBTC to lower cost ETFs.


Spot BTC ETFs Attract $4.3 Billion on Day 1 Paving the Way for Institutional Adoption

United States

The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation (BNY Mellon) is a global financial services company. The Company provides asset and wealth management, asset servicing, issuer, clearing, and treasury services for institutions, corporations, and high net worth individuals.

Ameriprise Financial, Inc. is a financial planning and services firm.  The Company provides financial planning, products and services that are designed to be utilized as solutions for its clients' cash and liquidity, asset accumulation, income, protection, and estate and wealth transfer needs.

Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. operates global commodity and financial products marketplaces.  The Company operates electronic energy markets and soft commodity exchanges as well.  ICE offers access to contracts based on crude oil and refined products, natural gas, power and emissions, as well as agricultural commodities including cocoa, coffee, cotton, orange juice, and sugar.

CME Group Inc. operates a derivatives exchange that trades futures contracts and options on futures, interest rates, stock indexes, foreign exchange and commodities.  The Exchange brings together buyers and sellers of derivatives products on its trading floors, electronic trading platform, and through privately negotiated transactions that it clears.

Moody's Corporation is a credit rating, research, and risk analysis firm.  The Company provides credit ratings and related research, data and analytical tools, quantitative credit risk measures, risk scoring software, and credit portfolio management solutions and securities pricing software and valuation models.

MSCI Inc. provides investment decision support tools to investment institutions worldwide. The Company produces indices and risk and return portfolio analytics for use in managing investment portfolios.

Nasdaq, Inc. operates a global stock exchange. The Company provides trading, clearing, exchange technology, regulatory, securities listing, and information services. Nasdaq offers its services worldwide.

State Street Corporation services institutional investors and manages financial assets worldwide.  The Company's products and services include custody, accounting, administration, daily pricing, international exchange services, cash management, financial asset management, securities lending, and investment advisory services.

Tradeweb Markets Inc. builds and operates electronic marketplaces for rates, credit, equities/ETFs and money markets. The company serves institutional, wholesale and retail clients in 62 countries including large global asset managers, insurance companies, central banks, financial advisory firms, proprietary trading firms, hedge funds, banks and dealers.

Raymond James Financial, Inc. provides financial services to individuals, corporations, and municipalities through its subsidiary investment firms. The Company operates throughout the United States, Canada and overseas.

Macquarie Group Ltd. offers banking, financial advisory, investment and funds management services.  The Company offers financial advice, cash management, wealth management and private banking, life insurance, securities brokerage, corporate debt financing, real estate funds management, real estate development financing, investment funds management, and foreign exchange services.

CITIC Securities Co., Ltd. provides securities brokerage, trading, underwriting, investment banking, asset management, and investment consulting services.

Hong Kong Exchanges & Clearing Limited owns and operates the stock exchange, futures exchange, and their related clearing houses in Hong Kong.  The Company provides the trading platforms for a range of cash and derivatives products and the facilities for processing trades.

Deutsche Boerse AG provides a variety of stock exchange introduction, trading, and operational services to institutions and private investors. The Company offers electronic trading systems for buying and selling of securities on stock exchanges in Europe.  Deutsche Boerse offers indices such as DAX, MDAX, SDAX, and XTF, as well as trading in options and futures.

3i Group plc is an international investor focused on private equity, infrastructure and debt management. The Company's investments are located across multiple continents through local investment teams in Europe, Asia and North America.

London Stock Exchange Group plc is the United Kingdom's primary stock exchange. The LSE provides markets that facilitate the raising of capital and the trading of corporate securities, access to a trading environment, as well as real-time pricing and reference information services worldwide.  Market coverage includes equities, derivatives and fixed-interest securities.

Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited provides financial services. The Company offers securities trading, clearing, settlement and depository, and market data services. Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing serves customers worldwide.

Hong Kong Exchanges & Clearing (HKXCY US)

London Stock Exchange Group plc is the United Kingdom's primary stock exchange. The LSE provides markets that facilitate the raising of capital and the trading of corporate securities, access to a trading environment, as well as real-time pricing and reference information services worldwide. Market coverage includes equities, derivatives and fixed-interest securities.

London Stock Exchange Group PL (LNSTY US)

Banco BTG Pactual S/A. provides financial services. The Company offers asset and wealth management, investment banking, trading, corporate lending, sales, and other related solutions. Banco BTG Pactual serves customers in Brazil.

Coinbase Global, Inc. provides financial solutions. The Company offers platform to buy and sell cryptocurrencies. Coinbase Global serves clients worldwide.

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Coinbase Global (COIN US)

Equity Watch: The Trump versus Biden Basket

We’ve received loads of feedback from our clients regarding our Trump versus Biden basket. As a result, we will provide a detailed breakdown of...

Steno Research

Remain Overweight Large-Cap Growth; Downgrading Materials to Underweight; Software Buys $MSTR $CRWD

Remain Overweight Large-Cap Growth $IWF as discussed 5/29/24; Downgrading Materials $XLB to Underweight; Buy/Stay Long Software Stocks $IGV $MSFT...

Vermilion Research

Security Token Journal: Bitcoins to the Mass

The Bitcoin ETFs will be the first step to allow institutional investors to invest in cryptocurrencies. Next, we expect more ETFs of other well...

Bondcritic

[TW2] Japanese Equities Soar, Spot BTC ETF Goes Live, & Rising Red Sea Tensions (W/E 12th Jan 2024)

Nikkei surges to a record. Citi reports worst quarter in 14-years. Red Sea tensions are soaring pushing sea & air freight to spike sharply....

Mint Finance

Spot BTC ETFs Attract $4.3 Billion on Day 1 Paving the Way for Institutional Adoption

Bitcoin avoided a sell-the-news event following SEC approval but also failed to sustain a rally. The paper discusses details of approval, details...

Mint Finance

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