Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Shanghai Junshi Biosciences  / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The New and Better (5mos old) A-H Premium Tracker has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.</li>
<li>SOUTHBOUND and NORTHBOUND flows were both sells, respectively, but liquid Hs with H/A pairs OUT-perform As on average by 100+bp. Liquidation by overseas investors feels finished. </li>
<li>
<strong>Time to go long Hs vs As for the new year at 52wk wide discounts.</strong> 3 Short H/A pairs now switched to long. 3 new pairs long this week. </li>
</ul>


The New and Better (5mos old) A-H Premium Tracker has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.
SOUTHBOUND and NORTHBOUND flows were both sells, respectively, but liquid Hs with H/A pairs OUT-perform As on average by 100+bp. Liquidation by overseas investors feels finished. 

Time to go long Hs vs As for the new year at 52wk wide discounts. 3 Short H/A pairs now switched to long. 3 new pairs long this week. 


A/H Premium Tracker (To 15 Dec 23): Time To Go Long Hs Vs As.

Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. Like the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. Lots of Flows/Position Tables and Charts to play with.</li>
<li>Last week saw NORTHBOUND net sell RMB 18.6bn of A-shares on slightly lighter activity. Friday saw large NORTHBOUND net buys early in the day but ended a net sell.</li>
<li>Looking at the change in the weekly position charts over the last year is striking (easiest in the Sectors table to start). Still. </li>
</ul>


The Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. Like the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. Lots of Flows/Position Tables and Charts to play with.
Last week saw NORTHBOUND net sell RMB 18.6bn of A-shares on slightly lighter activity. Friday saw large NORTHBOUND net buys early in the day but ended a net sell.
Looking at the change in the weekly position charts over the last year is striking (easiest in the Sectors table to start). Still. 


Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 15 Dec 23): Mindray Consistently Bought, Midea Sold

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of December 15th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$2,746.9 million, led by consumer staples, information technology, and offset by utilities, real estate.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for China Yangtze Power, Mindray, BYD, Wuliangye, Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial, Chongqing Sokon Industry Group Stock, Ping An Insurance.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of December 15th.
We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$2,746.9 million, led by consumer staples, information technology, and offset by utilities, real estate.
We highlight flows for China Yangtze Power, Mindray, BYD, Wuliangye, Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial, Chongqing Sokon Industry Group Stock, Ping An Insurance.


Northbound Flows (Dec 15th): China Yangtze Power, Mindray, BYD, Wuliangye

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of December 8th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$753.7 million, led by financials, consumer discretionary, and offset by information technology, materials, health care.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Moutai, Zhongji Innolight, Will Semiconductor Co., Ltd. Shanghai, Wuxi Apptec, Tianqi Lithium, Wuliangye, Shanghai United Imaging Healthcare, Hygon Information Technology, Midea.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of December 8th.
We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$753.7 million, led by financials, consumer discretionary, and offset by information technology, materials, health care.
We highlight flows for Moutai, Zhongji Innolight, Will Semiconductor Co., Ltd. Shanghai, Wuxi Apptec, Tianqi Lithium, Wuliangye, Shanghai United Imaging Healthcare, Hygon Information Technology, Midea.


Northbound Flows (Dec 8th): Moutai, Zhongji Innolight, Will Semiconductor, Shanghai, Wuxi Apptec

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>Consumer Staples (inflows of $818 million) led the inflows. Financials ($1,109 million worth of outflows), Materials ($1,131 million worth of outflows) led the outflows.</li>
<li>We highlight inflows into Moutai, Hygon Information Technology, Shanghai United Imaging Healthcare, Mindray, China Yangtze Power, Shenzhen Inovance Technology.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.
Consumer Staples (inflows of $818 million) led the inflows. Financials ($1,109 million worth of outflows), Materials ($1,131 million worth of outflows) led the outflows.
We highlight inflows into Moutai, Hygon Information Technology, Shanghai United Imaging Healthcare, Mindray, China Yangtze Power, Shenzhen Inovance Technology.


Northbound Flows (November): Inflows (Consumer Staples, Healthcare) Offset by Outflows (Financials)

China

China Yangtze Power Company Ltd. owns the Gezhouba Power Station and the Three Gorges Power Station. The Company generates hydroelectric power, which is supplied to central China, east China, Guangdong province, Chongqing city, and other areas.

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China Yangtze Power Co, Ltd. (600900 CH)

A/H Premium Tracker (To 15 Dec 23): Time To Go Long Hs Vs As.

A/H Premiums reached their highest average (arithmetic - not the HS Index) in a year on Monday. And then turned. Overseas liquidation feels...

Travis Lundy

Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 15 Dec 23): Mindray Consistently Bought, Midea Sold

NORTHBOUND Mainland Connect saw significant net outflows. It would have been a lot smaller but Friday mid-day saw a HUGE net buy day become a net...

Travis Lundy

Northbound Flows (Dec 15th): China Yangtze Power, Mindray, BYD, Wuliangye

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for China Yangtze Power, Mindray, BYD, Wuliangye.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows (Dec 8th): Moutai, Zhongji Innolight, Will Semiconductor, Shanghai, Wuxi Apptec

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Moutai, Zhongji Innolight, Will Semiconductor Co.,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows (November): Inflows (Consumer Staples, Healthcare) Offset by Outflows (Financials)

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for November and highlight flows for Moutai, Hygon Information Technology, Shanghai United Imaging...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)