Founder-CEO & Chief Analyst, Real Estate Foresight

Robert Ciemniak

Founder-CEO & Chief Analyst

Real Estate Foresight

Since 2012, REF has been helping investors with market research, project due diligence, and strategy development. This has ranged from detailed assessments and estimates on distressed developers' project portfolios to market due diligence on specific projects to macro-level questions linked to demand for commodities. The unique combination of the housing markets and developer data from data partner China Index Academy in Beijing, primary research, and technology-powered alternative data collection from public sources result in a valuable content set used in REF analytics and reports.

Predictive Analytics for China Property

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Based on new data released by NBS today: in August, national new home sales (in gross floor area) for 'commercial residential' buildings rose 25.6% YTD YoY, only slightly slower pace compared to 26.7% in July, and 29% in June. On a single-month, year-on-year basis the growth picked up to 19.1% from 16.7% in July.National land acquisitions (land area purchased by real estate development enterprises) declined by 8.5% on YTD YoY basis, more negative than the 7.8% decline in July.In absolute terms…

Based on new data released by NBS today: in August, national new home sales (in gross floor area) for 'commercial residential' buildings rose 25.6% YTD YoY, only slightly slower pace compared to 26.7% in July, and 29% in June. On a single-month, year-on-year basis the growth picked up to 19.1% from 16.7% in July.National land acquisitions (land area purchased by real estate development enterprises) declined by 8.5% on YTD YoY basis, more negative than the 7.8% decline in July.In absolute terms…

China Data: New Home Sales Growth Slightly Slower at 25.6% YTD Y/Y (Jan-Aug), Land Sales Still Low

Founder, Riedel Research

David Riedel

Founder

Independent equity research on GEM Markets

Riedel Research

Riedel provides equity research and analysis to leading financial organizations. By becoming members of a region (Asia, Latin America, Emerging Europe or Global), organizations have access to an integrated set of services including:

Regular company coverage reports
Up-to-date investment decision advice (buy, hold, sell)
Monthly regional and global conference calls
Customized company reports and unlimited on-line access to the program's services.

Riedel provides research coverage of companies across the full range of market capitalization. Experienced research professionals in each market develop company reports and analysis as well as earnings models and projections. Ratings are Buy, Hold and Sell with a focus on compelling investment ideas - both long and short. Downloadable, dynamic earnings models are built to facilitate sensitivity analysis.

Please feel free to contact us for complimentary access to our written research.  We want to show you that our unique research flow can add value and help develop a long-term, high value-add relationship.

Riedel's model focuses on providing clients with unique insights and consulting in addition to unlimited access to all produced research This model allows members to receive exponential benefits for their retainer fees.

<ul>
<li> In August the MNI China Consumer Sentiment Indicator (CSI) dropped to a very depressed level of 111.5, well under the threshold of 116 indicating consumers are in a state of panic.</li>
<li>A large part of the weakness stems from severe flooding (the worst since 1998) in northern and central China. It is estimated that floods have resulted in $33 billion in losses.</li>
<li>We believe that weakness seen in the CSI during August is the result of panic among consumers in reaction to the flood and not a reflection of…</li>
</ul>


 In August the MNI China Consumer Sentiment Indicator (CSI) dropped to a very depressed level of 111.5, well under the threshold of 116 indicating consumers are in a state of panic.
A large part of the weakness stems from severe flooding (the worst since 1998) in northern and central China. It is estimated that floods have resulted in $33 billion in losses.
We believe that weakness seen in the CSI during August is the result of panic among consumers in reaction to the flood and not a reflection of…


China Consumer Sentiment Drops in August As Flood Causes Panic - Actual Impact Insignificant

China Macroeconomics & Academia

Christopher Balding

Macroeconomics

The recent spate Chinese data released, seems to be promising due to the slow growth and relative decline in the real economic growth. This phenomenon owes much of the credit to the government’s credit injection into the economy and its subsequent tightening. Nevertheless, official retail sales data for July seems to be projecting the shift of consumer spending depicting the change in consumer choice.The total retail sales of consumer goods in July remained steady at 2,682. Although this…

