Asia Ex-J Consumer/ Transport analyst

Valerie Law, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Extending my point about more demanding transportation frameworks going forward (see <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/comfortdelgro-fy16-results-an-era-where-competition-hits-a-higher-gear" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:8719">ComfortDelGro FY16 Results: An Era Where Competition Hits a Higher Gear</a> ), the recent fire-bomb attack on Hong Kong’s MTR that left 19 injured signals increasing costs for transport operators. This article presents another reason why investors should sell MTR Corp, on top of points already provided by fellow insight provider Sameer Taneja in an earlier piece <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/mtr-66-hk-conviction-sell-thesis" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:7982">MTR (66 HK): Conviction Sell Thesis</a><h2>Security Costs to</h2>…

Extending my point about more demanding transportation frameworks going forward (see ComfortDelGro FY16 Results: An Era Where Competition Hits a Higher Gear ), the recent fire-bomb attack on Hong Kong’s MTR that left 19 injured signals increasing costs for transport operators. This article presents another reason why investors should sell MTR Corp, on top of points already provided by fellow insight provider Sameer Taneja in an earlier piece MTR (66 HK): Conviction Sell ThesisSecurity Costs to…

66 HK and SBUS SP: Attack on HK Metro Signals Increases in Transport Operators' Costs

Equity Research Analyst, Maritime sector, Drewry Maritime Financial Research

Ankush Kathuria CFA, FRM

Equity Research Analyst, Maritime sector

Maritime Sector, Equity & Credit Research

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

With no ties to other players in the shipping, finance or banking world, we provide a uniquely impartial view of the markets and companies we cover. Our parent organization, Drewry is a leading independent provider of research services to the maritime and shipping industry, employing over 100 professionals across an international network of offices in London, Delhi, Singapore and Shanghai. Combining our market-leading resources with seasoned sector expertise DFRS offers a highly differentiated and comprehensive range of investment and financial research services to lenders and prospective investors in publicly listed maritime and shipping companies. The full service of reports, supporting resources and sector orientated webinars provides our clients with the most complete picture of the organisations under coverage as is possible. We have been charting and analysing the world’s maritime markets for more than 40 years. This unrivalled intelligence and understanding provides the foundation of our research service. Our analysts have access to one of the most up-to-date, comprehensive and reliable sources of market insight and research data available today. We look at globally listed companies within the following sectors: Port Operators, Container Shipping, Container Manufacturing & Leasing, LNG Shipping, Dry Bulk Shipping and Tanker Shipping. Combine in-depth sector expertise with financial analysis focusing on over 50 stocks globally.

DFRS Container Shipping Bonds Outlook - Recovery Priced In, See Downside Risk from Current Levels<ul><li>
In the current interest rate environment, we support issues that lie higher on the risk spectrum with a short duration. We believe in high yield notes from companies that have proven abilities in raising funds through various sources, mitigating refinancing risk as rates pick up. Short duration is a key metric for our bond picks at the moment, as we anticipate further rate hikes during the year by…</li></ul>

DFRS Container Shipping Bonds Outlook - Recovery Priced In, See Downside Risk from Current Levels
In the current interest rate environment, we support issues that lie higher on the risk spectrum with a short duration. We believe in high yield notes from companies that have proven abilities in raising funds through various sources, mitigating refinancing risk as rates pick up. Short duration is a key metric for our bond picks at the moment, as we anticipate further rate hikes during the year by…

DFRS Container Shipping Bonds Outlook - Recovery Priced In, See Downside Risk from Current Levels

Container Shipping - Spot Rates Now Filtering into Contract Rates, Indicating a Big Positive ReversalIn our last update <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/container-shipping-spot-rates-touch-20-month-high" target="_blank">https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/container-shipping-spot-rates-touch-20-month-high</a> we had highlighted spot container freight rates on the major East-West routes reaching a 20-month high and having risen above the average of the last 5 years. WCI spot rates assessed by Drewry (USD / 40ft container)<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/020/332/original/wci1.JPG?1486437501" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="20332"></figure>Our recent channel checks suggest the spot rates are now having an increasingly…

Container Shipping - Spot Rates Now Filtering into Contract Rates, Indicating a Big Positive ReversalIn our last update https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/container-shipping-spot-rates-touch-20-month-high we had highlighted spot container freight rates on the major East-West routes reaching a 20-month high and having risen above the average of the last 5 years. WCI spot rates assessed by Drewry (USD / 40ft container)Our recent channel checks suggest the spot rates are now having an increasingly…

Container Shipping - Spot Rates Now Filtering into Contract Rates, Indicating Big Positive Reversal

Transport Sector, China and Asia-focused Research

Charles De Trenck

This topic has nagged me for some time. Two months ago when the Case-Shiller Home Price Index “made a new high” and after new highs again this week, I’ve been doing back of the envelope calculations based on my property portfolio to show how screwed tracking prices in property investments can be.I believe such coverage of property price performance is wholly misleading and misrepresents real returns for investors and home buyers.A  home and a home price  that was transacted even 10 years ago was a substantially different home to today’s home. A recognized stock price (not DRYS!)  over 10 years has a much better chance of reflecting price movements that correspond to positive and negative returns to the investor directly.The distortion in property prices comes from a slew of adjustments we need to make, and which can shave several percent off a value per year! I’ve used my own property transaction data to work out the adjustments that should be made. There are two main categories which need to be made (with many sub-categories).

This topic has nagged me for some time. Two months ago when the Case-Shiller Home Price Index “made a new high” and after new highs again this week, I’ve been doing back of the envelope calculations based on my property portfolio to show how screwed tracking prices in property investments can be.I believe such coverage of property price performance is wholly misleading and misrepresents real returns for investors and home buyers.A  home and a home price  that was transacted even 10 years ago was a substantially different home to today’s home. A recognized stock price (not DRYS!)  over 10 years has a much better chance of reflecting price movements that correspond to positive and negative returns to the investor directly.The distortion in property prices comes from a slew of adjustments we need to make, and which can shave several percent off a value per year! I’ve used my own property transaction data to work out the adjustments that should be made. There are two main categories which need to be made (with many sub-categories).

Case-Shiller Property Indices Hugely Misleading...and Different from Stocks (LT Invst Windows Tight)

Independent, global risk consultancy, Control Risks

Aparajita Verma

Independent, global risk consultancy

Control Risks

Control Risks is an independent, global risk consultancy specialising in helping organisations manage political, integrity and security risks in complex and hostile environments. We support clients by providing strategic consultancy, expert analysis and in-depth investigations, handling sensitive political issues and providing practical on-the-ground protection and support.

Our unique combination of services, geographical reach and the trust our clients place in us ensure we can help them to effectively solve their problems and realise new opportunities across the world.

Control Risks, the pre-eminent global risk consultancy, has identified the following key business risks in Asia Pacific for 2017.Written by <a href="https://www.controlrisks.com/en/about-us/our-experts/people/steve-wilford" target="_blank">Steve Wilford</a>, Senior Partner, Global Risk Analysis, Control Risks

Control Risks, the pre-eminent global risk consultancy, has identified the following key business risks in Asia Pacific for 2017.Written by Steve Wilford, Senior Partner, Global Risk Analysis, Control Risks

Hong Kong

CITIC Limited operates in a range of business activities including financial services, resources and energy, manufacturing, real estate and infrastructure, engineering contracting and other businesses in China and overseas.

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Citic Ltd (267 HK)

66 HK and SBUS SP: Attack on HK Metro Signals Increases in Transport Operators' Costs

Extending my point about more demanding transportation frameworks going forward (see ComfortDelGro FY16 Results: An Era Where Competition Hits a...

Valerie Law, CFA

DFRS Container Shipping Bonds Outlook - Recovery Priced In, See Downside Risk from Current Levels

DFRS Container Shipping Bonds Outlook - Recovery Priced In, See Downside Risk from Current Levels In the current interest rate environment, we...

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

Container Shipping - Spot Rates Now Filtering into Contract Rates, Indicating Big Positive Reversal

Container Shipping - Spot Rates Now Filtering into Contract Rates, Indicating a Big Positive ReversalIn our last...

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

Case-Shiller Property Indices Hugely Misleading...and Different from Stocks (LT Invst Windows Tight)

This topic has nagged me for some time. Two months ago when the Case-Shiller Home Price Index “made a new high” and after new highs again this...

Charles De Trenck

Top 5 Risks for Business in Asia Pacific

Control Risks, the pre-eminent global risk consultancy, has identified the following key business risks in Asia Pacific for 2017.Written by Steve...

Control Risks

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