The recent spate Chinese data released, seems to be promising due to the slow growth and relative decline in the real economic growth. This phenomenon owes much of the credit to the government’s credit injection into the economy and its subsequent tightening. Nevertheless, official retail sales data for July seems to be projecting the shift of consumer spending depicting the change in consumer choice.The total retail sales of consumer goods in July remained steady at 2,682. Although this…

Retail Sales in China Outside Headline Numbers Remain Weak

The weekly data from SouFun-CREIS survey on new home sales in 35 major cities for the four weeks August 1 - 28 (Weeks 32-35) shows a further, though a gradual, slowdown in sales volume growth, bringing year-to-date year-on-year change from 35.5% for the Weeks 1-30 to 32.1% for the Weeks 1-35). On a 4-week rolling year-on-year basis, however, the growth was 15.9% for Weeks 32-35, compared to 9.4% for Weeks 28-31.The official data for national sales volumes for August will be published on…

The weekly data from SouFun-CREIS survey on new home sales in 35 major cities for the four weeks August 1 - 28 (Weeks 32-35) shows a further, though a gradual, slowdown in sales volume growth, bringing year-to-date year-on-year change from 35.5% for the Weeks 1-30 to 32.1% for the Weeks 1-35). On a 4-week rolling year-on-year basis, however, the growth was 15.9% for Weeks 32-35, compared to 9.4% for Weeks 28-31.The official data for national sales volumes for August will be published on…

Weekly China Property Data For August Points At Further Gradual Slowdown In National Sales Growth

Bespoke Research on China and neighbouring regions, Bixmoor

Bixmoor

Bespoke Research on China and neighbouring regions

Bixmoor specialises in providing bespoke research to business, governments and the financial community on China and neighbouring regions. We seek to build long-term relationships with our clients, based on our expertise, our reliability and our determination to find the right solution.

In-bound tourism to China appears to be in decline, albeit slowly. At the same time, foreign travel by Chinese residents has grown rapidly, driven partly by the search for cheap luxury goods and partly by the increasingly numbers of young travelers.

In-bound tourism to China appears to be in decline, albeit slowly. At the same time, foreign travel by Chinese residents has grown rapidly, driven partly by the search for cheap luxury goods and partly by the increasingly numbers of young travelers. 

China

Chongqing Changan Automobile Company Limited develops, manufactures, and markets mini cars, mini sedans, full size sedans, and engines.

Chongqing Changan Automobile Company (200625 CH)

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Chongqing Changan Automobile Company (200625 CH)

China Data: New Home Sales Growth Slightly Slower at 25.6% YTD Y/Y (Jan-Aug), Land Sales Still Low

Based on new data released by NBS today: in August, national new home sales (in gross floor area) for 'commercial residential' buildings rose 25.6%...

Robert Ciemniak

China Consumer Sentiment Drops in August As Flood Causes Panic - Actual Impact Insignificant

In August the MNI China Consumer Sentiment Indicator (CSI) dropped to a very depressed level of 111.5, well under the threshold of 116 indicating...

David Riedel

Retail Sales in China Outside Headline Numbers Remain Weak

The recent spate Chinese data released, seems to be promising due to the slow growth and relative decline in the real economic growth. This...

Christopher Balding

Weekly China Property Data For August Points At Further Gradual Slowdown In National Sales Growth

The weekly data from SouFun-CREIS survey on new home sales in 35 major cities for the four weeks August 1 - 28 (Weeks 32-35) shows a further,...

Robert Ciemniak

Tourism Trends and China

In-bound tourism to China appears to be in decline, albeit slowly. At the same time, foreign travel by Chinese residents has grown rapidly, driven...

Bixmoor

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52-week Range

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